Jump to content

Hardball Times: Expansion


weams

Recommended Posts

http://www.hardballtimes.com/major-league-baseball-needs-to-expand/

Without expansion and if things remain static, scoring will likely go even lower as pitching talent becomes more and more concentrated.

The current run environment is not horrible, but what if it gets even lower? Strikeouts are boring. They help to win games, but they make for a horrible viewing experience. Everyone digs the long ball. Maybe MLB will do something like lower the mound again or allow aluminum bats or shrink the out of control strike zone, but the concentration of talent will still exist. It is time to spread baseball out some more.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Replies 41
  • Created
  • Last Reply
Why attack shifts? How is banning shifts any more acceptable then banning a pitch?

It isn't.

Well that's a matter of opinion isn't it? I attack shifts because they effectively cut the field in half. For some batters it's like hitting in a bowling alley with six players standing in it.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Well that's a matter of opinion isn't it? I attack shifts because they effectively cut the field in half. For some batters it's like hitting in a bowling alley with six players standing in it.

I attack sliders because they look like fastballs then move late. For some batters it makes them swing and miss.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I attack sliders because they look like fastballs then move late. For some batters it makes them swing and miss.

Here's a fairly balanced article from Bill James on the impact shifts have on offense. I don't agree with some of his concluding remarks because he didn't look at the data for the specific class of hitters it hurts the most but it does make the overall point about hurting the offense.

One more point, like at the increase of the use of shifts since 2010. Amazing.

http://www.billjamesonline.com/how_do_shifts_affect_league-wide_babip_/

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Here's a fairly balanced article from Bill James on the impact shifts have on offense. I don't agree with some of his concluding remarks because he didn't look at the data for the specific class of hitters it hurts the most but it does make the overall point about hurting the offense.

http://www.billjamesonline.com/how_do_shifts_affect_league-wide_babip_/

Of course it is hurting offense. So are sliders. ;)

Seriously if a batter's strategy is to pull the ball every time he comes up why shouldn't the defense be able to counter that strategy?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.




  • Posts

    • Could it be that they allowed the Gnats to reside within 30 minutes of their home. Effectively cutting their market in half? 
    • Got my all-time low rarity score on today's game - 6.
    • 41 freaking years and here's this guy with the name pickles telling me I should be happy with 91 wins and getting owned in the playoffs again. 😂 😂 I saw a team that looked terrible the second half and probably didn't even deserve that spot the way they were playing .
    • Lol. Here's the funny they know more then you know. Typical Oriole fan who's happy with getting punched in the mouth. 
    • I don’t like the wall. I think it’s affecting our hitters. I’ve mentioned before that I think it has totally warped Mountcastle into something he was never really meant to be. The guy came up as a pull-heavy HR hitter, and in his first season-plus (725 PAs), he puts up 38 HRs and a 116 wRC+. Since then, the wRC+ is down to 110, and his approach has totally changed, with his pull numbers plummeting (down from 39% in 2021 to less than 28% this year). He still hits the ball hard, but constantly underachieves his batted ball data — probably because he’s trying to avoid the pull field and hitting balls to the deepest parts of pretty much every other park. Will the same thing happen to Mayo? Maybe he has more pure power, but it’s always going to be a challenge for a RH slugger to survive with that wall. So much harder to do damage.   Beyond that, I think it’s also creating a serious risk of changing our LH hitters’ approaches too. These guys (Henderson, Holliday, Cowser, 2/3 of Adley) have come up with a reputation for being able to drive the ball to all fields. But how long does that continue when they just can’t hit it out to the opposite field? Our LH hitters had a combined 44 wRC+ at OPACY, and only one HR. They had the 3rd most balls hit to LF at home by LHHs, but the lowest wRC+ of any team on those balls (for the second straight year). The Royals, ironically enough, were the only team that was lower than a 70 wRC+ — that’s how much worse our lefties fared going oppo (at OPACY) than everyone else’s. By player: Gunnar Henderson: 112 wRC+ / .160 ISO (51 PAs) Adley Rutschman: 10 wRC+ / .026 ISO (38 PAs) Anthony Santander: 14 wRC+ / .095 ISO (43 PAs) Colton Cowser: 58 wRC+ / .057 ISO (36 PAs) Ryan O’Hearn: 47 wRC+ / .091 ISO (55 PAs) Cedric Mullins: 23 wRC+ / .100 ISO (41 PAs) Jackson Holliday: -72 wRC+ / .000 ISO (16 PAs)   On the road, they had a combined 126 wRC+ (with 9 HRs) going to left field, so it’s not like they’re bad at it. It’s just Death Valley out there in LF for them at OPACY.  How long will it be until these LH guys just start going full pull-happy? Essentially, the opposite of what’s happened with Mountcastle. When (a) your team’s philosophy is to focus on doing damage and (b) you can’t DO damage to the opposite field — the rational endpoint is just to try to pull everything. I don’t think that’s a good outcome. I think it makes them much worse hitters in the other 81 games, and I think it’s a terrible waste of a bunch of really talented hitters with all-field abilities.
    • Which core players beside Adley Rutschman struggled?
  • Popular Contributors

×
×
  • Create New...