Jump to content

Hardy Has Been Playing Hurt All Year - Torn Labrum


TonySoprano

Recommended Posts

Do we have any idea as to whether Hardy's bat can bounce back? Labrum tears are consider a near death sentence for pitchers, but not as bad for position players. That said, there appears to be a few caveats. A recent study looked at pitchers and position players with labrum tears with comparison between nonsurgical and surgical approaches. For injuries where surgery is possible, pitchers returned to form 7% of the time (48% returned to throw a pitch professionally). Surgery for position players resulted in a return to form 54% of the time (85% return for at least a plate appearance. Hardy was in the latter group back in 2004.

In 2015, Hardy is in the non-surgical group. This is not as optimistic. For pitchers who took a non-surgical approach, 22% returned to form (40% returned). For position players, 26% returned to form (39% returned). Again, we do not know the exact specifics of Hardy's injury. We simply know that he is a position player and he is treating himself nonsurgically, so there are assumptions. That said, it appears that Hardy might have a one in four shot being a useful shortstop and a much greater chance that he is simply a major league quality glove with a HiA ball bat. A Paul Janish, but making twenty times more.

http://camdendepot.blogspot.com/2015/10/jj-hardy-and-his-ailing-shoulder.html

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Replies 54
  • Created
  • Last Reply
The question now stands as to what can the Orioles do? A trade seems unlikely. Hardy would probably require the club to send about 20 MM with him to make a deal work. As such, he is either on the active roster or on the disabled list. It would not be surprising to see him open the season on the 60 day DL. Maybe after making themselves sure he can no longer play, he might be released at some point in 2016. Needless to say, the club has now sunk about 12% of their roster into a player who is likely a fringe Major Leaguer.

Jon Shepherd

Link to comment
Share on other sites

So what have we learned from BRob and Hardy? Don't sign players in there 30's to long term deals.....this is why not signing Cruz and Markakis was the right move...and why throwing a lot of money at Davis for 6 or more years will also be foolish.

You can criticize the Hardy deal and be upset over not signing Cruz....unless you think the from office has a crystal ball.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

So what have we learned from BRob and Hardy? Don't sign players in there 30's to long term deals.....this is why not signing Cruz and Markakis was the right move...and why throwing a lot of money at Davis for 6 or more years will also be foolish.

You can criticize the Hardy deal and be upset over not signing Cruz....unless you think the from office has a crystal ball.

Or you think Schoop would have knocked Cruz or Markakis over.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Or you think Schoop would have knocked Cruz or Markakis over.

Maybe Jones runs into Cruz. You just don't know.....but history tells you that a large percentage of players in the mid 30's, and not allowed to take steriods, break down and play at a much lower level than they did in their late 20's and early 30's.

Davis for 8 years will probably give you 4 good years and 4 not so good years....no guarantees, no crystal ball. But for logic sake, you can't curse the FO for the Hardy deals, and curse the FO for not signing Markakis.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Maybe Jones runs into Cruz. You just don't know.....but history tells you that a large percentage of players in the mid 30's, and not allowed to take steriods, break down and play at a much lower level than they did in their late 20's and early 30's.

Davis for 8 years will probably give you 4 good years and 4 not so good years....no guarantees, no crystal ball. But for logic sake, you can't curse the FO for the Hardy deals, and curse the FO for not signing Markakis.

Of course not, unless you want to say it is ok to gamble, just not to lose.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

If the Orioles knew about this and both sides were willing to let him play through the pain, then I guess there's nothing to complain about, although I wonder why Buck didn't just have him hit 9th all season.

If J.J. hid this then the O's have a right to be upset. The timing of the Cabrera signing is consistent with the notion that the O's knew about Hardy's injury prior to the season.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

If the Orioles knew about this and both sides were willing to let him play through the pain, then I guess there's nothing to complain about, although I wonder why Buck didn't just have him hit 9th all season.

If J.J. hid this then the O's have a right to be upset. The timing of the Cabrera signing is consistent with the notion that the O's knew about Hardy's injury prior to the season.

They did an MRI, after which Buck said, "They found what they expected to find."

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.




  • Posts

    • I don’t like the wall. I think it’s affecting our hitters. I’ve mentioned before that I think it has totally warped Mountcastle into something he was never really meant to be. The guy came up as a pull-heavy HR hitter, and in his first season-plus (725 PAs), he puts up 38 HRs and a 116 wRC+. Since then, the wRC+ is down to 110, and his approach has totally changed, with his pull numbers plummeting (down from 39% in 2021 to less than 28% this year). He still hits the ball hard, but constantly underachieves his batted ball data — probably because he’s trying to avoid the pull field and hitting balls to the deepest parts of pretty much every other park. Will the same thing happen to Mayo? Maybe he has more pure power, but it’s always going to be a challenge for a RH slugger to survive with that wall. So much harder to do damage.   Beyond that, I think it’s also creating a serious risk of changing our LH hitters’ approaches too. These guys (Henderson, Holliday, Cowser, 2/3 of Adley) have come up with a reputation for being able to drive the ball to all fields. But how long does that continue when they just can’t hit it out to the opposite field? Our LH hitters had a combined 44 wRC+ at OPACY, and only one HR. They had the 3rd most balls hit to LF at home by LHHs, but the lowest wRC+ of any team on those balls (for the second straight year). The Royals, ironically enough, were the only team that was lower than a 70 wRC+ — that’s how much worse our lefties fared going oppo (at OPACY) than everyone else’s. By player: Gunnar Henderson: 112 wRC+ / .160 ISO (51 PAs) Adley Rutschman: 10 wRC+ / .026 ISO (38 PAs) Anthony Santander: 14 wRC+ / .095 ISO (43 PAs) Colton Cowser: 58 wRC+ / .057 ISO (36 PAs) Ryan O’Hearn: 47 wRC+ / .091 ISO (55 PAs) Cedric Mullins: 23 wRC+ / .100 ISO (41 PAs) Jackson Holliday: -72 wRC+ / .000 ISO (16 PAs)   On the road, they had a combined 126 wRC+ (with 9 HRs) going to left field, so it’s not like they’re bad at it. It’s just Death Valley out there in LF for them at OPACY.  How long will it be until these LH guys just start going full pull-happy? Essentially, the opposite of what’s happened with Mountcastle. When (a) your team’s philosophy is to focus on doing damage and (b) you can’t DO damage to the opposite field — the rational endpoint is just to try to pull everything. I don’t think that’s a good outcome. I think it makes them much worse hitters in the other 81 games, and I think it’s a terrible waste of a bunch of really talented hitters with all-field abilities.
    • Which core players beside Adley Rutschman struggled?
    • The entire commentary on Hyde and the team seems odd but have to admit there does seem to be something off.   Team seemed adrift for most of the 2nd half.  A very talented team went off the rails midway through the season mostly due to core players struggling and rookies not performing or filling in adequately for a few injured starters.    None of the position player trade line acquisitions performed that well.     Hyde seemed in over his head or at a loss on how to correct things, but he must have convinced Elias that he has a plan to fix things.  Curious to see what happens with the coaching staff.  
    • And or give up picks for QO pitchers 
    • They've averaged 92 wins a year the last 3 years in the most difficult environment in the sport with basically the greatest disadvantages in the sport. Something tells me they know a hell of a lot more about this than you do.    
    • Not when they aren't worthy. At minimum the hitting coaches should be el gonezo
    • That is the sign of a stable and successful organization.  Firing people.  Who could argue that?
  • Popular Contributors

×
×
  • Create New...