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TT: Things that need to go right in 2017 and Minor League break camp roster analysis


Tony-OH

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I think you're setting the bar too high when you say we need 180 innings from Tillman and Bundy.    We didn't have a single pitcher throw 180 innings last year.    I think our starting simply needs to be a little better overall.    Avoid having a bunch of games started by pitchers with ERA's over 5.00.   Last year we had 84 starts thrown by pitchers who had an ERA over 5.00 as a starter.   Tons of room for improvement there.   

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I think there's some decent potential for positive variance vs last year for the offense:

Jones >> 96 wRC+

Davis >> 111 wRC+

Schoop > 97 wRC+

Smith > 110 wRC+

Manny > 129 wRC+

If they can get small gains from guys like Manny and Schoop to go along with rebounds from Jones and Davis, then we're talking the 2nd or 3rd best offense in the AL. If the bullpen is relatively level to last year, then they don't need much improvement from SPs to make another run at the postseason.

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I think even if they get 160 out of Bundy that will be great if he pitches anything like he did before maybe wearing down a bit toward the end last year. Buck will figure out how to not overdo it and the Orioles have the bullpen to take up the rest of the innings. If Tillman just comes back and does what he did last year that will be fine. The guy I'm really expecting innings from is Gausman. I'll be a bit disappointed if he doesn't at least come close to 200. What they need more than anything else is for Ubaldo and Miley to be the good Ubaldo and Miley more consistently. If not, somebody else is going to have to step up and at this point I can't say who that might be.

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