Seilers' Mock 2010 Draft

[alexei606]

Orioles take Taillon (yes!). Stotle's "choice" Hahn goes #13 to the White Sox. Click here for full mock.

3. Baltimore Orioles – Jameson Taillon, RHP, The Woodlands HS (TX) – I had a hard time putting Taillon below Ranaudo, but I still think Ranaudo’s more proven history puts him slightly above Taillon’s rawness. There’s no doubt to me that Taillon is the best pitcher the 2010 prep class has to offer, as he’s raised his stock clearly above A.J. Cole. He’s got great size, great projectability, and great current stuff, so there’s not much to dislike here. His main question mark will be his representation, and he’s got a Rice commitment, too, so when the signability fog begins to clear, we’ll have a better read.

[Os_Watcher]

Good Post

What jumped out for me is that he had Bryce Brentz going at #20 and then a run of SS late in the round. Any baseball draftniks with any opinion on whether the SS class is really that impressive?

[crawdad]

Good Post

What jumped out for me is that he had Bryce Brentz going at #20 and then a run of SS late in the round. Any baseball draftniks with any opinion on whether the SS class is really that impressive?

SS tend to be the best athletes on the field, so with raw talent it is easy to dream.

[Stotle]

Good Post

What jumped out for me is that he had Bryce Brentz going at #20 and then a run of SS late in the round. Any baseball draftniks with any opinion on whether the SS class is really that impressive?

Machado will devide people as to whether or not he'll stick at SS. He has good hands but isn't always as fluid as you'd like to see. Plus he's got a sizeable frame to grow into.

Hague played mostly 3B with Team USA since Christian Colon was occupying SS. Hague is a bit of a tweaner for me, lacking the power for a traditional 3B and the range/actions I'd like to see in a 1st round SS. He's a solid draft prospect, no doubt, and will be at SS with Rendon at 3B this Spring.

O'Connor looks like he'll stick at SS -- strong arm and good lateral movements. Good around the bag.

I see Cabrera as a 3B or 2B -- most likely 3B. He might stick at SS, but I think he gets too thick.

Colon should be a solid average shortstop and potential an above-average 2B. His range isn't great for SS, but it gets the job done. Plus hands and plus around the bag.

[Stotle]

Orioles take Taillon (yes!). Stotle's "choice" Hahn goes #13 to the White Sox. Click here for full mock.

To be clear, that was my guess at what BAL would do right now. I think when everything shakes out they likely end up drafting Colon, once he proves healthy.

[alexei606]

To be clear, that was my guess at what BAL would do right now. I think when everything shakes out they likely end up drafting Colon, once he proves healthy.

I know - I forgot the smilie.

[Stotle]

I know - I forgot the smilie.

Haha. No worries -- just dreading the point next May when someone pulls out the "Hahn is projected to go late first to second round -- guess Stotle was a bit off with his projections, huh?".

[allstar1579]

Machado will devide people as to whether or not he'll stick at SS. He has good hands but isn't always as fluid as you'd like to see. Plus he's got a sizeable frame to grow into.

Hague played mostly 3B with Team USA since Christian Colon was occupying SS. Hague is a bit of a tweaner for me, lacking the power for a traditional 3B and the range/actions I'd like to see in a 1st round SS. He's a solid draft prospect, no doubt, and will be at SS with Rendon at 3B this Spring.

O'Connor looks like he'll stick at SS -- strong arm and good lateral movements. Good around the bag.

I see Cabrera as a 3B or 2B -- most likely 3B. He might stick at SS, but I think he gets too thick.

Colon should be a solid average shortstop and potential an above-average 2B. His range isn't great for SS, but it gets the job done. Plus hands and plus around the bag.

I'm hoping Cabrera sticks at SS, I think he can, but he won't be the best defensive SS in the pros, at least range wise. I like his hands and arm.

[QBsILLEST1]

So is Colon basically what we are hoping that LJ Hoes will turn into? Of course as a2B rather than SS, but they seem to have solid tools across the board but nothing that really jumps out at you. Good bat, good speed, good instincts, good arm, decent glove some pop.... Hearing what others say about Colon to me really sounds a lot like a report on LJ Hoes....

I wouldnt mind picking up Colon, offensively how does he profile? Im guessing like an Elvis Andrus w/o quite as many sbs? A good .280-.290 hitter 10-15HR???

[Stotle]

http://pnrscouting.com/scoutingreports_2010_colonch.html

Christian Colon | SS | California State University - Fullerton

Ht/Wt: 6-0/185 | B/T: R/R | Year: Junior | Born: 05/14/1989

Scouted:

USA vs Guatemala, July 4, 2009 (in attendance)

USA vs Guatemala, July 3, 2009 (in attendance)

Fullerton vs Virginia, June 15, 2009 (film)

Fullerton vs Louisville, June 5, 2009 (film)

Frame:

Colon is a bit undersized, eyeballing it he looks slightly smaller than his listed 6-0/185. There's some room to add strength and he's athletic enough that it shouldn't restrict his movements too greatly. He has plus body control and excellent agility, contributing to his plus defensive tool.

Swing:

Colon begins with an open stance, using a small stride to get his momentum moving directly towards the ball. He keeps a short path to the ball with the very slightest of loops in his hands as he begins his swing. Colon shows excellent balance through contact and rotates his core well with a strong front leg. He finishes under control and is quick out of the box.

Defense:

Colon shows plus hands and a plus arm at short stop, making the routine and spectacular look equally effortless. He shows excellent footwork and sets-up well on his throws and pivots. He's comfortable around the bag and on both sides of the double play. His range and routes are solid and he appears to be a decent bet to stick at short, long term. His agility would play well at second base, as well.

Nick's Notes:

Colon is a plus defender with plus arm strength and projects to stick at the six-spot as a pro. That alone would get him plenty of attention as a draft-eligible shortstop. Adding to his value is a contact oriented stroke that could produce a notch above-average hit tool and gap-to-gap pop. Always a solid defender, he took a nice step forward this past year at Fullerton, impressing at the plate. He posted a .357/.442/.529 line and a 1:1 SO:BB ratio while batting at the top of the order, solidifying himself as the lead-off hitter by the end of the season. He’ll likely fill a similar role in 2010 and could be among the first middle-infielders off the board next June.

Projected Position: SS/2B

Suggested Draft Slot: Unknown (see updates below)

Updates:

7/25/2009 -- With one game left in an incredibly successful summer season, Colon's stock may drop considerably after breaking his tibia and fibula in a collision at second base in the semi-finals of the World Baseball Challenge. Depending on the severity, this could greatly impact Colon's draft stock and perhaps his future on the diamond. Send positive vibes his way.

Videos:

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CAREER:

Cal St.-Fullerton Profile

STATISTICS:

Cal St.-Fullerton (Spring 2009)

Team USA (Summer 2009)

Cal St.-Fullerton (Spring 2010)

GRADING OUT (Future):

Hitting: 45/50 (55)

Power: 40 (45)

Speed: 50 (50)

Defense: 55/60 (65)

Arm: 55 (55)

[allstar1579]

I've had decent hopes for Colon this year too, but for some reason I have this gut instinct that he ends up being a long lost Izturis brother. I wish I had a more educated reason why, it's just totally gut instinct that the bat levels off once he hits AA and he ends up not hurting you, but not being a weapon either.

[Duke2010]

Wow, I had no idea that Colon suffered a tib/fib injury. Lower leg injuries are very frustrating and that type of injury typically requires a year+ of rehabilitation (depending on the severity) until the athlete is fully recovered. I wonder how much of his season of his season he'll miss, and if/when he does play, I wonder how effective he will be.

[Stotle]

Wow, I had no idea that Colon suffered a tib/fib injury. Lower leg injuries are very frustrating and that type of injury typically requires a year+ of rehabilitation (depending on the severity) until the athlete is fully recovered. I wonder how much of his season of his season he'll miss, and if/when he does play, I wonder how effective he will be.

I haven't updated my report yet (otherwise occupied) but word is it was a clean break and he's moving around already. He expects to be back for the start of the season, so good news!

[Duke2010]

I haven't updated my report yet (otherwise occupied) but word is it was a clean break and he's moving around already. He expects to be back for the start of the season, so good news!

That's certainly good news. We had an athlete last year who suffered a similar break, and he is still not 100% However, in his case, it was a comminuted fracture so it was a little messier.

If healthy, I feel like Colon may be our guy, assuming that Jordan is preferring have his draft follow last years path.I really wouldn't mind this pick even though I'd prefer a few of the HS pitchers at this point. I just have a feeling that some of the higher profile guys such as Cole and Taillon may command very high bonuses, and because of that we may shy away from them with hopes of spending later in the draft.

[Stotle]

If only the search feature will let me come this far back.

Yeah, RZNJ was exactly who I had in mind. Well, hoosiers, actually, by RZ wasn't too far behind.