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AnythingO's

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Everything posted by AnythingO's

  1. Well there was Scottie-baseball vs the guy with the audacity to wear a BJ's jersey in our section......lol
  2. I was on Birds of Prey for a bit after SunSpot became unbearable. Then someone there told me about OH. BoP went away shortly after. memories
  3. Well you could probably say that hovercraft, helicopters, and hot air balloons also lift off, even though many here want to envision a rocket launch.
  4. I do expect the O’s to spend $150-175 mm/yr at peak, once they have been contenders for a couple of years and some of their key players start to get expensive. Wasn't it speculated that the O's actually lost money when the payroll was $150-160+ M? That would be with attendance around 2.3 M vs the roughly 1.9+M of today. Prices are up but so are expenses likely. I don't see them breaking $150M anytime soon.
  5. Syndergaard is 4 years younger, probably signs for fewer years and lower AAV than Bassitt, was worth 2.2 WAR focusing on CV/SL and 2S but still throws 94.5. Not unreasonable to think he could add a tick to 4S with another year away from TJS and we seem to be good at refining CH and pitch selection. If the 3 yr, $36 M estimate is close to real, I would vote yes.
  6. Agreed, If Mullins gets Lopez, what does Rogers take? He regressed significantly in K/BB and WHIP last year, threw fewer innings, and appears to have been on IL at the end of the season. Maybe a buy low guy. They don't seem to have much at 3B, does Urias work for Rogers? Would they give up 2 SPs for position guys, maybe have to add a lottery arm?
  7. Well he did say "a lot" of the "significant" increase will come from internal increases which seem to be in the $15-20 M range. So if "a lot" is $20 M then I would be stunned if JA authorizes more than an additional $30-$40 M in payroll. As for the $30 M Disney bonus, that's in the family coffers to deal with MASN, Louis, real estate rentals and occupancy shortfalls, etc.
  8. JA has said Elias is in charge but I believe it was Elias that said he would have the resources when the team is ready. Also, in 2018 when ME was hired PA hadn't stepped down yet and I believe both John and Louis were involved in the selection/ John didn't take charge until 2019 I believe.
  9. Do we know how much each team gets from MLB, revenue sharing? We should be able the estimate the MASN income I guess. Do we know what is included in Operating income? Is it just ticket sales, food, drink, conessions?
  10. So with a 13 man staff, what's the argument against having a GR-Hall tandem? Backend is Bautista, Perez, Tate, Baker, middle is Akin, Wells, long is Watkins. That leaves room for 6 starters. Two electric arms, both on restricted innings in 2023 but who you want on starter schedule rotation at least until someone fails to produce. GR for 3-4 inn, DL for 2-3 inn and rotate who opens vs who relieves to manage the totals. If all goes well you get 175-200+ inn from 1 rotation spot, gotta help the BP load. The lefty-righty mix could also upset who starts for the opposition, potentially limiting the ABs for their more dangerous hitters. So why not try it?
  11. I rate him A-. Along the line of SG's comment about doing more in the off-season to be .500 in 2022, to me the more telling "read" is what he did at the trading deadline. He removed pieces that were key in the O's success to that point and stood pat. Even then he judged the team to be not ready to compete for the playoffs. Sure, in hindsight, those pieces under-performed after leaving, but you can't assume the same if they had stayed. We still don't know what kind of trader he will be, otherwise he would be an A+ for his work to date.
  12. Elias has said "significantly escalate the payroll" and "alot of that is going to come through our own guys going into arbitration" back in mid-August. If Means, Arb, and pre-Arb is about $35 M, then I don't see the increase being more than that so $60-79.9 M.
  13. His defense is good enough to keep his bat in the lineup for next year. Next year we need to see what we have in Stowers and Cowser, also how fast Heston, Fabian, Beavers are coming. Santander was pretty healthy in 2022, was that because of his changed offseason regime or because he had about 25% of his ABs at DH to reduce wear and tear? Assuming he and Stowers are each 25% DH in 2023, along with Adley, would be a point against signing a DH type FA.
  14. No, I would lower my FA estimate. I go back to his "a lot" qualifier. I think the FA pool could be plus $10-15 M over the inhouse increases. Now total payroll may increase through trades in addition to arb and FA so there is some more wiggle room.
  15. I would advise caution when estimating what Elias will or can spend. He has always put caveats on every optimistic comment he makes. The most concrete thing I have seen to date was back in August when he said: “Our plan for this offseason has always been to significantly escalate the payroll,” GM Mike Elias said in an appearance on The Front Office Show on MLB Network Radio on Sirius XM. “I think a lot of that’s going to come through our own guys going into arbitration, but also we plan to explore free agency much more aggressively If the arb raises are in the $20-25 M range, IMO the FA pool is in the $30-35 M range. Given the family feud and unsettled MASN dispute, possible sale of GNATS, I think JA is going to keep the money from MLB, MASN, etc in the family coffers he controls. I am NOT blaming Elias if all he gets done is a $15 M SP, a $10 M bat, a backup C and some spare parts for the BP.
  16. Rutschman 25%, Stowers-Santander 50%, the rest rotated through Hays, Mullins, etc
  17. I think you are unlikely to get much better production for the $10M Lyles costs you. Bringing him back doesn't stop you from getting 1-2 more starters. We could trade Mullins (Lopez) for example and go FA for the other but a better FA likely costs $15 M and multi-years. The trade would mean you need to spend $10M on a position player replacement. You can pencil in Grayson (100 inn), Kremer (125), Bradish (125). Even with a trade (Lopez?) and a FA eating 175 inn each you are short on SP innings. To me I look at Lyles combined with Means as 1 SP for 175 inn. If Means is ready to go in July you move Lyles for salary relief. Wells, Voth, Watkins are swing starters picking up when one of the SPs gets hurt or isn't performing.
  18. First 2 prob Marty Cordova and Sir Sid Ponson, last might be the Natural with Redford. Then there is Pete Harnish stepping on a nail in a construction zone
  19. PA gave DD a job 10 years after he was pushed out in Boston. Nobody else would. PA valued loyalty, probably felt DD was being disloyal by entertaining the overture.
  20. Dan was approached by Mike Rogers of Rogers Communication, the parent of the BJs MLB club, and was asked if he was interested in being in charge of the Rogers Center operations and the MLB team at 2-3 times his Orioles salary. DD was recommended to Rogers by a Board member of the NY Yankees. This was an obvious promotion and until PA, MLB franchises did not stand in the way of a MLB executive moving on for a promotion. DD went to PA with the offer just before the winter meetings. DD was neutered by PA at that point while PA tried to get the compensation from Toronto he was demanding. Didn't happen and PA refused to let DD go. DD did NOT approach Toronto, there wasn't even an open position at the time. This was Mike Rogers trying to get his man in position as an inter-family power play
  21. Last game of the season, all hands on deck, get him up early for middle inning long relief. With those 2 starters we will need to eat innings.
  22. Careful Snoopy, or Lucy will pull the football!!! ( yes I know it was Charlie lol).
  23. IF the law firm is untenable, logically that would be the path. Lou's actions indicate he believes there might be a future for the firm. Maybe they hire more partners that can bring in business, Lou gets to manage. I have no idea what is real or even plausible at this point. I don't trust John to control all the marbles, he could just take them and go home (to TN).
  24. Lou is probably "cash poor" as John controls the MLB team and the real estate assets of the family. Absent Pa, the law firm's only partner, they likely are living off declining residuals and losing money. Can Lou be a bread winner like PA? That is the unknown. John and Georgia want the law firm closed, saying that's what PA wanted after he passed. Lou maintains PA would have supported those long-term lawyers who were loyal to him. Given PA's history of loyalty to the Stockstills, Brady, Buck it is plausible Lou is right and John just wants to stop supporting the law firm financially
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