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30-3 Alert


SteveA

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1 minute ago, SteveA said:

Indians up 13-0 on Tigers through 3 inning.  Remember when Fullmer was a great prospect?  Yeah, that was a long time ago.

Indians' magic number is 1 so they are clinching in style.

Do the Tigers still have the guy who lives in the van down by the river?  If not, we may need him in a few.

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27 minutes ago, SteveA said:

Indians up 13-0 on Tigers through 3 inning.  Remember when Fullmer was a great prospect?  Yeah, that was a long time ago.

Indians' magic number is 1 so they are clinching in style.

They only got 2 in the 4th,  hurts their chances.   They got the bases loaded after scoring 2, but hit into a DP.   They need to cash in there.

It's going to take a position player pitching, which I guess is unlikely in September.   Detroit won't be batting in the 9th.

15-0 after 4.

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5 hours ago, SteveA said:

 

They only got 2 runs in the 4th, which hurts their chances. They loaded the bases after scoring 2, but hit into a DP to end the inning. They needed to cash in there.

It's going to take a position player pitching, which I guess is unlikely in September. Detroit won't be batting in the 9th.

15-0 after 4.

 

o

 

That's the way that it ended.

Neither team scored over the final 4 and-a-half innings.

I think that you meant to say that Cleveland would not be batting in the 9th.

 

o

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This is like no hitter probabilities.  The 50/50 point for a no hitter is probably somewhere in or after the 8th inning.  So if you see a guy has a no hitter going in the 6th, he probably has a 5% or 10% chance at it.  An average team gets roughly a hit an inning, so they get 2, 3, 4 hits on average in the 7th-9th.

An average team scores a run every other inning.  In an early blowout that might go up a bit for the rest of the game, with poor reliever and/or position players pitching.  But even at that, a game that's 15-0 after three is likely to end with the winning team scoring 18 or 19 runs.  Since 1900 there have been something like 175,000 MLB games, and one of them saw 30 runs by one team.  The surest way to see at team break the Rangers/O's record would be for them to score 26 or 27 runs in the first three frames.

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