Jump to content

MLB will be going to a three-batter minimum rule in 2020 that should make it especially difficult for lefties who struggle versus righties to find work.


weams

Recommended Posts

2 minutes ago, DrungoHazewood said:

Isn't part of the reason for the rule that we're all unbalanced now?  Every team uses eight pitchers a game, and there aren't any pinch hitters anymore.  Maybe with this rule, and maybe a few more, we can actually get back to a point where all the strategy in the sport isn't centered on matchup pitching.  Remember when Earl used to pinch hit five times a game?  Now there aren't five guys on your bench to pinch hit with!

But that's a managerial and roster management decision that every team faces. The rule has nothing to do with imbalances but because baseball somehow thinks this will shave two minutes off a game which is not going to help get young fans.

Maybe stop starting your playoff and World Series games at 8PM during the week?

Regardless, this is completely goofy. 

  • Upvote 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, Enjoy Terror said:

Ideally: "Eliminating the LOOGY will reduce bullpen calls and speed up the game!"

Reality: "Our reliever has loaded the bases because we couldn't remove him from the game, and our mop up reliever (who also doesn't have his stuff) will now put six runs on the board against us! We've now wasted an extra half hour watching terrible pitchers!"

This is a good point. So a guy comes out and clearly doesn't have his stuff, but you are forced to watch him pitch to two more batters when the offensive team just pinch hit for better match ups? So they score a bunch more runs and the game just goes longer. 

This rule is so asinine it's not even funny.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 minutes ago, DrungoHazewood said:

Isn't part of the reason for the rule that we're all unbalanced now?  Every team uses eight pitchers a game, and there aren't any pinch hitters anymore.  Maybe with this rule, and maybe a few more, we can actually get back to a point where all the strategy in the sport isn't centered on matchup pitching.  Remember when Earl used to pinch hit five times a game?  Now there aren't five guys on your bench to pinch hit with!

I remember a game in Seattle when Earl pinch-hit Jose Morales for Benny Ayala, even though they were both right-handed hitting designated hitters. But one was a fastball hitter and the other was a slider hitter. Earl made the move late in the game and Morales hit a home run, which became the game-winning run. 

As for being unbalanced now, there have always been more relief pitchers than pinch hitters. I just think that if the offense knows who is going to be pitching for the next three batters, the defense should know who the second and third batters are going to be.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 minutes ago, Tony-OH said:

Managing your bullpen full of assets is definitely strategy. Do you use your lefty now who hold on to him? Has he pitched three straight days? On the other side, do you pinch hit for your starter because of the matchup now or do you let him face a bad matchup and use your pinch hitter in a higher leverage situation later.

I just think it's goofy to start telling mangers how long they have to pitch someone. 

Another alternative would be to limit teams to nine or 10 pitchers on the roster.  Then we can let the manager come to the conclusion that using five of them for one or two batters is a poor choice.

The mid-inning pitching change is baseball's answer to five timeouts and 11 fouls at the end of every basketball game.  Stop messing around and just play the game.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Tx Oriole said:

Why can’t they just leave the game alone? It’s been a fun game for over 100 years. When they tweak the game they take chances on messing the game up. IMO 

My feeling is, if a rule change doesn’t work out, they can always change it back.    They’ve changed the definition of the strike zone a half a dozen times.    They screw around with the ball continuously.   It’s not like the game hasn’t had rule changes, written and unwritten.   I personally like this rule, but if it causes major unintended consequences they can always reverse course.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, mdbdotcom said:

As for being unbalanced now, there have always been more relief pitchers than pinch hitters.

When I was a kid the Orioles would often carry nine pitchers, five of whom were nominally relievers but some would start sometimes.  That leaves seven bench players who could pinch hit or do other things more interesting than facing a single lefty once or twice a week (complete with commercial breaks!).

  • Upvote 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

13 minutes ago, Tony-OH said:

But that's a managerial and roster management decision that every team faces. The rule has nothing to do with imbalances but because baseball somehow thinks this will shave two minutes off a game which is not going to help get young fans.

Maybe stop starting your playoff and World Series games at 8PM during the week?

Regardless, this is completely goofy. 

It will help me watch the games.  When there are two pitching changes in an inning I turn the game off.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, DrungoHazewood said:

When I was a kid the Orioles would often carry nine pitchers, five of whom were nominally relievers but some would start sometimes.  That leaves seven bench players who could pinch hit or do other things more interesting than facing a single lefty once or twice a week (complete with commercial breaks!).

MATH

Link to comment
Share on other sites

30 minutes ago, mdbdotcom said:

If you can't remove the pitcher until he's faced three hitters, than the offense shouldn't be able to pinch hit for the second and third hitters he has to face. At least that would provide some balance.

Batting changes don't take extra time.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, DrungoHazewood said:

When I was a kid the Orioles would often carry nine pitchers, five of whom were nominally relievers but some would start sometimes.  That leaves seven bench players who could pinch hit or do other things more interesting than facing a single lefty once or twice a week (complete with commercial breaks!).

Shame that isn't the best way to win games.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 hours ago, Philip said:

Every time I think of Mad Fred, and that is a typo that I’m going to leave in, I wonder if he’s deliberately trying to ruin the game. He has no sense of The “game of chess” aspect of this game. He has no response for a successful strategy except forbidding that strategy.

 Some of the things he’s done can be legitimately debated(although I personally dislike everything) but some things are just without reason or benefit. 

There will be more strategy not less. There will be more pinch hitting if you have less pitching changes you need less pitchers on the roster.  Pinch hitting for guys entails taking guys out on defense and putting other players in their place.  You might have worse defense and then in a couple of innings the player comes up to bat again and then you could have another pitching change.

The way the game is now there are hardly any pinch hitting in the American League. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 hours ago, Redskins Rick said:

I think this is ludicrous.

While I do not like the one batter specialist, I dislike even more, MLB dictating how the game will be played.

 

 

MLB has always dictated how the game is played.   They have a DH in the American League.  You get 3 outs an inning, 9 innings a game.  You can''t use aluminum bats.  

Do you want them to go back to not making foul balls strikes?  Raise the mound back up?  Eliminate the DH.  Allow the spit ball again?

All the other sports work to improve their game.  Basketball implemented  a shot clock,  Football changed the rules so you can't contact  receivers after 5 yards, Hockey eliminated the two line pass rule.  I guess you could have the sport die out because it becomes unwatchable and never have any rule changes to prevent managers from destroying the game. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Apples oranges. I don’t need to refute anything you said individually, but it doesn’t apply.

Any rule change that doesn’t accomplish a specific goal is worse than meaningless.  If the goal is to shorten the game, to what end? What is the advantage of a shorter game? Boring and short is no better than boring and long. And this change would not meaningfully shorten the game, anyway. It would, however, negatively impact strategy available to the managers, especially in the National League. It eliminates Loogy/Roogy pitchers, pinch-running or pinch hitting specialists, or specialists of any kind, because roster spots must go to more versatile players.

It does not improve the chess game. It doesn’t shorten the game. It’s just a waste of time.

We’ve gotten used to Managers challenges, Umpire reviews, crew chief reviews. But just because we get used to them doesn’t mean they’re good. No one denies that they actually made the games longer and increased dead time. I hate them. I hate robot umps (Although not as much as the umpires union)

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.




  • Posts

    • The same thing was happening was MacDonald was the DC and when Wink was the DC, that makes me put most of the blame on Harbaugh 
    • dWAR is just the run value for defense added with the defensive adjustment.  Corner OF spots have a -7.5 run adjustment, while CF has a +2.5 adjustment over 150 games.    Since Cowser played both CF and the corners they pro-rate his time at each to calculate his defensive adjustment. 
    • Just to be clear, though, fWAR also includes a substantial adjustment for position, including a negative one for Cowser.  For a clearer example on that front, as the chart posted higher on this page indicates, Carlos Santana had a +14 OAA — which is the source data that fWAR’s defensive component is based on. That 14 outs above average equates to 11-12 (they use different values on this for some reason) runs better than the average 1B.  So does Santana have a 12.0 defensive value, per fWAR? He does not. That’s because they adjust his defensive value downward to reflect that he’s playing a less difficult/valuable position. In this case, that adjustment comes out to -11.0 runs, as you can see here:   So despite apparently having a bona fide Gold Glove season, Santana’s Fielding Runs value (FanGraphs’ equivalent to dWAR) is barely above average, at 1.1 runs.    Any good WAR calculation is going to adjust for position. Being a good 1B just isn’t worth as much as being an average SS or catcher. Just as being a good LF isn’t worth as much as being an average CF. Every outfielder can play LF — only the best outfielders can play CF.  Where the nuance/context shows up here is with Cowser’s unique situation. Playing LF in OPACY, with all that ground to cover, is not the same as playing LF at Fenway or Yankee Stadium. Treating Cowser’s “position” as equivalent to Tyler O’Neill’s, for example, is not fair. The degree of difficulty is much, much higher at OPACY’s LF, and so the adjustment seems out of whack for him. That’s the one place where I’d say the bWAR value is “unfair” to Cowser.
    • Wait a second here, the reason he's -0.1 in bb-ref dwar is because they're using drs to track his defensive run value.  He's worth 6.6 runs in defense according to fangraphs, which includes adjustments for position, which would give him a fangraphs defensive war of +0.7.
    • A little funny to have provided descriptions of the hits (“weak” single; “500 foot” HR). FIP doesn’t care about any of that either, so it’s kind of an odd thing to add in an effort to make ERA look bad.  Come in, strike out the first hitter, then give up three 108 MPH rocket doubles off the wall. FIP thinks you were absolutely outstanding, and it’s a shame your pathetic defense and/or sheer bad luck let you down. Next time you’ll (probably) get the outcomes you deserve. They’re both flawed. So is xFIP. So is SIERA. So is RA/9. So is WPA. So is xERA. None of them are perfect measures of how a pitcher’s actual performance was, because there’s way too much context and too many variables for any one metric to really encompass.  But when I’m thinking about awards, for me at least, it ends up having to be about the actual outcomes. I don’t really care what a hitter’s xWOBA is when I’m thinking about MVP, and the same is true for pitchers. Did you get the outs? Did the runs score? That’s the “value” that translates to the scoreboard and, ultimately, to the standings. So I think the B-R side of it is more sensible for awards.  I definitely take into account the types of factors that you (and other pitching fWAR advocates) reference as flaws. So if a guy plays in front of a particular bad defense or had a particularly high percentage of inherited runners score, I’d absolutely adjust my take to incorporate that info. And I also 100% go to Fangraphs first when I’m trying to figure out which pitchers we should acquire (i.e., for forward looking purposes).  But I just can’t bring myself say that my Cy Young is just whichever guy had the best ratio of Ks to BBs to HRs over a threshold number of innings. As @Frobby said, it just distills out too much of what actually happened.
    • We were all a lot younger in 2005.  No one wanted to believe Canseco cause he’s a smarmy guy. Like I said, he was the only one telling the truth. It wasn’t a leap of faith to see McGwire up there and Sosa up there and think “yeah, those guys were juicing” but then suddenly look at Raffy and think he was completely innocent.  It’s a sad story. The guy should be in Hall of Fame yet 500 homers and 3,000 hits are gone like a fart in the wind cause his legacy is wagging his finger and thinking he couldn’t get caught.  Don’t fly too close to the sun.  
    • I think if we get the fun sprinkler loving Gunnar that was in the dugout yesterday, I don’t think we have to worry about him pressing. He seemed loose and feeling good with the other guys he was with, like Kremer.
  • Popular Contributors

×
×
  • Create New...