Jump to content

McPhail's bottom line


brianod

Recommended Posts

When he said this season was more about wins and losses, I interpreted...

Let's stop here, because this sounds like the issue. He didn't SAY anything like you are claiming. He SAID one thing, and you used those words to INTERPRET what you wanted to hear.

That's not on Andy MacPhail. That's on you.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Replies 84
  • Created
  • Last Reply
Let's stop here, because this sounds like the issue. He didn't SAY anything like you are claiming. He SAID one thing, and you used those words to INTERPRET what you wanted to hear.

That's not on Andy MacPhail. That's on you.

Unlike the last two seasons, this season is about wins and losses. If so, MacPhail is failing his own test. I don't know how else you could possibly interpret what he said? Can you honestly say that you interpret what he said to mean we would be worse or endure more of the same?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I think it is very reasonable to assume that when AM said that this season was about wins, that we could look for a .500 team. I think he made a mistake in estimateing the value of Jones and Reimold's production, and to some lesser extent Wieters'. Not a huge gaff but a gaff none the less. We needed more offensive support and so the Atkins experiment was a mistake. He should have spent the money he needed to, for a bat. That's not to say he was an idiot. His moves made sense, based on his evealuation of the talent involved. I wasn't on board with Jones, but Reimold has been a big disappointment for me. So who knew?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

The scary thing for me is that MacPhail thought they were ready to win this year. He basically promised the fans that his two years of work were ready to pay off. The opposite has occurred. I think that shows a total lack of judgment on his part. If he misjudged that, what about his future judgments? Of course, the season isn't over and I really hope he was right. Injuries and underperformances have derailed the early season. Maybe, they turn it around. I doubt it very much with the current coaching staff but I sincerely hope I'm wrong.

I personally think that the statement made by AM was made in the context of Dave Trembley's evaluation as a manager, not some declaration that the club was ready to compete in 2010. AM said that in DT's first two years he was asked to steady the ship and help the young kids get acclimated to the bigs. When the decision was made to bring DT back, it was under the expecation that he be judged on wins and losses. Unfortunately, the statement by AM has taken on a life of its own. To date this season, the team has underperformed notwithstanding the injuries and the schedule, and I supsect that the underperformance will cost DT his job. That's how things roll in sports, managers get fired way before GM's. You want to hold AM accountable and that's fine. For me, I look at the young talent the organization has accumulated in the past few years and am willing to ride out some growing paints with AM another season or two as I think things will improve.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Seems like AJ and Reimold are the only ones really stuck in a slump...the others have highs and lows. Heard the Reimold is not having mechanics issues but more mental issues for dumping his pregnant fiance. Saw her facebook and she's with child...not sure if rumors are true but that would surely affect someone's game. The rest seeming to be coming along.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

What do you mean, when you say ready to win? I'm not even sure if AM thought the Orioles were a .500 team.

It was abundantly clear from his interview yesterday with Garceau that was not the case.

This was the transition year, though. This was the year where the team benefitted from leaps and bounds from their prospects and went into the offseason looking to spend money (or prospects) on a big bat or two.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

When he said this season was more about wins and losses, I interpreted that as saying we will be significantly better this season then last. We are worse. I was hoping for .500. I was hoping for being a competitive team. I'm really shocked that we seem to have taken a step back. I don't mean to say he promised a playoff spot, he certainly didn't. But he did seem to think we would be better. We aren't.
Let's stop here, because this sounds like the issue. He didn't SAY anything like you are claiming. He SAID one thing, and you used those words to INTERPRET what you wanted to hear.

That's not on Andy MacPhail. That's on you.

Unlike the last two seasons, this season is about wins and losses. If so, MacPhail is failing his own test. I don't know how else you could possibly interpret what he said? Can you honestly say that you interpret what he said to mean we would be worse or endure more of the same?
I think you're both right. Terp, brian isn't saying that he expected 90 wins, or that MacPhail said we would be contending for a playoff spot. He's saying he expected us to have shot at .500. I think most people thought we'd have a shot at .500, with something in the upper 70s being the most likely outcome.

And brian, while we certainly have had an abysmal start this year, I think if the team plays at that pace that you expected them to coming into the year, roughly .500, over the last 130 or so games of the season, then that would ultimately be just as about as exciting for 2011 as it would be if they played at that pace for all 162 games. It'd be disappointing to add one more notch to the streak of losing seasons, but we would have done that anyway if we had finished 80-82, but most of us would still all be feeling good about our chances of being a serious contender in 2011 with a few additions and more progression.

So say we play about .500 ball the rest of the way and finish 74-88. Are you really going to be considerably more pessimistic about 2011 in that case, where we start 8-22 and then finish 66-66, than you would have been had we started something like 13-17 and then finished 66-66 to get to a 79-83 record?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I think you're both right. Terp, brian isn't saying that he expected 90 wins, or that MacPhail said we would be contending for a playoff spot. He's saying he expected us to have shot at .500. I think most people thought we'd have a shot at .500, with something in the upper 70s being the most likely outcome.

And brian, while we certainly have had an abysmal start this year, I think if the team plays at that pace that you expected them to coming into the year, roughly .500, over the last 130 or so games of the season, then that would ultimately be just as about as exciting for 2011 as it would be if they played at that pace for all 162 games. It'd be disappointing to add one more notch to the streak of losing seasons, but we would have done that anyway if we had finished 80-82, but most of us would still all be feeling good about our chances of being a serious contender in 2011 with a few additions and more progression.

So say we play about .500 ball the rest of the way and finish 74-88. Are you really going to be considerably more pessimistic about 2011 in that case, where we start 8-22 and then finish 66-66, than you would have been had we started something like 13-17 and then finished 66-66 to get to a 79-83 record?

I care a lot more about how this team plays in July, August and September than I do about the bad start.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I think you're both right. Terp, brian isn't saying that he expected 90 wins, or that MacPhail said we would be contending for a playoff spot. He's saying he expected us to have shot at .500. I think most people thought we'd have a shot at .500, with something in the upper 70s being the most likely outcome.

And brian, while we certainly have had an abysmal start this year, I think if the team plays at that pace that you expected them to coming into the year, roughly .500, over the last 130 or so games of the season, then that would ultimately be just as about as exciting for 2011 as it would be if they played at that pace for all 162 games. It'd be disappointing to add one more notch to the streak of losing seasons, but we would have done that anyway if we had finished 80-82, but most of us would still all be feeling good about our chances of being a serious contender in 2011 with a few additions and more progression.

So say we play about .500 ball the rest of the way and finish 74-88. Are you really going to be considerably more pessimistic about 2011 in that case, where we start 8-22 and then finish 66-66, than you would have been had we started something like 13-17 and then finished 66-66 to get to a 79-83 record?

I think MacPhail has a lot riding on the rest of this season. If we finish .500 from here on out, I'd take it as a positive but optimism would depend on his moves next off season. I think one thing we can all agree on is that MacPhail has not made us competitive and has made a lot of mistakes. Another win total in the sixties would go a long way to convince me he's simply not up to the task.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I personally think that the statement made by AM was made in the context of Dave Trembley's evaluation as a manager, not some declaration that the club was ready to compete in 2010. AM said that in DT's first two years he was asked to steady the ship and help the young kids get acclimated to the bigs. When the decision was made to bring DT back, it was under the expecation that he be judged on wins and losses. Unfortunately, the statement by AM has taken on a life of its own. To date this season, the team has underperformed notwithstanding the injuries and the schedule, and I supsect that the underperformance will cost DT his job. That's how things roll in sports, managers get fired way before GM's. You want to hold AM accountable and that's fine. For me, I look at the young talent the organization has accumulated in the past few years and am willing to ride out some growing paints with AM another season or two as I think things will improve.

Yes, when Trembley was interviewed after he was rehired, he said that MacPhail told him he would be judged on wins and losses. A GM simply can't hold a manager accountable like that unless he feels that he has given the manager the talent to be better. This season isn't over and I'm rooting for a big improvement as all of us are. But, if it doesn't come, then we have two possible scenarios. One, Trembley is a bad manager who doesn't get the most out of his talent. Two, MacPhail over estimated the talent he provided the manager. Either scenario is the responsibility of MacPhail. He had two years to judge Trembley. It isn't possible to simply blame Trembley because it was MacPhail's decision to bring him back.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.




  • Posts

    • Good point, no other metropolitan area has more than one team.
    • Could it be that they allowed the Gnats to reside within 30 minutes of their home. Effectively cutting their market in half? 
    • Got my all-time low rarity score on today's game - 6.
    • 41 freaking years and here's this guy with the name pickles telling me I should be happy with 91 wins and getting owned in the playoffs again. 😂 😂 I saw a team that looked terrible the second half and probably didn't even deserve that spot the way they were playing .
    • Lol. Here's the funny they know more then you know. Typical Oriole fan who's happy with getting punched in the mouth. 
    • I don’t like the wall. I think it’s affecting our hitters. I’ve mentioned before that I think it has totally warped Mountcastle into something he was never really meant to be. The guy came up as a pull-heavy HR hitter, and in his first season-plus (725 PAs), he puts up 38 HRs and a 116 wRC+. Since then, the wRC+ is down to 110, and his approach has totally changed, with his pull numbers plummeting (down from 39% in 2021 to less than 28% this year). He still hits the ball hard, but constantly underachieves his batted ball data — probably because he’s trying to avoid the pull field and hitting balls to the deepest parts of pretty much every other park. Will the same thing happen to Mayo? Maybe he has more pure power, but it’s always going to be a challenge for a RH slugger to survive with that wall. So much harder to do damage.   Beyond that, I think it’s also creating a serious risk of changing our LH hitters’ approaches too. These guys (Henderson, Holliday, Cowser, 2/3 of Adley) have come up with a reputation for being able to drive the ball to all fields. But how long does that continue when they just can’t hit it out to the opposite field? Our LH hitters had a combined 44 wRC+ at OPACY, and only one HR. They had the 3rd most balls hit to LF at home by LHHs, but the lowest wRC+ of any team on those balls (for the second straight year). The Royals, ironically enough, were the only team that was lower than a 70 wRC+ — that’s how much worse our lefties fared going oppo (at OPACY) than everyone else’s. By player: Gunnar Henderson: 112 wRC+ / .160 ISO (51 PAs) Adley Rutschman: 10 wRC+ / .026 ISO (38 PAs) Anthony Santander: 14 wRC+ / .095 ISO (43 PAs) Colton Cowser: 58 wRC+ / .057 ISO (36 PAs) Ryan O’Hearn: 47 wRC+ / .091 ISO (55 PAs) Cedric Mullins: 23 wRC+ / .100 ISO (41 PAs) Jackson Holliday: -72 wRC+ / .000 ISO (16 PAs)   On the road, they had a combined 126 wRC+ (with 9 HRs) going to left field, so it’s not like they’re bad at it. It’s just Death Valley out there in LF for them at OPACY.  How long will it be until these LH guys just start going full pull-happy? Essentially, the opposite of what’s happened with Mountcastle. When (a) your team’s philosophy is to focus on doing damage and (b) you can’t DO damage to the opposite field — the rational endpoint is just to try to pull everything. I don’t think that’s a good outcome. I think it makes them much worse hitters in the other 81 games, and I think it’s a terrible waste of a bunch of really talented hitters with all-field abilities.
  • Popular Contributors

×
×
  • Create New...