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Aglets

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Everything posted by Aglets

  1. Maybe Jorge Julio is in talks to show too.
  2. We have 7 of our 9 regulars with an OPS above league average (.705). Not too bad. Unfortunately we still have a team OPS of only .690 since we started off so slow. It will climb up though over time I think.
  3. Aglets

    Jorge Mateo

    Worth 2.0 WAR so far with about half a year left. That is insanely good value for a pre-arb player. We have control of him for 3 more years after this....all arbitration years. Really hard to say what the answer to the question is though. Then you have the TEAM LEADER in WAR is Urias at 2.6. He isn't even arb eligible until 2024. I think you have to see what you have with him for a little bit. Gonna be very interesting to see how Elias makes room for Westburg and Henderson and Vavra in the near future. I guess Odor's spot is vulnerable at least.
  4. Signing deadline for new draftees is on August 1st. So i predict people that sign before August 1st could report before August 1st. But everyone who signs by August 1st will report by then or very shortly thereafter. You're very welcome! :)
  5. Nice write up from MLB.com. "Walters wasn’t heavily recruited coming out of high school in Florida and headed to Eastern Florida State College, a two-year school in Brevard County. After a year there shortened by the pandemic, he moved to Miami and made an immediate impact out of the bullpen. He became the Canes’ closer in 2022 and has been among the Division I leaders in saves. At this point, Walters is pretty much a one-pitch pitcher. The 6-foot-4 right-hander throws his fastball more than 90 percent of the time and goes right after hitters with it. It tops out at 99 mph and averages over 95. Even though opponents know it’s coming, they can’t hit it, with a whiff rate of over 40 percent this spring. There’s deception in his delivery, as he steps across his body and hides the ball well, making it tough to pick up, and the pitch has really good life up in the zone. Walters does have a slurvy breaking ball at present, but it’s a below-average show-me pitch at this point. He’s been filling up the strike zone consistently this year, and while he obviously will have to work on finding a secondary pitch to his unhittable fastball, it’s hard to argue with the success he’s had at the end of Miami’s pen."
  6. ugh, why is Elias and his crew so obsessed with pitching? Can't he take some hitters for once?
  7. Top prospects remaining according to MLB.com. Brock Porter, RHP (HS) Tristan Smith, LHP (HS) Malcolm Moore, C (HS) Jonathan Cannon, RHP Gavin Guidry, SS (HS) Trystan Vrieling, RHP Bryce Hubbart, LHP Brady Neal, C (IMG Academy) Sam Horn, RHP/SS (HS) Bradley Loftin, LHP (HS)
  8. 538 currently has us at 7% odds to make the playoffs.............and projects our 'average' final record to be 76-86. Pretty incredible even if we end up with 'only' 76 wins when we are in the last year of the big tear down.
  9. No. Since we have Mountcastle. Good question though.
  10. Snell is pitching exactly at replacement level right now (or slightly below). Basically the same as Jordan Lyles. If we want that level of production in 2023 I think we can get it for less than $16M. Also Lyles has pitched far more innings so far this year.
  11. Really like this quote from Elias. "...we're going to see what the next few weeks bring. Everything can change so dramatically, given how rapidly we've come on and the fact that our division is so stacked. It's a pretty narrow pathway for our playoff odds to increase. But in our view, the 2023 picture is increasingly bright, in our view." Redundancy aside, this is the most direct sign I've seen him confirming what I've been saying for a long time. The target time to really flip the switch is coming in '23. Coming from Elias..........that quote seems outright cavalier.
  12. Did some number crunching here. We are just a bit beyond the season midway point, so i thought it might be worth checking in here. Rather than do an analysis of individual fly balls in each game, I am just looking at aggregate stats. To be clear, there are still some SSS concerns, and I know the strength of schedule hasn't been identical for home/away games, but it will get there. Interestingly enough, the Orioles are scoring MORE runs at home so far in 2022 vs on the road. (4.31 Runs scored / game at home vs 3.98 on the road). This is a bit unexpected and will be worth following to see if it normalizes over the rest of the season. We are allowing one whole run fewer per game at home vs away. (3.79 runs allowed / game at home vs 4.78 when we are away). So to be clear, I am not drawing any definitive conclusions from this. I am NOT saying that the wall is guaranteed to save us 81 runs allowed over the course of the year (and allow us to score roughly 27 extra runs, for a total of +108 Run Differential). I am NOT saying that I would do something as irresponsible as saying that those extra 108 runs over the course of the year will boost us by 10 or 11 wins this year, according to the principle that 10 runs or so equals a win in sabermetrics. I am NOT saying that the wall moving back has unilaterally caused all of this surprise success. I will simply say, I was pleased when the announcement was made about the wall moving back at the time. I explained my reasons in threads like this. And I am pleased with the results so far.
  13. Saw this bomb too today. Pretty impressive shot to dead center.
  14. I was at this game today, excited to see Gunnar in person. Gunnar didn’t really do anything offensively, but Diaz impressed me with the HR and the double. He made incredibly hard contact both times.
  15. That's awesome that it sounds like there may be a real market for some of our guys. As long as I don't see the term "PTBNL" in any of the returns....................
  16. Man, now imagine if he hadn't lost a whole 2020 season due to covid shenanigans. We'd have been yammering for his promotion to MLB as a teenager. Probably.
  17. Hello there! Through a set of fortuitous circumstances, I have tickets to attend the Tides game this coming Sunday at Harbor Park. I am taking my wife and two oldest kids. My oldest son received some baseball cards recently as a birthday gift, and is excited to sort them and learn bits and pieces about the game. Through even MORE fortuitous circumstances....he got a shiny Gunnar Henderson card in one of the packs! How easy / possible would it be for us to get to the park a bit early in an attempt to get an autograph from Mr. Henderson on the card? Any tips / advice? I think this would really make a cool memory for my kids and I to share and bond over. Thanks guys.
  18. Update. He got the cycle!!! 4 for 4!
  19. I'm sure Ryan Flaherty is available to hold the fort down for a bit.
  20. Hit a homer today! Bet that helped him feel better.
  21. Through 3 innings now, Hall has struck out 8 batters. Also allowed 1 run though and is at 65 pitches.
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