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Jim Bowden Believes The Orioles Will Need To Pay Manny Close To $400 Million To Lock Him Up Long-Term


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36 minutes ago, spiritof66 said:

Small point, but I'm tired of reading stuff that says or implies that Manny is a better third baseman than Brooks was based on Brooks' comment (made a few times, I think) that Manny makes plays he couldn't have made,

I sure don't know whether Manny makes plays that Brooks couldn't have made in his prime. I doubt anyone else does either, including Brooks. Maybe you could reach such a conclusion after a detailed study of both players on film; even if that could be done, I'm pretty sure nobody has done it. I'm confident that Brooks has made these remarks not because he knows what plays he couldn't have made 50 years ago (!), but rather because, like the rest of us, he is extremely impressed by Manny's fielding ability and is a loyal fan of the Orioles (and therefore of Manny) and, unlike many of us, he is a generous, kind gentleman who is modest about his own accomplishments.

Bowden takes this one step further by saying Brooks "admits" that Manny makes plays he couldn't have made, as if someone had to drag that out of him. Comparisons of Manny's 3B play to that of Arenado, Beltre and other contemporaries are meaningful. Comparisons to Brooks, IMO, are not -- especially where what's being compared is not their overall defensive play but their ability to make specific spectacular plays. That's true, again IMO, even (or maybe especially) when Mr. Third Baseman is making the comparison.

 

I think you're reading too much into this. There are many things I lament are different from the game I grew up with in the 60s and 70s, but the fact is that today's athletes are simply superior -- they're bigger, faster and stronger than players were in those days. So of course Manny can make plays that Brooks could not have made. Kevin Kiermaier makes plays that Paul Blair could not have made. Today's players may lack a bit in certain fundamentals that were important in those days. I may get irritated with all the strikeouts and the inability of players to hit to all parts of the field (which would eliminate most of the god-awful shifts). But as athletes, there is simply no comparison. And that athleticism allows them to do things that players of the 1960s simply could not do.

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The only way Manny gets this much (and even then it is a reach), is if the team he plays for currently completely botches negotiations, doesn't even start them, and lets him get to free agency where other teams can bid, pretty much sealing his fate for said current team. 

 

 

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7 minutes ago, Moondoggie said:

I think you're reading too much into this. There are many things I lament are different from the game I grew up with in the 60s and 70s, but the fact is that today's athletes are simply superior -- they're bigger, faster and stronger than players were in those days. So of course Manny can make plays that Brooks could not have made. Kevin Kiermaier makes plays that Paul Blair could not have made. Today's players may lack a bit in certain fundamentals that were important in those days. I may get irritated with all the strikeouts and the inability of players to hit to all parts of the field (which would eliminate most of the god-awful shifts). But as athletes, there is simply no comparison. And that athleticism allows them to do things that players of the 1960s simply could not do.

While I don't necessarily agree with everything you wrote here, there is no question that athletes get better and the game evolves.    Just as one example, I never saw a shortstop flip a ball with his glove to the 2B in the first 20 years or so that I was a fan.   Then, after someone did it successfully, others started trying it, and at first they were woefully inaccurate most of the time.    Nowadays, it's a play you see someone pull off a couple of times a week.    And most of the time, the flip is used appropriately, i.e., when there's no other way to make the play.

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As Manny gets physically bigger, his skills seem to be deteriorating at 3B. He's still very good, but it seems hes a little slower reacting to the balls to his glove side. In the future, I think your paying for his offense. And no way is he a $400m bat.

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Manny is a great player, but I'm still waiting for that dominant MVP type year before I would believe he is worth a 10 year contract at over 300 million.

Manny's career line so far is

That's very good, but not spectacular, not MVP worthy

Everyone expects him to breakout and have a Trout/Harper/Pujols type season or two, but are we sure it will every happen?

 

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2 minutes ago, El Gordo said:

I think he'll want an opt out with whomever he signs. Few teams stay competitive for more than 5 years. He may want to move just to keep winning.

I have no problem at all with giving Manny an opt out, so long as it's at least 3 years into the FA period and the contract is structured so that the bigger salaries are in the back half of the deal.   Stanton's deal is a good example.   He'll have 7/$208 mm (plus a $10 mm buyout on another year at $25 mm) remaining when his opt-out kicks in after the 2020 season.   

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23 minutes ago, Frobby said:

I have no problem at all with giving Manny an opt out, so long as it's at least 3 years into the FA period and the contract is structured so that the bigger salaries are in the back half of the deal.   Stanton's deal is a good example.   He'll have 7/$208 mm (plus a $10 mm buyout on another year at $25 mm) remaining when his opt-out kicks in after the 2020 season.   

Neither do  I Apparently PA does.

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4 minutes ago, El Gordo said:

Neither do  I Apparently PA does.

Just because he's been reluctant to do them in the past (at least, DD has said DD doesn't like them) doesn't mean he'll apply the same rules to Manny, who is as special a case as you can have.

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49 minutes ago, El Gordo said:

I think he'll want an opt out with whomever he signs. Few teams stay competitive for more than 5 years. He may want to move just to keep winning.

Yeah, that's why players ask for contracts with opt-outs.   To give them an option to "keep winning".

Nothing all to do with the abillity to get a much bigger contract (see:  Grienke, Zach) if the market has changed in the player's favor.

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