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I think half of Fangraphs’ staff over the years came from Lookout Landing. I rarely read other teams’ sites, but I agree Pinstripe Alley is one of the best Yankee sites. -
For one thing, they don’t have Bautista shutting things down in the 9th inning or extra innings. Second, 30-16 just doesn’t happen every year. I’m actually pretty encouraged that the O’s have played .650 baseball without winning a disproportionate number of close games.
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Four more shutout innings for Chace last night, 2 hits, 3 walks, 6 strikeouts. His ERA is 0.91, WHiP 1.21, K/9 12.7. The only blemish is his 5.2 BB/9. He’s pitched 8 games and has only allowed runs in two of them. Yesterday he threw 45 of 68 pitches for strikes. For some reason the O’s kind of have him under wraps, as he’s only been allowed to exceed 70 pitches twice, back in April. He’s also been kept to four inning outings. They’re clearly being very careful with the 20-year old (turns 21 in three weeks). In fairness, they did need to shut him down for a month late last summer, so I’m guessing it’s more season load management than game-by-game decisions. In any event, it’s been a promising campaign for Chace.
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I mean, I don't want to denigrate your experience, but I think you're underestimating the power potential of elite athletes. The leg strength required to send a grown man 20 mph from a dead stop is the same leg strength required to do a deadlift, or do a squat. Can your buddy run a 4.5 40? -
The Orioles were 30-16 in one-run games in 2023. They are 6-6 this year so far. Orioles magic hasn’t been there this year, at least so far. What changed? -
I can’t even believe the grasping of straws going on here. Why don’t we just bring up every guy at Norfolk who has an .800+ OPS, since they’re obviously better than their major league counterparts? Oh wait, everyone at Norfolk has an .800+ OPS! As to Mullins, yes he’s looked awful at the plate for a month, but the O’s are nowhere near the point of regularly benching him or pinch hitting for him in key situations vs. RHP. You know why? Because even good players have slumps, and the best way to get them out of it is to keep playing them until they emerge from them. And Mullins has a long enough track record where the odds of him coming out of this eventually are decent. Not 100%, but a lot more likely than not. I mean, the guy had an .859 OPS the first 3 weeks of the season. That guy didn’t have some instantaneous physical decline that has turned him into the second coming of Chris Davis permanently. I know it’s frustrating to watch him right now. I’m as frustrated as anyone. But every major league team would be doing what the Orioles have been doing, for another 4-6 weeks at a minimum.
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But it doesn't really matter if correlation implies causation, because we can at least infer that people with fast 40 times have a good chance of being able to squat 2.5x their body weight, regardless of whether there is a causative relationship. And we have verifiable data thay many football players at skill positions are able to squat large amounts of weight that would be out of reach of many other people even given the same amount of training and diet. So with both if these things in hand we can safely assume that these lifting numbers are achievable for most elite athletes, which Holliday qualifies as. So I don't think we should be shocked or skeptical that he's able to pull these numbers. I'd also be shocked if there wasn't a causative relationship between 40 times and lifting heavy. Lifting large amounts of weight requires powerful muscles in the legs. Running really fast also requires powerful muscles in the legs. You can get in the weeds about muscle fiber type but to me if you're good at one, there's a great chance thay you're at least moderately good at the other.
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