Tony-OH

Literally you may be only one in the world that one, remembers Bryan Bass, and two, was sad when it wasn't him signing autographs. Sayin that, what an interesting "fan forum" it would be with him, Richard Stahl, Billy Rowell, Josh Hart, and of course, Matt Hobgood.

Seriously, who cares? Manager of the year is always about teams that over achieve. Most managers don't do anything different from year to year. Nowadays, with computer models setting lineups for a lot of teams, the manager is limited to managing personalities and we hope, in game pitching and pinch hitting changes.

It's deserved for sure. We are always going to find faults here and there and since I don't know who's making the lineups out everyday, I have say he did a great job. Any manager that presides over a team that improved 31 games deserves this award!

I was just making a joke. I could really care less how many coaches they have. Just win.

At some point the Orioles major league coaching staff will be more than the players at this rate. Next up, Catcher's philosophical affirmation coach.

I think we're at least a year or two out from getting to that point. When you can carry three backup catchers and several replaceable pitchers on your 40-man, you still have a ways to go. Even with the guys that need to go this offseason, I don't think the organizational will lose anyone of significance this Rule five.

Cool site, never seen that before.

I found this on him. Seems like it was not a suicide, but an accident: "Recently, Mike's ex-Sister-in-Law Lin was kind enough to email me and set the record straight. I considered Mike another brother even after he and my sister split he was still part of my family. I met Mike when I was 12 and he been dating my older sister, Mike was an only child so he was intrigued by the interactions of my family (4 kids) and my uncle who lived with us at the time. I was devastated at his death. I will let you know that he did not commit suicide. He was driving to Palm Springs with his girlfriend who also had a young child. I spoke with her after Mike's death but have lost touch with her, she was badly injured but survived the accident. She wrote to me after she was released from the hospital to let me know that it was purely an accident. So it has been frustrating to see reports that he committed suicide, he had so much to live for and was loved and would never have left his son this way." http://baseballcardbreakdown.blogspot.com/2015/11/setting-mike-reinbach-story-straight.html Interesting fellow to look back at is stats though. This guy's blog has a lot of info on his baseball cards and such. Saying that, he's a guy I like to play with in Out of the Park Baseball and see if they could have had a major league career. Imagine if we had a 22-year old left-handed hitting outfielder who slashed .346/.457/.617/1.074 with 30 HR, 97 BB to 81 Ks? Now, he did play half his games at McCormick Field where the RF line was just 297 ft and right-center just 326 ft so that certainly helped his power output. Light hitting Royal Stillman, also a left-handed hitter hit a career high 23 homers there. His next highest output was 14 in Rochester in 1975. Now he did make 15 errors in the OF which is pretty bad, so it's possible that he was a pretty bad defensive outfielder. The next year in Rochester (AAA) he lost a bunch of time when he broke his ankle so his numbers were down. He got an invitation to spring training in 1974 and actually made he team, but Earl Weaver used him sparingly and mostly as a pinch hitter, with him getting just 3 starts at DH, and only one in RF, laying further claim that he was probably a pretty bad defensive outfielder. In his last major league at bat, he pinched hit for Mark Belanger in the bottom of the 9th and struck out against Steve Foucault in a 4-2 loss to the Rangers on 1 June. He was sent back to Rochester and it appears he didn't play a ton there either, and ended up slashing just .233/.325/.380/.705. In 1975, at 25-years old, he actually put up a good year in Rochester slashing .290/.375/.439/.814 in 501 PAs, but never even got a call up in September on a poor hitting Orioles team. While Ken Singleton blocked him at RF, the Orioles played 36-year old Tommy Davis at DH where he slashed just .283/.315/.357/.671 at DH including just .273/.306/.359/.665 in 344 PAs against right-handers. You got to wonder whether Reinbach would have done better with those PAs? After the Orioles traded for Reggie Jackson, Reinbach reached out to the Hansin Giants and mad a deal. He would go on to have a great career over there becoming a fan favorite for his hustle and homeruns. This article gives a great recap over there including a video where he hots a home run (starting at 1:12 mark.) https://www.thehanshintigers.com/team-history/imports-year-by-year/mike-reinbach/ Maybe I will go back and run a season with him as DH instead of Tommy Davis in 1975. If I do I'll give you guys the results.

I'd like to see Kjerstad get some 1B experience next year to see what he looks like. Then you can start figuring out where guys could fit in and which guys will be trade bait.

Wait, no Creed Willems?

Here in lies my issue with any "predictor of success" stat. Players are human and because of that, no predictor will ever be a "crystal ball." But, we can surmise that using expected stats are a general way to have an idea whether a player was "lucky" or "unlucky" in his actual results. That's really about it. I haven't done enough studying into expected stats to understand whether they are really an indicator of future outcomes or not. Maybe someone will go back and look at the last 3 or 4 years and see if they were with Orioles players.

When you read quotes like that from Adley, you realize the specialness of him as a player.

Well the study did not look into any of the statcast data to include expected stats, EV, barrel %, etc. Personally, I'm more intrigued by the information collected from statcast then anything done baed off pure statistics from the year before. In case you are not familiar, "Statcast is a state-of-the-art tracking technology, capable of measuring previously unquantifiable aspects of the game. Set up in all 30 Major League ballparks, Statcast collects data using a series of high-resolution optical cameras along with radar equipment. The technology precisely tracks the location and movements of the ball and every player on the field, resulting in an unparalleled amount of information covering everything from the pitcher to the batter to baserunners and defensive players. Visit MLB.com's glossary for more information."

Both of the "studies" are old (2013 and 2018). I'm not a huge "predictor" of future success guy when it comes to most stats because there are so many factors that go into these things. I would like to see a study done on whether a player expected stats in statcast are a predictor for anything in season or for the next season. I like the "x" stats, but I just don't know how much of a true predictor they are.

Sure, but he doesn't have the bat for 1B.

I just meant as a high leverage left-handed reliever vs exactly the same type of career. Sure, we can hope for Hader and honestly, the talent is there to be similar, but Hader was already dominating at the major league level at 23.

I think Urias sticks around as a super sub that still gets 300 PAs or so. In the perfect world he would be left-handed with Westburg and Ortiz being RH. This is one of the reasons I think Mountcastle may be dealt. Houston could be a partner there since Mountcastle would have hit I think something like 37 home runs if he played there vs Camden Yards. Then I think the Orioles look for a left-handed hitting left-handed first baseman with some pop and OBP skills.

Andrew Miller is an excellent comp for Hall. It's certainly still possible that he could end up more, but I think that's where they will get the best value from him.

I know I'm old, but man, a Phillies vs Astros looks like a great NLCS matchup! lol It's still hard to see the Astros in the AL after all these years. In other news, this will be the 3rd time the Phillies have been in the World Series since playing the Orioles in 1983 while the Orioles have not returned. Ask 13 year old me when the Orioles won that year whether I thought that would be possible and i would have laughed at you. Of course an expansion team from 1996 has won two WS (Marlins), another has been in one (Rockies) and Washington has one. Let's hope we can get on a new run over the next decade and change all that.

The Phillies had a +62 run difference while the Orioles had a -14 so they are still a bit ahead of us. The point though is the truth, and it's why the team should be set up to have long term sustainment of winning to get into the playoffs. This team doesn't need to win the Division every year to be a World Series contender and from next year on, the Orioles should be a playoff contender.

If he's ready, he's ready. He'll be playing 24 years old next year, if he plays well in the spring then I see no reason to keep him in AAA. If he wins the SS job, the team still has Henderson or even Westburg to move there if he's injured.

The last paragraph is where I'm at with him going to the pen next year. Ultimately you'd like to see another 10-20 starts before making a decision on him long term, but if this team needs an impact reliever and Hall can provide that, I'd rather see him pitching in that role than in AAA on what should be a contending team next year.

I think Hall goes into spring training as a starter and then they see how things go. There are many factors that could go into where he starts the year to include, offseason acquisitions, spring performances, injuries to other starting candidates, and bullpen need. So you go into spring with Hall preparing as a starter, but depending on how things go, I could see him anywhere from starting 2023 in the Orioles rotation, Orioles bullpen, or Norfolk rotation. I'll be honest though, I think he's probably best out of the pen. I just never saw the consistency as a starter outside of a few brilliant starts in AAA.

I wouldn't say slump proof, but I will say high OBP players tend to make contributions more often than low OBP players. I've seen Adley take an 0-for-3 but have two walks and that helps the team vs the 0-for-5 we'll see Mountcastle or Mateo take way too often because they just don't have that skill. Back to Ortiz though, I'd like to see Mateo dealt this offseason to free up the spot and I'd honestly give Ortiz a shot at SS in spring training while also playing Gunnar there. While I think ultimately Gunnar will be at 3B, I do think he could handle SS next year so we have a fall back with Urias returning to 3B if Ortiz is not ready. Honestly, I'd play Ortiz at SS and 2B to compete against Westburg and see how the chips fall in the spring. I'd have zero issues with the Orioles starting a rookie SS-2B combo next year in Ortiz and Westburg although I tend to think Westburg will be used as trade bait.

I'm not saying you are saying Elias is infallible, but we have some people on here including normally sane posters that are ready to defend the Bemboom move when it was unnecessary and befuddling at the very least. My concern is that we have people in very high places, to obviously includes Elias that value Bemboom to the point they added him to the 40-man roster to keep hi from other teams. Some of you are like, oh well, but I seriously have concerns that this is the type of player this organization values. Shake a minor league tree and ten Bembooms fall out. Hell, sit and watch the waiver wire and two more fell into the Orioles lap after they claimed another one earlier in the season with Gallagher. So that's three Bemboom types off waivers, so why the need to add him to the 40-man when he was sitting on the bench in AAA. I think we are on the same side when it comes to this being buffudling at best, just I go a step farther and start to have concerns about the team's ability to evaluate if their evaluation people came up with Bemboom and Cave being valuable.