The Nick Markakis Projection Thread

[gpolee]

Except with only 2 stolen bases.

Basically similar to Brian Roberts back in the day.

[gpolee]

Not true. In fact, a player's prime is 28-32, according to king bill james.

"...the majority aren't the same players at and around 30."

[Daddy-O's]

For what it's worth, I saw pictures of the x-ray of his hand after it was hit. It was absolutely crushed, it had to take a long time to heal.

[BradyBunch]

Isn't that exactly what you are doing?

Nah, I am saying he's not the same player and his option should be used. If he wants to resign with us next year for $7m.. then sure. But I don't want him around for $17m if he has another 2013.

[Moose Milligan]

Really want to see him hitting leadoff, too.

I think he realized he couldn't coast off of natural ability any longer and got to work this offseason.

What's this based on? Where'd he ever coast on natural ability and NOT work in the offseason? Has this been documented?

[Can_of_corn]

Really want to see him hitting leadoff, too.

What's this based on? Where'd he ever coast on natural ability and NOT work in the offseason? Has this been documented?

It is solely based on my own, idle speculation.

Never claimed otherwise.

[Frobby]

[

Nah, I am saying he's not the same player and his option should be used. If he wants to resign with us next year for $7m.. then sure. But I don't want him around for $17m if he has another 2013.

I don't think anyone will disagree with that. The harder question is, let's say Nick comes in at .800ish. Do you exercise the option then? Remember, keeping Nick costs $15.5 mm more than letting him go -- they'll spend $2 mm on the buyout if they don''t exercise the option.

[Can_of_corn]

[

I don't think anyone will disagree with that. The harder question is, let's say Nick comes in at .800ish. Do you exercise the option then? Remember, keeping Nick costs $15.5 mm more than letting him go -- they'll spend $2 mm on the buyout if they don''t exercise the option.

I don't then I extend him the qualifying offer. If he accepts then it is basically the same as if they picked up the option, if he walks they get the pick.

[Frobby]

I'm bumping all the projection threads I've done in the last week or so to encourage everyone to get their votes in today. Over the weekend, I'm going to look them over and post some conclusions about where the OH community seems to be with respect to the Solid Six.

[Can_of_corn]

Didn't they say that last spring?

[El Gordo]

[

I don't think anyone will disagree with that. The harder question is, let's say Nick comes in at .800ish. Do you exercise the option then? Remember, keeping Nick costs $15.5 mm more than letting him go -- they'll spend $2 mm on the buyout if they don''t exercise the option.

I think you pay the buyout no matter what he does this season. If he does well you can negotiate a team friendly extension, but you don't offer him 17 M ever.

[Can_of_corn]

I think you pay the buyout no matter what he does this season. If he does well you can negotiate a team friendly extension, but you don't offer him 17 M ever.

If he breaks 4 WAR I think you have to seriously consider it. Sure 15 million is a lot of cash but it is just one year contract at the end of the day.

[OrangeJerseys]

I doubt he's ready to fall off the cliff. I'm hoping for .760 OPS or better and at least a .340 OBP.

Nicky's gonna light it up this year.

Rickey reincarnated.

(without the steals obviously)

[Can_of_corn]

Nicky's gonna light it up this year.

Rickey reincarnated.

(without the steals obviously)

Rickey died?

[OFFNY]

.

HR's: 23

RBI's: 103

BA: .293

OBP: .372

R's: 97

2B's: 43

3B's: 2

SB's: 4

BB's: 71

SO's: 88

HBP: 5 (If Sabathia is one of them, we're all going to beat the crap out of him.)

MVP: 22nd

ALL-STAR GAME: No.

GATORADE: Glacier Freeze for the entire season.