20 Games left: Realistically what would it take to get WC? Will 16-4 do it?

[mdbdotcom]

It's possible of course' date=' but most things are. Some are just extremely, extremely, unlikely. But if they can at least make it interesting that would be fun.[/quote']

Interesting is always better than the alternative.

[Ruzious]

We just need to win 22 of our next 20, and we might be in.

[webbrick2010]

Well at least the team has no one to blame but itself. Not like we had an unfair schedule or anything. The two teams that are fighting for the last two WC spots, Texas and Minn. We played them 13 time and won one lousy game. That will really stick in my crawl this offseason. A split and we would have been in it.

[mdbdotcom]

Well at least the team has no one to blame but itself. Not like we had an unfair schedule or anything. The two teams that are fighting for the last two WC spots, Texas and Minn. We played them 13 time and won one lousy game. That will really stick in my crawl this offseason. A split and we would have been in it.

I'm glad something will make you uncomfortable all year. At least your Phillies will have the first pick.

[O's84]

ALl I ever ask for is for the Games these last two weeks of September to be meaningful. I am a fan of any front office that can do that for me. Four Years running.

Interesting is always better than the alternative.

Sure beats 14 years of losing!

[Snutchy]

The state of Tennessee is loaded with minor league teams, isn't it ???

I love going to Tides, Baysox, Keys, and IronBirds games.

And I miss the Bluefield Orioles, too.

The Shorebirds are the only minor league affiliate of the Orioles that I have never seen in person.

Feel free to come visit us in Salisbury next summer. We can grab a bite to eat and catch a game. My treat.

[isestrex]

In the 2 WC era, here are your WC winners:

2012: Rangers - 93

2012: Orioles - 93

2012: Braves - 94

2012: Cardinals - 88

2013: Indians - 92

2013: Rays - 92

2013: Pirates - 94

2013: Reds - 90

2014: Royals - 89

2014: A's - 88

2014: Pirates - 88

2014: Giants - 88

The absolute FLOOR the Orioles can aim for is 88 wins. The Orioles would have to go 17-1 in their final 18 games to finish with 88 wins.

I'm rooting hard, but it just doesn't seem mathematically plausible regardless of how many teams are ahead of them.

EDIT: I'm much more interested in rooting for them to go 11-7 over the next 18 games to finish the season with 82 wins and a 4th straight season over .500

[OFFNY]

Feel free to come visit us in Salisbury next summer. We can grab a bite to eat and catch a game. My treat.

Thank you.

Much appreciated.

I'll send you a PM.

Patrick

[SteveA]

In the 2 WC era, here are your WC winners:

2012: Rangers - 93

2012: Orioles - 93

2012: Braves - 94

2012: Cardinals - 88

2013: Indians - 92

2013: Rays - 92

2013: Pirates - 94

2013: Reds - 90

2014: Royals - 89

2014: A's - 88

2014: Pirates - 88

2014: Giants - 88

The absolute FLOOR the Orioles can aim for is 88 wins. The Orioles would have to go 17-1 in their final 18 games to finish with 88 wins.

I'm rooting hard, but it just doesn't seem mathematically plausible regardless of how many teams are ahead of them.

EDIT: I'm much more interested in rooting for them to go 11-7 over the next 18 games to finish the season with 82 wins and a 4th straight season over .500

Based on the current standings, I disagree that is a proper floor. If you think it will take 88, you are basically saying that:

Texas will go at least 11-7

Houston will go at least 11-6

Even though they play each other 5 more times. I don't see that happening.

One of them wins the west, if the other doesn't get the 11 wins, say gets 8 or 9, then the wild card is at 86.

(To get to 88, the Angels would have to go 14-4, the Twins would have to go 12-6. They play each other a bunch too. Could happen, but I would say less than 50% likelihood).

I think the second wild card will be at 86 or 87 wins this year. Probably still out of our reach.

But if we get a bit of luck in terms of help from other teams (and Texas or Houston winning at least 4 or 5 from the other so that one of them pretty much runs away with the west and the other takes a hit)... I think it COULD be as low as 85 wins.

We need 14-4 to reach that... still unlikely of course, but that's what I'm hanging my hat on. Basically winning every series, and sweeping at least 2 of them (including the current one which we can sweep with a win tonight). And get a bit of help as described above.

As soon as we lose a series, or someone above us gets too hot so that 85 becomes really unlikely, I'll revise my hopes.

But right now... I'm just looking to win every series, including sweeping a couple, and hope we get a bit of help. As long as that is still possible, I won't give up hope completely.

[Reboulet'sStache]

Well at least the team has no one to blame but itself. Not like we had an unfair schedule or anything. The two teams that are fighting for the last two WC spots, Texas and Minn. We played them 13 time and won one lousy game. That will really stick in my crawl this offseason. A split and we would have been in it.

That's insane.

[abbott]

I hope you are right. But thats all it is. This team is not good. And frankly, if anyother team with this record, and these players won a wold card from this position it would not only be a miracle but a travesty of baseball and proof the Wild Card is a joke

This team is the WORST in the league against good teams. The Worst. Teams with worse overall records have better success against teams with winning records than the Orioles do.

2015 was not only a miserable season, but a complete and utter failure that leaves real fans angry. From First to garbage. Was 2012-2014 supposed to be the glory years for my kids?

[OriolesMagic83]

20 and (-3)

The O's lost their chance at the playoffs w/ their terrible slide in August. No team that wins 1 games total against the Twins and Rangers deserves to go to the playoffs.

[sportsfan8703]

I'll take 82 wins all day. 4 straight winning seasons sounds really good after the 14 losing ones. Somehow even with expanded rosters we were short on arms last night. I'd like to see Chris Jones from Norfolk called up. Lets face it the way are rotation has been we're going to need to go to the pen in the 3rd inning sometimes before the game gets out of hand. I'm optimistic we can go on a little run these last two weeks.

[foxfield]

I think perspective is important. This has been a very difficult season after winning the AL East and returning to first place only to fade sharply. But it is getting late in September and the Orioles are playing meaningful games. I will save the criticism until the season is done but I still expect a winning record.

4 seasons in a row is a streak I can live with in spite of any disappointments that come with it. Losing sucks....even more than Cito.

[SeaBird]

I can't get excited over a "winning season". A season without a playoff appearance is a failure. Oddsmakers show they have a 0.3% chance of getting to the post season. Now they have 10 on the road (29-45 .391 w%) in Tampa (3), DC (4) and Boston (3).