Cost considered, who would you prefer to sign among Davis, Upton, Heyward, Cespedes or Gordon?

[OFFNY]

BP has our playoff odds at 0.3%, and they've been that low for at least a week even though we're winning. I'd like to finish over .500, which requires us to go 9-5. That's difficult enough without any pipe dreams about the playoffs.

Yesterday, Nebraska made an amazing comeback against the Miami Gangsters, only to lose by a field goal in overtime.

With 11 minutes to play in the 4th quarter, they were down by a score of 33-10.

At that point, ESPN had their chances of winning the game at less than 1% (0.8%.)

They proceeded to score 3 touchdowns and two 2-point conversions to tie it up (the final TD and 2-point conversion coming with 33 seconds left to play in the 4th quarter.)

An ill-advised pass by Tommy Armstrong, Jr. in overtime sealed their fate though, and Miami kicked a field goal on their offensive possession for the 36-33 win.

Of course, the fact that that happened yesterday may make it even less likely that the Orioles will make a similarly amazing run for a postseason spot which would still have them alive on the final day of the season ...... if you take stock in those odds and the subsequent rarity in which they happen, which I do.

[El Gordo]

It's always fun to go to a game, but not everyone can go every day. For those, a mediocre season isn't all that much fun.

[OFFNY]

BP has our playoff odds at 0.3%, and they've been that low for at least a week even though we're winning. I'd like to finish over .500, which requires us to go 9-5. That's difficult enough without any pipe dreams about the playoffs.

Yesterday, Nebraska made an amazing comeback against the Miami Gangsters, only to lose by a field goal in overtime.

With 11 minutes to play in the 4th quarter, they were down by a score of 33-10.

At that point, ESPN had their chances of winning the game at less than 1% (0.8%.)

They proceeded to score 3 touchdowns and two 2-point conversions to tie it up (the final TD and 2-point conversion coming with 33 seconds left to play in the 4th quarter.)

An ill-advised pass by Tommy Armstrong, Jr. in overtime sealed their fate though, and Miami kicked a field goal on their offensive possession for the 36-33 win.

Of course, the fact that that happened yesterday may make it even less likely that the Orioles will make a similarly amazing run for a postseason spot which would still have them alive on the final day of the season ...... if you take stock in those odds and the subsequent rarity in which they happen, which I do.

In other words, there IS a chance that the Orioles will make the postseason.

[Frobby]

In other words, there IS a chance that the Orioles will make the postseason.

0.3% is not zero. It's just very close to zero.

[waroriole]

0.3% is not zero. It's just very close to zero.

It is. Until it is zero, I'll take some enjoyment out of the fact that we could make a run like CLE did 2 years ago.

[SteveO]

I took Heyward. Youngest of the bunch, most likely to get the most out of a longer deal from. Upton would be second for me followed by Davis, Gordon and Cespedes. At this point though, would be pretty happy with any of them.

[InsideCoroner]

I guess that Astros comeback yesterday really was the dagger.

Personally I think the real dagger that we fell upon, seppuku-style, was that Twins series a month ago.

[Justinlstn]

I really like Davis, and would love to keep him but if I had to pick one I would choose Heyward. He is the best bet to be worth his contract, especially at the end of the deal. I think any one of those these guys would do well at Orioles Park. Gordon would probably be a good clubhouse guy. He has had his ups and down in his career and could probably share some wisdom with the younger guys. His numbers are very Markakis like. I wouldn't even mind taking Upton, even with how streaky of a hitter he is. The only one on this list I would not want is Cespedes.

My ranking based on my preference

1. Heyward

2. Davis

3. Gordon

4. Upton

5. Cespedes

[Fuzzball22]

Listening to MLB radio yesterday and Duquette and Bowden had them ranked

Heyward

Cespedes

Upton

Davis

No mention of Gordon. Neither of them said they would go 6 years on Davis. They liked Heyward because of his age and defense and Cespedes because of his versatility. I would not touch Cespedes. I would be fine with Heward but he might cost more than Davis. Not a fan of Upton. For the right price Gordon would be a good fit. But i think Davis is probably the most important for us.

[TouchemAll]

I can't believe I picked Davis but if the guy can crank out 30-40 Hr for the next 2 or three years he's the guy I want even with the lousy strike out rate.

I just don't think he's going to be in the O's budget, SO Hayward is 2nd

[JohnnyEutaw]

Davis. Look at the success we've had as a team since he's been on the roster.

You can shake it up for a slightly better player i you want, but keep in mind how much Davis is liked in the clubhouse and how he supplies that raw power that we simply do not possess without him.

[Ruzious]

Someone mentioned Fowler - I think in another thread, and I poopoo'd the idea, but I'm doing a 180 now. I was thinking he'd insist on staying in CF, but after reading up on him - he probably shouldn't be a CFer. And he's got some very good hitting stats - consistently at 110 and up OPS+. He gets on base at a good rate and hits with decent pop that might improve at Camden Yards. He might be the best value of the proven OFers.

[weams]

Someone mentioned Fowler - I think in another thread, and I poopoo'd the idea, but I'm doing a 180 now. I was thinking he'd insist on staying in CF, but after reading up on him - he probably shouldn't be a CFer. And he's got some very good hitting stats - consistently at 110 and up OPS+. He gets on base at a good rate and hits with decent pop that might improve at Camden Yards. He might be the best value of the proven OFers.

But isn't part of his market value the fact that he IS a center fielder? And don't you end up paying for that?

[weams]

I would argue that Fowler, statistically, has been a slightly below average defensive CF, so no his value is more on the offensive side and his overall value may be improved by a move to LF or RF.

But you pay for him as a center fielder. Just as everyone would for Adam Jones. Statistics don't cancel that.

[weams]

I would argue that Fowler, statistically, has been a slightly below average defensive CF, so no his value is more on the offensive side and his overall value may be improved by a move to LF or RF.

You pay for him like you would a shortstop, catcher or centerfielder. Even if you don't like his defense there.