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Would we be a contender with Gallarado and/or Fowler in the fold for 2016?


Frobby

Would adding Gallardo and/or Fowler make us a contender in 2016?  

111 members have voted

  1. 1. Would adding Gallardo and/or Fowler make us a contender in 2016?

    • We are likely to be a contender with or without Gallardo and Fowler
    • We are not likely to be a contender regardless of whether we have Gallardo and/or Fowler
    • We need both Gallardo and Fowler to be likely to contend
    • We need only Gallardo to be likely to contend
    • We need only Fowler to be likely to contend


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Maybe. Have to hope Oakland and Seattle play well or you could have three clubs in the AL West winning 90.

I always go into the season with the expectation that it will take 90+ wins to make the playoffs. That's been the case most of the time, even though the last two years have been exceptions (88 and 87 were enough those two years).

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I just think it's a tight line to walk. The pitching concerns me and I think one or two injuries could blow up the season quickly. I took the question as binary, so even if it's just 49/51 I think the team is more likely not to be a competitor. I don't think this is a bad ball club. The same, I do believe it is built with little margin for error and with an expectation that there will not be regression/injury relating to any regular contributor.

I'm not sure I completely agree. Some positions more or less than others. Rotation is thin even with Gallardo. Outfield, with Fowler, has above-replacement (plausibly, likely?) Reimold, Rickard, Alvarez in reserve, plus Trumbo. Catcher goes two deep in decent MLB starters. Infield has strong front-line talent/possibilities, but it's a long way down to Flaherty/Janish if anyone goes down. Pen is reasonably deep.

They could lose a catcher or OF with relatively little impact, but a bad Tillman or Gallardo season might be hard to recover from.

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I'm not sure I completely agree. Some positions more or less than others. Rotation is thin even with Gallardo. Outfield, with Fowler, has above-replacement (plausibly, likely?) Reimold, Rickard, Alvarez in reserve, plus Trumbo. Catcher goes two deep in decent MLB starters. Infield has strong front-line talent/possibilities, but it's a long way down to Flaherty/Janish if anyone goes down. Pen is reasonably deep.

They could lose a catcher or OF with relatively little impact, but a bad Tillman or Gallardo season might be hard to recover from.

Depth is a strength on this team, assuming the two acquisitions under discussion. I feel very good about this team's ability to withstand some injuries. It really boils down to how the starting pitching performs.

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We didnt think the 2014 had enough talent to end the season 20 games above 500 and reach the ALCS either.

If you take all teams that you don't think have the talent to finish 20 games over .500 where do they end up on average? Somewhere way short of 20 games over .500. You can hope for outliers, the right-hand tail of the distribution, but you have to understand they're just that.

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If you take all teams that you don't think have the talent to finish 20 games over .500 where do they end up on average? Somewhere way short of 20 games over .500. You can hope for outliers, the right-hand tail of the distribution, but you have to understand they're just that.

Its all guesswork at this point, what is going to happen on the field, like you plan it on paper, it seldom does.

So personally, to me it's almost silly to say at this point in time, that this is a 500 team, a 20 game under 500 team, or a 20 game above 500 team.

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Its all guesswork at this point, what is going to happen on the field, like you plan it on paper, it seldom does.

So personally, to me it's almost silly to say at this point in time, that this is a 500 team, a 20 game under 500 team, or a 20 game above 500 team.

If you don't have a fairly decent idea of the talent level of the team in 20 game buckets you're not trying very hard.

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