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No more Lakins and Armstrong


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    • Yeah, that's true.  Pitcher wants to get a first pitch strike, they want to put something over the plate or near the plate. I think you can do both, though...I think you can take a rip at the first pitch if it's in the zone and if you miss or check your swing...well, you can still have a productive at bat.  You can still work a count.   So basically the Orioles are Babe Ruth on the first pitch.  If that's the case, then why have they been in a 2 week slump?
    • Holliday may be less of a sure thing but he clearly has more value in a trade than Robert does.
    • Based on his 2023 season ….Absolutely. Holliday is still a prospect. The top prospect in baseball mind you….but yes. Look back in history at trades that included prospects rated in say the top 5 and see if any of them netted a 1 for 1 trade. Further, I like Holliday and as I stated I’m not trading him. But that doesn’t mean he has more value. 
    • Base running is more than just speed. It's a skill. That skill has to be honed like any other. Reading pitchers. Seeing the play in front of you. Understanding how much of a lead is enough. Hearing the second baseman moving toward the bag behind you. As defenses incrementally improves as a player progresses through the minors, so too should base running skill. But only if it is exercised and challenged
    • This might explain the Orioles clear change in approach.  If you see a pitch you like on the first pitch take a big fat rip at it.  League average SLG is .550 and the O's are at .700.  So there's some analytical wisdom behind going up and hacking.
    • I can't find the article right now, but I recall reading a while back that there was some evidence that hitting tons of home runs correlates with beating your pythagorean expectation.  That's one of the reasons why the early-mid 2010s Orioles teams with prime Chris Davis frequently beat our expected win totals.  Since we're at or close to the stabilization rate for a lot of HR/power numbers I don't think the conclusion here is that our style of play is unsustainable.   Also, offense around the league is in the absolute gutter, so the runs we're able to score are pretty meaningful.
    • Then again, a game with all three of them homering would be sweet! (Bonus question: which outcome is more likely?)
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