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Some early OPS projections are out already


Frobby

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1 hour ago, Can_of_corn said:

Technically speaking I agree.  I think Rom is more likely to make at least one start in the majors than Hall is.

You change the threshold to say 30 starts, and I think it's Hall.

Hall could end up as a back end reliever, if he has pitch count troubles.   He’ll probably get 30 starts before any such switch is considered, though.  

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On 12/6/2021 at 8:19 PM, Frobby said:

This now shows Marcel/Steamer/ZiPS and adds Odor:

 

Mullins .801/.762/.783

Mountcastle .793/.793/.797

Mancini .790/.783/.818

Hays .765/.762/.771

Urias .761/.727/.728

Santander .751/.761/.762

Stewart .706/.729/.751

Mateo .695/.654/.667

Odor .691/.698/.723

Jones .669/.674/.660

McKenna .663/.676/.686

Gutierrez .661/.693/.634

Rutschman —-/.787/.797

Stowers —-/.750/.734

No real outliers there    I like that ZiPS is pretty bullish on Stewart, would have value at .751 OPS, and all three systems have McKenna gaining 100+ OPS points, which still leaves him sub-.700 but sort of on the edge of good enough for a backup OF who is mostly going to be a defensive replacement/pinch runner.   With Stowers at .750/.734 that’s a plausible trio of backups   

 

Bumping this because I can’t read the original post in dark theme mode.

 

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On 12/6/2021 at 8:37 PM, Frobby said:

Now the same with the pitchers, and throwing in Lyles:

 

Sulser 3.71/4.25/.3.94

Means 3.88/4.46/4.35

T. Wells 4.17/4.27/4.92

Scott 4.19/3.58/3.73

Tate 4.29/4.24/4.37

Zimmermann 4.60/4.85/5.46

Lowther 4.72/4.90/5.22

Fry 4.75/3.94/4.24

Baumann 4.80/5.21/5.40

A. Wells 4.88/5.22/5.49

Lyles 4.97/5.50/5.75

Akin 5.23/4.95/5.06

Kremer 5.28/5.04/5.64

Lopez 5.48/3.93/5.24

G. Rodriguez —-/4.67/4.59

ZiPS has the highest of the three ERA projections for T. Wells, Zimmermann, Lowther, Baumann, A. Wells, Lyles and Kremer.   They aren’t the low on anyone listed above except GrayRod, who Marcel didn’t project.  Unfortunately, I think the ZiPS projections are probably closer to reality.  

Same with the pitchers.  

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