Big Mac

I was curious and looked back through previous seasons on baseball reference this evening. The last time the Orioles won more than 14 games through their first 21 games played was 1968 when they won 15. Including this season, they've won 14 games through their first 21 exactly 8 times since 1968 ('69, '70, '85, '94, '97, '05, '17).

This is terrible. This isn't some 11 am tuesday game in the carolina league this is a major league baseball game.

The only current member of the bullpen with a FIP above 3.24 is Austin Voth. Other than Voth and Perez, everyone in the bullpen has a FIP below 3.

Other may have a different view, but I personally don't think Cowser is a much superior prospect. If I could only have one I'd pick Cowser, but I think they are pretty close.

Move it to Oakland.

Mountcastle mentioned this himself in his post-game interview yesterday, but he also struggled mightily at the beginning of 2021 after a promising debut in 2020. In April 2021, he hit .198/.229/.286 with 4 BB and 30 SO.

He certainly didn't slow play Cowser and Norby last year or Stowers in 2021. I think the general consensus is he errs on the conservative side for initial placements and then is willing to aggressively move people up.

I listened this morning. One of my key takeaways from when she was discussing Stowers was that they aren't comfortable playing him in left field in Camden Yards. She didn't explicitly say this, but that was clearly the implication.

I was listening driving home from work the other night and in the middle of the at-bat she was going on and on about how great the more balanced schedule is, talking about the opportunity for our guys to see people like Kershaw, etc. I had no clue what was going on in the actual game, which happens far too often when I listen to games where she is doing play-by-play.

I think that is a bit of a different situation. They intended for both Mancini and Mountcastle to play everyday, but even that became a bit crowded once Adley came up and needed some DH time.

The idea of using a 26-man spot on a backup 1B/DH is absurd to me. Are there any teams that actually do this? The O'Hearn/Diaz/other AAAA 1B guys were brought in as Tyler Nevin replacements, IMO. If Mountcastle has to go on the IL we'd rather roll with one of those. They don't want to give almost 200 PA in 2023 to a Nevin-type.

I'm a lawyer as well and yeah, this checks out.

I think in any profession it is fair to want to be compensated consistent with the market. If you feel you aren't getting that then you have a right to be upset whether the market is $50k or $10MM. That being said, there is a way to speak about it without coming across as "whiny". I haven't watched the Burnes interview yet so I have no opinion as to whether that is what he was doing or not.

Agreed, I think there is a good chance he ends better than a .600ish OPS guy. His track record to date however obviously shows that his floor is much lower than present day Austin Hays.

He's had a full season of ABs in his career at this point to the tune of a .616 OPS, 70 OPS+ and -1.7 WAR. He would need to demonstrate massive improvement to even be comparable to Hays.

On the flip side, given his innings limits and how it seems like pitchers haven't fared well in ROY recently, they may not view the likelihood of him finishing in top 2 of ROY to be that high. SG just mentioned Kirby's year last year and he finished a distant 6th in ROY voting.

Right, and on the flip side, not every AL team is going to win at least 70 games. Oakland may not win 60.

Nobody is suggesting acquiring him, as has been pointed out he was already traded to the Marlins this offseason. It's just an example of a player that has proven to be pretty valuable at 1B despite limited power.

They are based on the year that a player needs to be added to the 40 man, so I wouldn't put any stock into the ETAs.

They had pretty similar FIPs last season. I personally think the luck is bound to run out for someone who has gone from 9.0 K/9 to 4.8 K/9 in two seasons, but Greinke certainly knows how to pitch so maybe he can keep being effective while not missing bats. Anyway, I think it's obvious Greinke didn't have much interest in pitching here or likely anywhere other than KC so I don't think we really had the option of Greinke or Gibson. It will be interesting to see how they compare this season.

As CoC pointed out, I'd be shocked if he would have come here for that price or even substantially more. Also, I'd put good money on Gibson having a better '23 season than Greinke.

I'm not sure if they would be willing to do that and lose the chance at the extra draft pick if he finished top-2 in ROY, at least if I'm understanding how that works correctly.

There is a note at the beginning of the article that he uses the year a player needs to be added to the 40 man for the ETA and that, while they manually adjust in some cases, that is where those dates come from. From looking at our list it doesn't look to me like any manual adjustments were made for ETAs.

I do not think he can repeat a 2.4dWAR, no. He'll be 28 already this season and a number like that is much more likely to be an outlier than something that is repeated consistently.

The question may be more of if Ortiz can replace 0.8 WAR, which is what fangraphs projects for Mateo this season. I agree 3.5 WAR is nothing to sneeze at and that would be a tall task for Ortiz in his rookie season, but my expectation is that Mateo does not sniff 3.5 (or 2.8fWAR) next season.