Jump to content

Buck: "We're going to grind the heck out of the Rule 5 draft."


stef

Recommended Posts

I can remember Buck replacing both Quintinilla and Casilla with Flaherty for late inning defense. If he were a poor defensive SS, Buck would have DD get him a better one. I think I'll trust Buck's eye test over yours. :rolleyestf:

Well that certainly wasn't the case in 2012, when Flaherty played exactly 1 inning at SS. Which came in May - well before the O's had Quintanilla. In fact, once he was on the roster, Quintanilla became the replacement for Hardy. Not Flaherty. Hell, Andino played more games at short than Flaherty did in 2012.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Replies 97
  • Created
  • Last Reply
Well that certainly wasn't the case in 2012, when Flaherty played exactly 1 inning at SS. Which came in May - well before the O's had Quintanilla. In fact, once he was on the roster, Quintanilla became the replacement for Hardy. Not Flaherty. Hell, Andino played more games at short than Flaherty did in 2012.
Well since those guys must have been superior SS to Flaherty, I wonder why we kept Flash over them as our UTIF. His bat? :rolleyestf:
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Says you. :rolleyestf: You need at least 2 years at a given position for defensive metrics to have any meaning. About 2500 Innings

There's a difference between unreliable and meaningless. If someone hits .200 in 100 PAs that's an unreliable estimate of his true talent. But it is some evidence that he's unlikely to really be a .380 hitter, or even a .325 hitter.

It's probably not all that often that a plus shortstop has 25 games of a -8. Could happen. But not real often.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I think you don't know Dan and Buck then. I think the Orioles will always spend 25000 to take a look at someone.

You don't think that the roster spot is not more valuable for a competing team? They may take someone, but they shouldn't force themselves to keep a guy for the whole season.

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Link to comment
Share on other sites

You don't think that the roster spot is not more valuable for a competing team? They may take someone, but they shouldn't force themselves to keep a guy for the whole season.

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

I think that for spring training at least that the roster spot is not an issue. They did not force the issue this year. But the saw what they wanted to see.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

You don't think that the roster spot is not more valuable for a competing team? They may take someone, but they shouldn't force themselves to keep a guy for the whole season.

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Well the pick from last season sure had a convenient "injury" the same thing could happen next season.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

This is a lazy response. You're basically making a proclamation with no evidence to back it up, then -- when challenged on it -- still providing no evidence and instead asking someone else to do the legwork to prove you wrong.

According to FanGraphs, Flaherty has a career -4 defensive runs saved at shortstop. He has a negative UZR at both shortstop and third base. So the advanced defensive numbers (which are admittedly not perfect) indicate that he's not above average at either of those positions. I'd say he can play OK defense at short and third and is above average at 2B.

Now, back to you. What evidence is there that Flaherty can play above average defense at three positions?

I didn't try, not because I'm lazy (although thanks for the insult) but because I don't trust defensive metrics as much as I trust my eyes. My eyes tell me, given experience, flaherty will be very good. Your metrics are questionable and your sample size is pitiful. So, there is no proof either way

Link to comment
Share on other sites

If Almanzar stayed on the roster for 162, Young would have been gone, right?

Correct. But they knew that he was someone worth trading for if they got the chance. Almanzar was always Manny insurance. Besides. It was Pearce that got released for Delmon.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

There's a difference between unreliable and meaningless. If someone hits .200 in 100 PAs that's an unreliable estimate of his true talent. But it is some evidence that he's unlikely to really be a .380 hitter, or even a .325 hitter.

It's probably not all that often that a plus shortstop has 25 games of a -8. Could happen. But not real often.

In 238 IN Flaherty has an actual UZR of -1.3. I'd say that is very unreliable as an indicator of his ability. But to cite from those 238 IN an UZR/150 of -8.3 as indicative of anything remotely resembling his ability is more than meaningless, it's specious.
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.




  • Posts

    • This series loss is really tough to get over. As much as I’m not surprised by it, it’s such a disappointment. I keep thinking of that sequence of Ced’s HR and bases loaded, and we somehow couldn’t come away with the lead. That was absolutely demoralizing. It’s hard to not accidentally score a run there.
    • A RH power bat to stick somewhere in the 3-4-5 slots. I would see what the Giants might want in a trade for Heliot Ramos. He hit .370 / .439 / .750 against LH pitchers this year, and would look awesome in the middle of all our lefty batters.  
    • Early in the offseason and my opinions may change, but here are my thoughts at this time. 1st - I'm ready to move on from Mountcastle.  And O'Hearn should only be a platoon option.  I hope we sign someone like a Alonso or Walker who doesn't have massive L/R splits and who can play on a daily basis, regardless of who is on the mound, and make both Ryans expendable, and we trade them for whatever we can get.  Otherwise we probably keep the platoon going, with the Ryan's splitting based on the SP.  Unfortunately Mayo hasn't show anything in the majors to make me think he's ready to be a regular in the lineup yet.  That could change in the spring, but right now we can't plan on him. 2nd - This is Holidays spot to start the season.  We won't be bringing in any competition for this spot.  Holiday didn't earn it by his play, but his pedigree and the money/time invested into him will give him a pretty long leash, for good or bad.  If he falters Westburg may be moved off of 3rd to play here instead. SS - Gunnar is here.  We won't be bringing in any competition for this spot. 3rd - Westburg.  He should hold this spot down unless Holiday struggles, and then he might be moved over the 2nd.  We don't bring in any real competition for this spot. Util - I don't like it, but I expect us to keep both Mateo and Urias, though I'm not 100% sure if we think Mateo will be ready for OD.  If Mateo isn't expected to be ready then I can see us bringing in someone for this role, though I'm not sure who off the top of my head. C - Adley has this spot, though if we are going to continue to keep his load light, we need a GOOD backup.  And after Adleys struggles the 2nd half of the season, I'm even more concerned about the quality of the backup than I was before this year started.  I'm just not sure how many GOOD backups exist, and any of the really good catchers are going to want to start more than they would here.  I'm not sure Basallo is ready for MLB time, and after the struggles with Mayo and Holiday, we surely can't count on him even if he is on the mlb roster.  McCann could come back...I don't love that idea, but I could see it happening. OF - We start with Mullins, Cowser and Kjerstad, don't try to resign Santander unless he take the QO.  I'd LOVE to see us bring in someone good here (Soto would rock, but clearly isn't going to happen) maybe Pederson or Hernandez or something.  Spend a bit of money here and get someone who has a decent bat. So upgrade 1st base with a non-platoon player and bring in a good vet in the OF.  Say goodbye to the Ryans and Santander. Pitching - I'd love to sign a #1 like Burnes or Snell, but I think they get more years and money than we are willing to go.  I can see us being in on a Max Fried or Jack Flahertyt.  Also possible to see some of the lesser guys, the Andrew Heaneys of the world. Bullpen - I expect to see a few journeyman/low level signings.  With the controllable players we traded for this year and what is returning I don't see us signing anyone big for the bullpen.  
    • I think it’s pretty natural for kids to take special notice of the guys with speed who make exciting plays like steals and triples and defensive “web gems.” Seems like the kids now are higher on guys like Mateo and Mullins than the grownups, and I think that was the case with Brian Roberts back in the day too. As for clutch, in going through some of the clutch numbers, one guy who stood out as a possible fit for us is Alex Bregman. He has a career 144 wRC+ with runners on base and a .294 BA with RISP — I tend to care a little more about BA when a hit scores a run. His postseason heroics are also pretty well-known. Not sure what you’d have to pay him, and I’m pretty sure signing him would necessitate the Holliday-to-CF move. But if they’re not willing to play in the Soto sandbox financially, Bregman would be a veteran guy with championship pedigree and (importantly) ties to Mike/Sig that could put him near the top of their list. 
    • Just to be as clear as possible, when they were doing better early in the season, they were swinging more, not less. 4/1 - 6/30: 7.2 BB%, 49.3% swing rate, 29.8% out of zone swing rate, 22.2% whiff rate, .316 OBP 7/1 - 9/30: 8.7 BB%, 47.8% swing rate, 29.0% out of zone swing rate, 22.4% whiff rate, .315 OBP 2023: 8.4 BB%, 47.8% swing rate, 29.9% out of zone swing rate, 23.0% whiff rate, .321 OBP They took less walks early in the year, they swung more often at both balls and strikes early in the year, and their OBP/whiff rates were essentially identical in both halves.  The notion that they turned into free-swinging hackers in the second half — and that’s why they failed — seems to be pretty commonly held here, but it’s not backed by any data. They were actually more patient at the plate in this season’s second half than they’ve ever been during the Adley era.
    • Meant to say I wouldn't mind him managing the Orioles. I always liked him as a manager. 
    • It is a foolish hope to expect a full season out of Rodriguez. Kremer is fine, and I’m glad to have him. Suarez was better in most meaningful stats, but we don’t know what Suarez is going to do. He could possibly be just a flash in the pan. Povich is trade or depth. We need depth. Our 2025 -ready pitchers all have potential problems. but now we also need outfielders and infielders
  • Popular Contributors

×
×
  • Create New...