Jump to content

Composite Top 100 MLB Draft Prospects


Greg Pappas

Recommended Posts

19 hours ago, Philip said:

I wish the Commissioner would give some serious thought to how to make the draft more interesting. One great way would be for him to be absent.

That's funny, but almost no one besides you makes a decision on watching the draft based on Manfred's presence.

I think they should get rid of the draft, and then have a three day amateur signing window extravaganza. Each team gets an amount they can spend based on the inverse of their market size.  At 7pm on June 15th they say Go!  At 7pm on June 18th they stay stop, and nobody can sign their first MLB-affiliated contract for another year.

  • Upvote 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

9 minutes ago, Moose Milligan said:

Blaze Jordan dropping that far is interesting, he was looked at the next Harper at one point.  I wouldn't mind if we drafted him.

Some like him, some don't. A ton of raw power in BP, but a lot of swing and miss in games. For me, he has to prove he can hit higher level pitching consistently. Probably a 1B profile, but maybe a corner OF if he works hard. 

  • Upvote 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, Jammer7 said:

Some like him, some don't. A ton of raw power in BP, but a lot of swing and miss in games. For me, he has to prove he can hit higher level pitching consistently. Probably a 1B profile, but maybe a corner OF if he works hard. 

That's kinda how prospects work ;) 

He's only 17.  I'm not saying he's a stud but he's fallen in the draft rankings accordingly.  If he's there at 39 or 74, why not?  

  • Upvote 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

21 minutes ago, Moose Milligan said:

That's kinda how prospects work ;) 

He's only 17.  I'm not saying he's a stud but he's fallen in the draft rankings accordingly.  If he's there at 39 or 74, why not?  

Its just a lot of risk based on projected value. If he was a real solid defender and had a better floor, maybe I could see it. There just isn't a consistent track record there of hitting against even solid level competition. Small town kid from Mississippi, who trimmed his body nicely before this Spring. But apparently was not showing the same power early in the season before COVID. This is the kind of kid that teams want to see prove himself in college. I doubt Sig's modeling would be favorable to him. I hope the kid has a great college career and ends up the next Torkelson. It is just too much risk, especially at picks 30/39 to take a probable 1B who may not hit enough to get to Frederick.

BA has him ranked at #90. Nah, I pass in favor of those with more likely overall value.

  • Upvote 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

30 minutes ago, Jammer7 said:

Its just a lot of risk based on projected value. If he was a real solid defender and had a better floor, maybe I could see it. There just isn't a consistent track record there of hitting against even solid level competition. Small town kid from Mississippi, who trimmed his body nicely before this Spring. But apparently was not showing the same power early in the season before COVID. This is the kind of kid that teams want to see prove himself in college. I doubt Sig's modeling would be favorable to him. I hope the kid has a great college career and ends up the next Torkelson. It is just too much risk, especially at picks 30/39 to take a probable 1B who may not hit enough to get to Frederick.

BA has him ranked at #90. Nah, I pass in favor of those with more likely overall value.

I didn't flesh out my point enough.

I mean, outside of the top 10-15, it's a giant crapshoot.  Even the guys like Sig can make an educated guess but they're only able to guess slightly better than we can.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Moose Milligan said:

Blaze Jordan dropping that far is interesting, he was looked at the next Harper at one point.  I wouldn't mind if we drafted him.

Meh.    I’m glad he could hit a BP fastball a very long way when he was 14, but that’s got very little to do with being a great baseball player.   I’ve got nothing against the kid, but I thought the hype was ridiculous a couple of years ago and it should have nothing to do with how we evaluate him.  

  • Upvote 1
  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 hours ago, Jammer7 said:

Some like him, some don't. A ton of raw power in BP, but a lot of swing and miss in games. For me, he has to prove he can hit higher level pitching consistently. Probably a 1B profile, but maybe a corner OF if he works hard. 

@Eric-OH is not a fan. 

  • Upvote 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

On 6/8/2020 at 11:16 AM, DrungoHazewood said:

That's funny, but almost no one besides you makes a decision on watching the draft based on Manfred's presence.

I think they should get rid of the draft, and then have a three day amateur signing window extravaganza. Each team gets an amount they can spend based on the inverse of their market size.  At 7pm on June 15th they say Go!  At 7pm on June 18th they stay stop, and nobody can sign their first MLB-affiliated contract for another year.

Thats not necessarily a bad idea but it would put Unfair pressure on the kids. “If you don’t take my offer you’ve got to wait another year”

Regarding the Manfred quip, I mentioned it just because it illustrates his shortsightedness. It such a simple thing to tell the team that their draft picks could be announced by someone meaningful to that team. A bit of “Rah-Rah Go Orioles, we pick Joe Schlabotnik to continue to our wonderful tradition” blah blah.” It wouldn’t mean much but it would mean something. Instead Manfred does it all himself, which means less than nothing. Regardless of who people want to see announcing a pick, or how much they care, Everyone, even those who don’t care, would, if choosing, would choose somebody other than Manfred. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

On 6/7/2020 at 4:56 PM, Greg Pappas said:
  1. Allow trades with very little restrictions, with the NFL Draft being a guideline.
  2. While it'll never rival the NFL, they could do a better job of promoting the draft and the prospects, since most viewers are unfamiliar with them.
  3. See #1. :)

I'm open for allowing trades, but restricting the trading of draft picks to when that pick is on the clock would certainly make for some added drama. The problem would be preventing these deals from leaking beforehand.

  • Upvote 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

16 minutes ago, jamalshw said:

I'm open for allowing trades, but restricting the trading of draft picks to when that pick is on the clock would certainly make for some added drama. The problem would be preventing these deals from leaking beforehand.

I like the idea of trading draft picks.  I also like the idea of directly buying and selling players.  But with the draft picks you need to be careful.  Teams might sell out the future for immediate gain.  What do you think Dan Duquette would have done with tradeable draft picks and an owner that basically wouldn't let him invest in development?  The Orioles might not have a pick in the top five rounds until 2028.

88-year-old Mike Ilitch in Detroit might have done the same thing.  Or an owner looking to sell and jacking up short-term revenues and value.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 hours ago, DrungoHazewood said:

I like the idea of trading draft picks.  I also like the idea of directly buying and selling players.  But with the draft picks you need to be careful.  Teams might sell out the future for immediate gain.  What do you think Dan Duquette would have done with tradeable draft picks and an owner that basically wouldn't let him invest in development?  The Orioles might not have a pick in the top five rounds until 2028.

88-year-old Mike Ilitch in Detroit might have done the same thing.  Or an owner looking to sell and jacking up short-term revenues and value.

Not Jamal, but I mentioned restrictions similar to the NFL, where you are limited to three years (IIRC) out to submit a trade. Certain other limitations may be enacted, but in whole it's something the league should do. :)

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Posts

    • Yeah I think they need to staggar the lefties in the rotation order. R-R-L-R-L like that.
    • Trading Mayo Kjerstad and Povich for one guy to become a relief pitcher is nuts.
    • We don't need starting pitchers. We need Relief Pitchers. We don't need average Relief Pitchers, we need consistent high leverage/high K Relief Pitchers.
    • If you feel comfortable putting Aiken and Baker (or even Tate) in during an elimination series, that's your prerogative. But I do not. Too inconsistent, which is the same reason why Mike Baumann pitched himself off the active roster. when spot was needed for returning starters off the IL. Currently Coulombe is on IL so we can't even count on one of our best. Cano has regressed from last season. We've also witnessed last season how Webb broke down from over use and was ineffective in the playoff series against Texas. Perez goes in streaks of either really good or concernedly bad (he loses his command). Akin's problem is he leaves the ball over the heart of the plate and he doesn't have good enough stuff to get away with it. They're meatballs. We might get some good times from Baker now that he's up, but I would only expect a month or 2 at best from him before he returns to old habits. And Suarez is a starter who wants to be a starter. Who knows if he will go back to the bullpen? He'll have to go deeper into games if he wants to stay in the rotation, otherwise, I think he should be in the bullpen. But that's not what he is right now in this moment. He's a starter with a ERA in the 1s.
    • It's pretty hard to say definitively that the bolded is true.  It might be, but there's also the loss in ability you have to account for.  30 year olds are slower than 26 year olds too.  Maybe their game knowledge and practice have made it so they can overcome the meager loss in bat speed/athleticism over that time span.  But the picture is a bit muddy.   I also don't think the aging issue is limited to people in their mid-late 30s.  Bat speed peaks at like 24 or 25 based on the data we have right now on it, and after 31 starts falling off fairly fast.  Obviously this is population data and individuals are likely to see different curves.   But outside of the stars that have a lot of ability to lose, it's becoming pretty clear that once you hit your early 30s it's pretty hard to maintain your skills without all the "help" that is extensively tested for.   I think that even for early-30s players teams are much more willing to drop them over giving them expensive market-rate deals, especially since they can abuse young talent so readily.
    • After a really dumb day at work, this was an absolutely delightful read. Seeing a diamond expert and a can of corn detonate a yoked PBA pro was absolutely wonderful. I love this website. 
    • If you pitch Bradish on 5 days rest you'd pitch Rodriguez on 3 days rest?
  • Popular Contributors

×
×
  • Create New...