Jump to content

MLB.com top 30 prospects (updated with 2020 draft)


Jammer7

Recommended Posts

On 8/11/2020 at 7:20 PM, RZNJ said:

Depends on how much developing it still needed in the minors.   I think a team that is conscious of overall team budget doesn't want to use service time on guys that are not ready for the ML level.   Yes, you can make the argument that the ultimate learning experience is at the ML level but I think this current regime believes in having players as fully baked as possible before bringing them up.

Case in point in Mountcastle.   He had a very good year last year but they want him to work on his plate discipline and defense.   I don't think he's being held back to delay his free agent status 6 years from now.   He's being delayed because they feel his chances of succeeding at the ML level will be better later rather than sooner if he can fine tune a few things.   I don't really believe that an all bat player like Mountcastle whose offensive profile doesn't shout "superstar" is being held back for service time issues.   It is a byproduct of having him as ready as possible when he eventually gets called up.

I'm sure his eventual promotion shortly after the projected cutoff for super 2 status was coincidental.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 minutes ago, Can_of_corn said:

That's hilarious.  Have we seen someone move up like that in the prospect rankings after getting promoted to the majors before?

Not sure, but it is quite dumb. Yes, the guy who has hit .356/.420/.600 in his first 50 MLB plate appearances has now proven his prospect bonafides.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

9 minutes ago, Can_of_corn said:

That's hilarious.  Have we seen someone move up like that in the prospect rankings after getting promoted to the majors before?

LOL.  This way, they can claim they didn't miss on him.  "Oh yeah, we had him in our top 100."

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, Can_of_corn said:

That's hilarious.  Have we seen someone move up like that in the prospect rankings after getting promoted to the majors before?

Assuming that the standard for rookie status is the same following this short season as it has been for normal length seasons, it’s going to be touch and go whether Mountcastle loses his rookie status by the end of the season.   He’s on pace for 135 PA if he plays every remaining game, 129 and below is the cutoff for rookie status., He’s played in every game since his call-up, though he entered late in Game 1 of yesterday’s doubleheader.   I’m hoping the O’s sit him twice so he ends up at 127 or so, just so I can watch you go ballistic.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, Frobby said:

Assuming that the standard for rookie status is the same following this short season as it has been for normal length seasons, it’s going to be touch and go whether Mountcastle loses his rookie status by the end of the season.   He’s on pace for 135 PA if he plays every remaining game, 129 and below is the cutoff for rookie status., He’s played in every game since his call-up, though he entered late in Game 1 of yesterday’s doubleheader.   I’m hoping the O’s sit him twice so he ends up at 127 or so, just so I can watch you go ballistic.  

Worked out well for Hayes' Rookie of the Year campaign.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, Can_of_corn said:

Worked out well for Hayes' Rookie of the Year campaign.

Hey, it kept him on our top prospect list last off-season.   That’s what really counts!  ?

I don’t worry about this stuff.    Far more interested in how the players perform once they’re up, and whether they stay healthy.  

  • Upvote 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, Frobby said:

Hey, it kept him on our top prospect list last off-season.   That’s what really counts!  ?

I don’t worry about this stuff.    Far more interested in how the players perform once they’re up, and whether they stay healthy.  

I think it's petty little stuff that should be beneath our GM's notice.

Instead it looks like he trying to stack the prospect ranking lists.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

On 9/5/2020 at 10:01 AM, Frobby said:

Assuming that the standard for rookie status is the same following this short season as it has been for normal length seasons, it’s going to be touch and go whether Mountcastle loses his rookie status by the end of the season.   He’s on pace for 135 PA if he plays every remaining game, 129 and below is the cutoff for rookie status., He’s played in every game since his call-up, though he entered late in Game 1 of yesterday’s doubleheader.   I’m hoping the O’s sit him twice so he ends up at 127 or so, just so I can watch you go ballistic.  

It’s ABs, not PAs.  Hays had 138 PA coming into this year and 128 ABs. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.




  • Posts

    • A RH power bat to stick somewhere in the 3-4-5 slots. I would see what the Giants might want in a trade for Heliot Ramos. He hit .370 / .439 / .750 against LH pitchers this year, and would look awesome in the middle of all our lefty batters.  
    • Early in the offseason and my opinions may change, but here are my thoughts at this time. 1st - I'm ready to move on from Mountcastle.  And O'Hearn should only be a platoon option.  I hope we sign someone like a Alonso or Walker who doesn't have massive L/R splits and who can play on a daily basis, regardless of who is on the mound, and make both Ryans expendable, and we trade them for whatever we can get.  Otherwise we probably keep the platoon going, with the Ryan's splitting based on the SP.  Unfortunately Mayo hasn't show anything in the majors to make me think he's ready to be a regular in the lineup yet.  That could change in the spring, but right now we can't plan on him. 2nd - This is Holidays spot to start the season.  We won't be bringing in any competition for this spot.  Holiday didn't earn it by his play, but his pedigree and the money/time invested into him will give him a pretty long leash, for good or bad.  If he falters Westburg may be moved off of 3rd to play here instead. SS - Gunnar is here.  We won't be bringing in any competition for this spot. 3rd - Westburg.  He should hold this spot down unless Holiday struggles, and then he might be moved over the 2nd.  We don't bring in any real competition for this spot. Util - I don't like it, but I expect us to keep both Mateo and Urias, though I'm not 100% sure if we think Mateo will be ready for OD.  If Mateo isn't expected to be ready then I can see us bringing in someone for this role, though I'm not sure who off the top of my head. C - Adley has this spot, though if we are going to continue to keep his load light, we need a GOOD backup.  And after Adleys struggles the 2nd half of the season, I'm even more concerned about the quality of the backup than I was before this year started.  I'm just not sure how many GOOD backups exist, and any of the really good catchers are going to want to start more than they would here.  I'm not sure Basallo is ready for MLB time, and after the struggles with Mayo and Holiday, we surely can't count on him even if he is on the mlb roster.  McCann could come back...I don't love that idea, but I could see it happening. OF - We start with Mullins, Cowser and Kjerstad, don't try to resign Santander unless he take the QO.  I'd LOVE to see us bring in someone good here (Soto would rock, but clearly isn't going to happen) maybe Pederson or Hernandez or something.  Spend a bit of money here and get someone who has a decent bat. So upgrade 1st base with a non-platoon player and bring in a good vet in the OF.  Say goodbye to the Ryans and Santander. Pitching - I'd love to sign a #1 like Burnes or Snell, but I think they get more years and money than we are willing to go.  I can see us being in on a Max Fried or Jack Flahertyt.  Also possible to see some of the lesser guys, the Andrew Heaneys of the world. Bullpen - I expect to see a few journeyman/low level signings.  With the controllable players we traded for this year and what is returning I don't see us signing anyone big for the bullpen.  
    • I think it’s pretty natural for kids to take special notice of the guys with speed who make exciting plays like steals and triples and defensive “web gems.” Seems like the kids now are higher on guys like Mateo and Mullins than the grownups, and I think that was the case with Brian Roberts back in the day too. As for clutch, in going through some of the clutch numbers, one guy who stood out as a possible fit for us is Alex Bregman. He has a career 144 wRC+ with runners on base and a .294 BA with RISP — I tend to care a little more about BA when a hit scores a run. His postseason heroics are also pretty well-known. Not sure what you’d have to pay him, and I’m pretty sure signing him would necessitate the Holliday-to-CF move. But if they’re not willing to play in the Soto sandbox financially, Bregman would be a veteran guy with championship pedigree and (importantly) ties to Mike/Sig that could put him near the top of their list. 
    • Just to be as clear as possible, when they were doing better early in the season, they were swinging more, not less. 4/1 - 6/30: 7.2 BB%, 49.3% swing rate, 29.8% out of zone swing rate, 22.2% whiff rate, .316 OBP 7/1 - 9/30: 8.7 BB%, 47.8% swing rate, 29.0% out of zone swing rate, 22.4% whiff rate, .315 OBP 2023: 8.4 BB%, 47.8% swing rate, 29.9% out of zone swing rate, 23.0% whiff rate, .321 OBP They took less walks early in the year, they swung more often at both balls and strikes early in the year, and their OBP/whiff rates were essentially identical in both halves.  The notion that they turned into free-swinging hackers in the second half — and that’s why they failed — seems to be pretty commonly held here, but it’s not backed by any data. They were actually more patient at the plate in this season’s second half than they’ve ever been during the Adley era.
    • Meant to say I wouldn't mind him managing the Orioles. I always liked him as a manager. 
    • It is a foolish hope to expect a full season out of Rodriguez. Kremer is fine, and I’m glad to have him. Suarez was better in most meaningful stats, but we don’t know what Suarez is going to do. He could possibly be just a flash in the pan. Povich is trade or depth. We need depth. Our 2025 -ready pitchers all have potential problems. but now we also need outfielders and infielders
    • A very good move as long as he is healthy. Surprised he wanted to come back. I would had mind here. A HOF manager
  • Popular Contributors

×
×
  • Create New...