Jump to content

Who are the #5 and #6 Prospects?


Tony-OH

Who are the #5 and #6 Prospects?  

57 members have voted

  1. 1. Who are the #5 and #6 Prospects?

    • Baumann and Hall
    • Hall and Baumann
    • Hall and Henderson
    • Henderson and Hall
    • Henderson and Baumann

This poll is closed to new votes


Recommended Posts

6 minutes ago, wildcard said:

I guess that depends on whether DL Hall is progressing as he needs to maintain his status as a top of the rotation starter (a #1 or #2)?  If he is not achieving that progress or  regressing that would be sad.  

Falling on the list seems to indicate that he is not progressing as fast as other prospects at the very least.

The question is whether Hall is falling or Mountcastle etc are rising. Other guys moving up does not necessarily imply that Hall has underachieved, although I admit his BB numbers are concerning. 

  • Upvote 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 hours ago, Frobby said:

On Baumann, I’ll wait to see what Tony reports he heard.   What I heard from Matt Blood’s interview on Inside the Yard was that Baumann had developed a very good curve over the offseason, to complement his fastball and slider that were already plus pitches.   So, I think the “reliever risk” with him has been greatly reduced.   It will be interesting to hear what Tony has been told about that.   

As to Hall, I’m not going to pretend I’m not worried about his apparent deficiencies in control and command.   I’m less worried about the fact that he got moved down the list than I am that he has some issues to address.

I’ve never been a guy who thinks a good pitcher is more important than having a good a good position player.   They’re both important.   Honestly, the impact of one good pitcher is shrinking because they throw fewer and fewer innings, whereas the good position players are getting the same playing time as always.   

You must have read or heard about Baumann from some place else because I just listen to the Matt Blood interview on Inside the Yard and he doesn't talk about Baumann other than to say that the Norfolk rotation could be special with  Lowther, Wells, Baumann and Bradish.   Blood was very impressed with Bradish.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

16 hours ago, RZNJ said:

I think it's fair to say that if Hall had made significant progress this year in the command department he probably would have been 2 or 3 on this list.  I share a little disappointment that Tony does not feel he made that progress. 

Yea, I guess I can see this POV.

The only thing I would say is that the players that jumped ahead of him basically did so because of MLB success and draft status.  That’s really Hall’s fault.  
 

I think you can also make the argument that you would rather have Hall over Mountcastle and Henderson.  Tony didn’t put him there but others will likely disagree. I would guess Tony will be one of the few, if not the only one, that has Hall  behind Henderson.  
 

We will see..won’t surprise me to see Hall in the top 4 on many lists.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

16 hours ago, wildcard said:

You must have read or heard about Baumann from some place else because I just listen to the Matt Blood interview on Inside the Yard and he doesn't talk about Baumann other than to say that the Norfolk rotation could be special with  Lowther, Wells, Baumann and Bradish.   Blood was very impressed with Bradish.

My mistake, it was the Kennie Steenstra interview on “Inside the Yard” I was thinking of.    Here’s how I paraphrased it after listening to that interview:

“Said Baumann is ‘an animal’ on the mound with great velocity that carries through the zone.    Said he developed a very good curve ball over thewinter to complement his fastball/slider.”

I am very interested to see where Bradish is going to appear on this list.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

27 minutes ago, Frobby said:

My mistake, it was the Kennie Steenstra interview on “Inside the Yard” I was thinking of.    Here’s how I paraphrased it after listening to that interview:

“Said Baumann is ‘an animal’ on the mound with great velocity that carries through the zone.    Said he developed a very good curve ball over thewinter to complement his fastball/slider.”

I am very interested to see where Bradish is going to appear on this list.

 

Thanks for the correction.

All that was before Baumann's season ending injury.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

29 minutes ago, wildcard said:

Thanks for the correction.

All that was before Baumann's season ending injury.

I’m not downgrading him at all for his injury, unless and until we hear that it’s something serious.   The initial report was:  

The strain is not a long-term concern and it should improve with continued rest and rehab, the source said. Surgery is not a consideration.

https://theathletic.com/2055750/2020/09/09/orioles-pitching-prospect-michael-baumann-shut-down-with-elbow-strain/?source=dailyemail

Roch later reported:

Pitching prospect Michael Baumann was shut down a few weeks ago with a flexor mass strain, but he’s expected to be full-go in spring training. There’s no ligament damage. It’s muscular, which is good news.

https://www.masnsports.com/school-of-roch/2020/09/elias-conducts-season-ending-review-on-final-weekend.html

So, I’m not saying there’s nothing to worry about, but there’s not enough evidence of a significant problem to warrant downgrading Baumann at this point.  
 

(Sorry for the varying font sizes, it’s from cutting and pasting and difficult to fix on my phone.)

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.




  • Posts

    • Great post.  I like your optimism, and I'll try to believe this team can turn things around just in the nick of time like some classic Hollywood baseball movie.
    • I think Elias has mostly done an excellent job with one exception -- he seems like he treats the bullpen like an afterthought.  I doubt that will happen again this coming offseason. I don't really blame him for the current offensive struggles overall.  Just too many injuries late in the season.  That said I don't understand how we went from dealing Austin Hays, Connor Norby and Ryan McKenna just so we could land the right handed bat of, gulp, Austin Slater.  
    • Man this team has no shot. Right now they may not even make it. 
    • Most of these guys are only playing because of injuries to starters.  But Austin Slater I'm guessing was brought in to replace the traded Austin Hays.  The problem is that Slater has shown little ability to hit lefties this year, after hitting them pretty well up to this season.  This must be why two teams dropped him before the O's picked him up.  I know he was let go much earlier in the season, but is Ryan McKenna actually worse than this guy?  I don't understand how the front office went from releasing McKenna to later trading Hays and Norby -- thinking their right handed bats could adequately be replaced by someone like Slater.  
    • I'm willing to give Elias some rope because of the strict limitations he was under with JA but he better not be so damn conservative again this year and let every serviceable FA out there sign with other teams while he's busy picking up reclamation projects again. Minus Burns of course.  
    • I agree completely that it’s irrelevant whether it worked.  But I don’t agree that bunting is clearly the right decision in either scenario, and I think that decision gets worse if it’s intended to be a straight sacrifice rather than a bunt for a hit. To be clear, the outcome you’re seeking in tonight’s situation, for example — sacrifice the runners over to 2nd/3rd — lowers both your run expectancy for the inning (from 1.44 to 1.39) and your win expectancy for the game (from 38.8% to 37.1%). It increases the likelihood of scoring one run, but it decreases the likelihood of scoring two runs (which you needed to tie) and certainly of scoring three or more runs (which you needed to take the lead).  And that’s if you succeed in getting them to 2nd/3rd. Research indicates that 15-30% of sacrifice bunt attempts fail, so you have to bake in a pretty significant percentage of the time that you’d just be giving up a free out (or even just two free strikes, as on Sunday). The bunt attempt in the 3rd inning on Sunday (which my gut hates more than if they’d done it today) actually is less damaging to the win probability — decreasing it only very slightly from 60.2% to 59.8%. More time left in the game to make up for giving up outs, I guess, and the scoreboard payoff is a bit better (in the sense that at least you’d have a better chance to take the lead).   At the bottom of it, these things mostly come down to gut and pure chance. The percentages are rarely overwhelming in either direction, and so sometimes even a “lower-percentage” play may work better under some circumstances. You would have bunted both times. I wouldn’t have bunted either time. Hyde bunted one time but not the other. I don’t know that anyone is an idiot (or even clearly “wrong”) for their preference. Either approach could have worked. Sadly, none of them actually did.
    • Wasn't Hyde always thought of more or less as a caretaker? I'm on the fence about him coming back. I totally get the injuries and that needs to be taking into consideration but man this collapse some heads have to roll who's I'm  mot sure 
  • Popular Contributors

×
×
  • Create New...