Jump to content

Alex Wells 2021

Frobby

By Frobby
in Orioles Talk

 Share

Recommended Posts

Recommended

Posted by Tony-OH,

It's only been two appearances so you have to take his statscast information with a grain of salt, but the early indications are not very good.  Let's mainly look at the stuff vs the results (which has shown him to be incredibly lucky so far). Fastball is a low spin rate 89 MPH pitch with below average vertical (-6% below MLB average) but above average horizontal movement (25% below MLB average). It's gotten just 5.3% whiff rate. Curveball is a slow (73.8MPH) pitch that gets about

Wells scouting report

Recommended by Tony-OH

  • Thanks
  • Upvote

3 reactions

Go to this post
  • Replies 85
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

Popular Days

Top Posters In This Topic

Popular Days

Popular Posts

Frobby
Frobby

Allowed 2 runs in 2.2 innings yesterday, and got the win. On the one hand, I could say that the runs he allowed were a bit unlucky.   With one out in the 5th, Alvarez hit a grounder to the SS pos

Tony-OH
Tony-OH

It's only been two appearances so you have to take his statscast information with a grain of salt, but the early indications are not very good.  Let's mainly look at the stuff vs the results (whi

Tony-OH
Tony-OH

I think the difference is Valdez had one trick pitch while Wells will rely on commanding four pitches, changing speeds, and working in all quadrants of the strike zone.  It will be interesting to

Sports Guy Hangout Grand Counsel

Sports Guy

Posted
Posted
7 hours ago, Philip said:

I’m kind of sad about Wells. Doesn’t look like he’s going to be anything, but he was a real prospect. Lowther, Akin, Wells, Kremer have all been tried and found wanting.

Also sad we have Plutko and Anderson taking up space but that’s another story.

Wells has to be perfect.  That is and always has been the case with him.  If he isn’t going to have pinpoint command and control, he will get hit hard.  

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Frobby Hangout Grand Counsel

Frobby

Posted
  • Author
Posted
1 hour ago, Sports Guy said:

Wells has to be perfect.  That is and always has been the case with him.  If he isn’t going to have pinpoint command and control, he will get hit hard.  

And he’s been far from perfect in his time here.   He’s only throwing 60% strikes which is not high enough for a guy like him.  He’s only throwing a first pitch strike 55.7% of the time.  I’m seeing way too many pitches that are too high to tempt a matter to chase, or otherwise too far out of the strike zone.  This is not the Alex Well who had a lot of success in the minors.   

Another big problem I see is that his change-up is only 5 mph slower than his fastball.   Not enough there to throw off a batter’s timing, especially when the batter isn’t gearing up for premium heat in the first place.   

I hope the next time we see Wells (if there is a next time), he’s ironed out his command issues.   As to the change-up, that’s a pitch he needs to seriously improve if he wants to have any chance of success in the majors.   

  • Upvote 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Moose Milligan Hangout Grand Counsel

Moose Milligan

Posted
Posted

Another guy with average (more likely, below average) stuff.  

The fastball isn't fast.  Velocity isn't the only thing that matters but it doesn't have a lot of movement and he hadn't been able to locate it well.  Changeup, as brother Frobicito noted, didn't have enough difference in velocity to make a big enough of a difference.

Curve/slider was average, looking, too.  Just nothing special across the board. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Il BuonO Hangout Grand Counsel

Il BuonO

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, Moose Milligan said:

Another guy with average (more likely, below average) stuff.  

The fastball isn't fast.  Velocity isn't the only thing that matters but it doesn't have a lot of movement and he hadn't been able to locate it well.  Changeup, as brother Frobicito noted, didn't have enough difference in velocity to make a big enough of a difference.

Curve/slider was average, looking, too.  Just nothing special across the board. 

Boy, no kidding. Below average velocity and straight as an arrow. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites
HowAboutThat Hangout Grand Counsel

HowAboutThat

Posted
Posted
3 hours ago, Sports Guy said:

Wells has to be perfect.  That is and always has been the case with him.  If he isn’t going to have pinpoint command and control, he will get hit hard.  

I did not say anything that contradicted that. I was just saying that I’m sad that he seems to have failed. Some guys give a glimmer of hope in the beginning And they end up getting a longer chance than they should. Other guys get thrown in the deep end and sink and that’s that. I hope we will see more of Wells, but I don’t have a lot of hope that we will see anything different from Wells.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
SteveA Hangout Grand Counsel

SteveA

Posted
Posted
2 minutes ago, Philip said:

I did not say anything that contradicted that. I was just saying that I’m sad that he seems to have failed. Some guys give a glimmer of hope in the beginning And they end up getting a longer chance than they should. Other guys get thrown in the deep end and sink and that’s that. I hope we will see more of Wells, but I don’t have a lot of hope that we will see anything different from Wells.

While I don't hold out a huge amount hope for him to be a quality major league starter, saying a guy has "failed" after 17 major league innings is just ridiculous.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
HowAboutThat Hangout Grand Counsel

HowAboutThat

Posted
Posted
3 minutes ago, SteveA said:

While I don't hold out a huge amount hope for him to be a quality major league starter, saying a guy has "failed" after 17 major league innings is just ridiculous.

I agree, and that is why I did not say that and you should read more carefully. I said he appears to have. I didn’t say he has. 
I also said I hope he will get more opportunities. If I thought he was a failure I would not suggest that he continue to get opportunities. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Sports Guy Hangout Grand Counsel

Sports Guy

Posted
Posted
26 minutes ago, Philip said:

I did not say anything that contradicted that. I was just saying that I’m sad that he seems to have failed. Some guys give a glimmer of hope in the beginning And they end up getting a longer chance than they should. Other guys get thrown in the deep end and sink and that’s that. I hope we will see more of Wells, but I don’t have a lot of hope that we will see anything different from Wells.

Yea, you are way too quick to give up on people. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Sports Guy Hangout Grand Counsel

Sports Guy

Posted
Posted
19 minutes ago, Philip said:

I agree, and that is why I did not say that and you should read more carefully. I said he appears to have. I didn’t say he has. 
I also said I hope he will get more opportunities. If I thought he was a failure I would not suggest that he continue to get opportunities. 

Appears to have is just as ridiculous of a statement.

You can say, he failed in yesterday’s start.  Anything else using the word failed is completely over the top.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

×
 Share
Go to topic listing


  • Posts

    • Frobby
      Fire Tony Mansilino

      By Frobby · Posted

      Seems like a good thread to consider whether Mansolino has done a good job generally.   The O’s have been thrown out at home only 11 times, tied for 6th fewest in MLB (13.3 is average).   They have scored from 1st on a double 41.5% of the time, vs. league average of 38.2% of the time. They have scored from 2B on a single 62.9% of the time, vs. league average 61.8% of the time.   The O’s have been thrown out at 3B 6 times, tied for 3rd fewest in MLB. They have gone 1st to 3rd on a single 36.2% of the time, vs. league average 31.9%.   So, the overall profile is that the O’s take an extra base to get to 3B or score on a single or a double at a greater rate than the average team, yet they are thrown out trying to do those things less than the average team. Not all the credit or the blame for these things falls on the 3B coach.   And, there are some plays involving the 3B coach that I can’t capture, like scoring from 3B on a fly out or a ground ball.   However, based on what we can capture, I think you’d have to say that Mansolino has done a pretty good job, despite individual decisions that may have been wrong.  
    • Just Regular
      AL playoff picture

      By Just Regular · Posted

      Looks like AL East and AL West have same deal with 7 to play - 5 game leads and the chaser has three at the first place team. Royals now having lost 6 in a row - the 5/6/7 is fuzzy. Tuesday night will only be some fun if the O's pick up a game today - 1 back with a sweep going to the final weekend an opportunity, 2 back with a sweep going to the final weekend a mirage.     The Orioles have played the showdown generally into Grapefruit League mode, but at least yesterday was not a playoff game. NYY in great shape for 1 seed, won regular season series 4-2 over CLE, so effectively 3 up in the loss column.    CLE one of the few clubs with two off days in the final week, and a likely bye to rest that hard worked cadre of relievers.    That said, the Astros do play the Guardians the final weekend, and could be within striking distance of that valuable seeding into the ALDS round.
    • Sports Guy
      Heston Kjerstad 2024

      By Sports Guy · Posted

      Nope..corn can be a slang for weed.  You are a morally bankrupt human being!!!!!!
    • TomDominick
      Fire Tony Mansilino

      By TomDominick · Posted

      Anything hit in the outfield no matter how deep you automatically tag up. That is learned in little league. This is not hard. I had a play exactly like this in town ball. You go back to the bag and then watch. As soon as the shortstop went down off you go and the game is over. Why that third base coach was pointing DOWN the line is a cardinal sin. Don't fire the guy but give him a solid scolding. 
    • Can_of_corn
      Heston Kjerstad 2024

      By Can_of_corn · Posted

      Typical fail for SG on the literacy test.
    • Bahama O's Fan
      Injury updates

      By Bahama O's Fan · Posted

      So then I don't think he gets optioned. I think they save him for the postseason roster. I see Johnson and Jimenez going for Westburg and Urias. Mountcastle may not be back till the playoffs. 
    • Safelykept
      The Sting of Losing Winnable Games

      By Safelykept · Posted

      For the O's they won game after game like this last year. For the Ravens go back to 2012 I guess. Im in South Florida at least you guys dont have to put up with the Dolphins. Now thats a team that will get on youre nerves.

  • Popular Contributors

×
×
  • Create New...