Scoreboard watching

[oriolediehard]

11 minutes ago, Frobby said:

I just want Houston to have a 20-inning game on Sunday.  

It is going to be a challenge, because the Rays are playing the Angels at Tampa, the Angels are pitiful, it is to have to play Houston in Houston while the Rays have a gift series with the Angels.

[Just Regular]

Neither Marcus Stroman nor Drew Smyly could stop the Arizona ghost runner scoring in the 10th or 11th as CHC and ARZ play head to head in the NL wildcard race.

I don't know that tournament baseball has more dignity than the 162, but it can be a good deal of fun.

Is Marcus Stroman a 3rd starter or a leverage reliever?

[Just Regular]

Tonight I learned LAD has Ryan Brasier in top form...he just took care of Julio and Teoscar in a big spot in a 0-0 game.

A quick scan of Last 30 Days k-bb for qualified relievers on some notable Clubs.

LAD - Brasier 30, Pepiot 29, Phillips 24, Vesia 21, Yarbrough 17

BAL - Fujinami 31, Cionel 22, Webb 13, Hall 12, Cano 11

TB - Stephenson 51, Fairbanks 49, Armstrong 24, Poche 24, Diekman 20

HOU - Montero 26, Neris 22, Abreu 22, Urquidy 9, Graveman 8

[Malike]

Mariners down 6-1 going into the bottom of the 11th. Pretty much a done deal. Print the playoff tickets.

[Hallas]

24 minutes ago, Malike said:

Mariners down 6-1 going into the bottom of the 11th. Pretty much a done deal. Print the playoff tickets.

The wild card magic number is weird, we can only pick up 1 game from either the Rangers or the Mariners loss.  Since the Rangers already lost,  we can't get another game from the Mariners.

 

But now a loss from either the Rangers or the Mariners tomorrow gives us a playoff berth.  If the Mariners won then only a Rangers loss (or a win by us) would have clinched a playoff spot.

Edited September 17, 2023 by Hallas

[Malike]

1 minute ago, Hallas said:

The wild card magic number is weird, we can only pick up 1 game from either the Rangers or the Mariners loss.  Since the Rangers already lost,  we can't get another game from the Mariners.

 

But now a loss from either the Rangers or the Mariners tomorrow gives us a playoff berth.  If the Mariners won then only a Rangers loss (or a win by us) would have clinched a playoff spot.

Well, that's what I get for believing the posters on the previous page and being too lazy to fact-check it.

[bpilktree]

13 minutes ago, Hallas said:

The wild card magic number is weird, we can only pick up 1 game from either the Rangers or the Mariners loss.  Since the Rangers already lost,  we can't get another game from the Mariners.

 

But now a loss from either the Rangers or the Mariners tomorrow gives us a playoff berth.  If the Mariners won then only a Rangers loss (or a win by us) would have clinched a playoff spot.

This is inaccurate.  We have 92 wins so the most losses we can have is 70.  The Rangers have have 66 losses the Mariners have 67.  They play a 7 game series.  The following scenarios.  
Rangers win all 7.  The Mariners have 74 loses we go to playoffs.

Rangers  go 6-1  The Mariners have 73 loses we go to playoffs

Rangers go 5-2.  The Mariners have 72 loses we go to playoffs

Rangers go 4-3.  The Mariners have 71 loses we go to playoffs.

Rangers go 3-4.  Mariners and Rangers have 70 loses.  That would put it at 3 way tie.  We hold tiebreaker over Mariners.  Rangers have tie breaker over Mariners too.  We go to playoffs.

Rangers go 2-5.  Rangers have 71 loses we go to playoffs.

Rangers go 1-6.  Rangers 72 loses we go to playoffs

Rangers go 0-7  Rangers 73 loses we go to playoffs.  
 

We go to playoffs no matter which way you run the series so we are in.  

[Hallas]

3 hours ago, bpilktree said:

This is inaccurate.  We have 92 wins so the most losses we can have is 70.  The Rangers have have 66 losses the Mariners have 67.  They play a 7 game series.  The following scenarios.  
Rangers win all 7.  The Mariners have 74 loses we go to playoffs.

Rangers  go 6-1  The Mariners have 73 loses we go to playoffs

Rangers go 5-2.  The Mariners have 72 loses we go to playoffs

Rangers go 4-3.  The Mariners have 71 loses we go to playoffs.

Rangers go 3-4.  Mariners and Rangers have 70 loses.  That would put it at 3 way tie.  We hold tiebreaker over Mariners.  Rangers have tie breaker over Mariners too.  We go to playoffs.

Rangers go 2-5.  Rangers have 71 loses we go to playoffs.

Range1rs go 1-6.  Rangers 72 loses we go to playoffs

Rangers go 0-7  Rangers 73 loses we go to playoffs.  
 

We go to playoffs no matter which way you run the series so we are in.  

Huh, fair enough.  Playoffs baby.  I always forget about pesky tiebreaker scenarios.  I was assuming the worst with ties.

 

Edit to add:  is there a scenario where the Astros max wins is 70 and they drop to the wild card?  They have the tiebreaker on us.  This scenario would be horribly convoluted.  The Astros play 3 games against the Mariners.

Edit again: apparently if Toronto wins the division, TB ends up with 69 or fewer losses, and Houston, Texas, and Seattle end up with 92-70 records, the Os will be sitting at home.  Pretty convoluted.

Edited September 17, 2023 by Hallas

[Just Regular]

Tanner Bibee to injured list for Cleveland to take him out of our series.    Roster Resource forecasting Bieber will return while we are in town.

[Uli2001]

On 9/17/2023 at 1:43 AM, Hallas said:

Huh, fair enough.  Playoffs baby.  I always forget about pesky tiebreaker scenarios.  I was assuming the worst with ties.

 

Edit to add:  is there a scenario where the Astros max wins is 70 and they drop to the wild card?  They have the tiebreaker on us.  This scenario would be horribly convoluted.  The Astros play 3 games against the Mariners.

Edit again: apparently if Toronto wins the division, TB ends up with 69 or fewer losses, and Houston, Texas, and Seattle end up with 92-70 records, the Os will be sitting at home.  Pretty convoluted.

The win today put to rest your horribly convoluted scenarios.

[FlaO'sFan]

Kyle Schwarber sent this one into orbit tonight against the Braves.

[O's84]

8 minutes ago, Uli2001 said:

The win today put to rest your horribly convoluted scenarios.

 

[Just Regular]

No joy for the Rangers elsewhere in Texas tonight on the occasion of Josh Jung's return, as the technically in it but practically out of it Red Sox rallied in the 8th inning off Texas setup guys unable to protect a Jordan Montgomery gem.

Mariners did collect a win in Oakland as they lay up for their TEX-HOU-TEX finish.

[OsFanSinceThe80s]

9 minutes ago, FlaO'sFan said:

Kyle Schwarber sent this one into orbit tonight against the Braves.

 

483 feet might be underselling how far that home run went off of Schwarber's bat.

Edited September 19, 2023 by OsFanSinceThe80s

[Hallas]

13 minutes ago, Uli2001 said:

The win today put to rest your horribly convoluted scenarios.

The win yesterday did that.  We clinched for sure with the win.  Now we're working on the bye.