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Ommaculate

By Ommaculate
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CA-ORIOLE Hangout Grand Counsel

CA-ORIOLE

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Looks to me like less balls to the right side this year. Certainly flyballs/line drives. Enough apparently to change the shift strategies.

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Can_of_corn Hangout Grand Counsel

Can_of_corn

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Looks to me like less balls to the right side this year. Certainly flyballs/line drives. Enough apparently to change the shift strategies.

I agree that it looks like less, but not a substantive amount.

Shifting mostly effects ground balls anyway.

Now if we had the the exit velocity we could see if he was making harder contact.

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CA-ORIOLE Hangout Grand Counsel

CA-ORIOLE

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I agree that it looks like less, but not a substantive amount.

Shifting mostly effects ground balls anyway.

Whatever, they clearly aren't overshifting him as much imo. Yes it's much harder to shift in the OF. That's because "most" players hit the ball to the OF more randomly than the IF. He's clearly hitting substantially more balls to LF than RF this year. So he's doing enough to keep the defense honest, both infield and OF than he has in the past.

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Can_of_corn Hangout Grand Counsel

Can_of_corn

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Whatever, they clearly aren't overshifting him as much imo. Yes it's much harder to shift in the OF. That's because "most" players hit the ball to the OF more randomly than the IF. He's clearly hitting substantially more balls to LF than RF this year. So he's doing enough to keep the defense honest, both infield and OF than he has in the past.

You can "whatever" me all you want but those graphics don't look "substantially" to me. Maybe if we can find someone bored enough to count them all...

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CA-ORIOLE Hangout Grand Counsel

CA-ORIOLE

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You can "whatever" me all you want but those graphics don't look "substantially" to me. Maybe if we can find someone bored enough to count them all...

Yeah, sorry they do look "substantially" different imo. Particularly the flyballs to LF versus RF. So unless you have a shift chart, i'm going to go with they are also overshifting him less this year as well. Probably explains why more hits are falling in and some power has been sacraficed.

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Can_of_corn Hangout Grand Counsel

Can_of_corn

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Yeah, sorry they do look "substantially" different imo. Particularly the flyballs to LF versus RF. So unless you have a shift chart, i'm going to go with they are also overshifting him less this year as well. Probably why more hits are falling in and some power has been sacraficed.

So most players hit the ball to the OF more randomly than the IF but you are convinced that in this case it isn't random.

Even though there is still a huge number of dots centered around first base and another group at second.

Go ahead and count 'em and give me the tally.

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CA-ORIOLE Hangout Grand Counsel

CA-ORIOLE

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So most players hit the ball to the OF more randomly than the IF but you are convinced that in this case it isn't random.

Even though there is still a huge number of dots centered around first base and another group at second.

Go ahead and count 'em and give me the tally.

Jeez i don't know. i guess he's hitting "substantially" more balls to LF this year than he has in the past because it's a completely random occurrence. Not because there is evidence that his freaking hitting coach has him working on hitting more balls to the opposite field this year. Anything else?

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Can_of_corn Hangout Grand Counsel

Can_of_corn

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Jeez i don't know. i guess he's hitting "substantially" more balls to LF this year than he has in the past because it's a completely random occurrence. Not because there is evidence that his freaking hitting coach has him working on hitting more balls to the opposite field this year. Anything else?

Straight bisecting I count 28 FB and 11 LD to the left side of the diamond in 2014. I count 20 FB and 6 LD in 2015.

54% of the at bats, looks to me that he had 26 FB/LD to left this season and at the ratio he hit last season he would have had 21.

One more ball every 30 at bats doesn't seem substantive to me.

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CA-ORIOLE Hangout Grand Counsel

CA-ORIOLE

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Straight bisecting I count 28 FB and 11 LD to the left side of the diamond in 2014. I count 20 FB and 6 LD in 2015.

54% of the at bats, looks to me that he had 26 FB/LD to left this season and at the ratio he hit last season he would have had 21.

One more ball every 30 at bats doesn't seem substantive to me.

Dude, I am not going to count dots with you. That said, the way to do it is to count balls in play (not AB's) and discount K's. From there you compare the percentage of fly balls/lines drive to RF versus LF. I already know the answer. It's fairly obvious.

The other major point being that they are overshifting him less. So hitting to RF, particularly GB's to the right side is more of a productive choice than the rolling over that he has done in the past.

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Frobby Hangout Grand Counsel

Frobby

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I agree that it looks like less, but not a substantive amount.

Shifting mostly effects ground balls anyway.

Now if we had the the exit velocity we could see if he was making harder contact.

Don't have that, but do have fangraphs batted ball stats that (1) allocate batted balls as pulled, centered or opposite field, and (2) soft, medium or hard contact. Flaherty is pulling 42% compared to career 47%, and is making soft contact 15.6% of the time compared to 19.5% in his career. He's making hard contact at his career rate, so it's a shoft from soft to medium contact.

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OFFNY Hangout Grand Counsel

OFFNY

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o

(vs. NATIONALS, 7/10/15)

JONATHAN RUFINO JEZUS SCHOOP

JONATHAN RUFINO JEZUS SCHOOP

JONATHAN RUFINO JEZUS SCHOOP

JONATHAN RUFINO JEZUS SCHOOP

JONATHAN RUFINO JEZUS SCHOOP

JONATHAN RUFINO JEZUS SCHOOP

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