Jump to content

The Giants Series


Bahama O's Fan

Recommended Posts

Will this be the crucial series of the season? Will we bounce back or stumble and fall?

Our lineup besides today has been in a rough stretch. They obviously aren't this bad, so I don't think this is a crucial series. Obviously it's important like every series, but it's too early to say it's a must win yet. It's not even an AL team either.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Two teams that have struggled since the break (the Giants worse than us) but both still right in the thick of their division race.

They have home field and the pitching edge in 2 of 3 games.

It will be tough, but 2 of 3 would be great.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Problem is it's another cavernous ballpark. We're playing down a DH.

The Giants have the edge with their starting rotation this series.

Bundy vs. Cain

Cain since coming off the DL (4 starts): 4.58 ERA .258/.372/.515 - .887 OPS, 5 homers, 9 walks in 17 2/3 IP. Although his last two outings he's went 10 IP, 0 ER and only 5 H (7 walks, though). The O's really need to be patient against Cain since his command has been poor.

Gausman vs. Bumgarner

Lefty with video game numbers this year (1.002 WHIP, 2.20 ERA, 3.17 FIP, 10.0 SO/9, 2.2 BB/9). This seems like a huge hurdle on paper. Bumgarner's last 5: 3.18 ERA, .237/.284/.412 - .696 OPS. At home, Madison is a beast. Home: 1.59 ERA, .178/.231/.266 - .497 OPS.

Gausman is going to have to be perfect.

Miley vs. Cueto

The Giants have hit lefties +50 OPS points more than righties to the tune of .269/.343/.420 - .763 OPS. Miley has been solid if not unspectacular. The story is going to be Cueto. He's actually been worse at home than he has away. And the O's have had some success off of him (.365 /.389/.808 - 1.197 OPS, not including the playoffs).

The O's and Bundy need to make a statement tomorrow vs. Cain because Bumgarner (a lefty) at home against a struggling O's offense is pretty much a recipe for a big ole L.

The O's are capable of winning 2 out of 3. But that ballpark can be intimidating.

The good? In the last 24 games, the Giants are slashing .240/.316 /.361 - .677 OPS and only scoring 81 runs (3.4 R/G). That's very O's offense like. And it's not like the Giants hit much better home than away.

So, there's that.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

It will be a challenge, I'm sure. The last time we played in San Francisco, in 2013, we managed to win 2 out of 3. Interestingly, of the six pitchers who started a game in that series, only one (Matt Cain) will be pitching in this series. The O's outscored the Giants 17-7 in that series, winning the opener 5-2, losing the middle game 3-2, and routing the Giants in the finale, 10-2.

I feel like we are in for a low-scoring series. Hopefully we can get off to a good start tonight, which is probably the best pitching matchup for us.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I was at the 2013 series as a newlywed visiting old friends.

The Friday night game was a thriller - Tillman was dominant, but Johnson gave up a 2-1 lead in the bottom of the 9th and the place was nuts. We came right back to take it in the 10th.

The Giants won Saturday routinely and jumped on Norris in the 1st to go up 2-0 behind Cain Sunday. He was great early. The 10-2 final belied the game itself - we didn't get on the board until the 6th with one run, then took a 3-2 lead in the 7th before it got out of hand the last two innings. A very satisfying watch as a visiting fan!

Unfortunately that Sunday was probably the high water mark of 2013 contention as Monday the mother of all bullpen disaster series began in Arizona and we never regained a position as good as leaving San Francisco that day.

This series - it's weird to think of Bundy being under pressure in game 1 as our lone on-paper pitching edge. Not wanting to miss the big picture, it's incredible he's come so far so fast that we'd think that. It'll be a great test for him - the Giants are a great contact hitting team built for the ballpark. I think Sabean and Duquette are both quality GM's and imagine they'd build the Giants and Orioles rosters similarly based on league/park even if they changed jobs.

I like the Bumgarner match-up for Gausman - Buck says sometimes guys do better in "ride to the rescue mode" and I see as little pressure on Gausman tomorrow as there is a lot on Bundy tonight. Bumgarner's been scuffling a little by his standards - unusually winless in 5 straight starts including one real clunker. His velocity and zone percentage are down a bit, and we always have a puncher's chance.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Problem is it's another cavernous ballpark. We're playing down a DH.

The Giants have the edge with their starting rotation this series.

Bundy vs. Cain

Cain since coming off the DL (4 starts): 4.58 ERA .258/.372/.515 - .887 OPS, 5 homers, 9 walks in 17 2/3 IP. Although his last two outings he's went 10 IP, 0 ER and only 5 H (7 walks, though). The O's really need to be patient against Cain since his command has been poor.

Gausman vs. Bumgarner

Lefty with video game numbers this year (1.002 WHIP, 2.20 ERA, 3.17 FIP, 10.0 SO/9, 2.2 BB/9). This seems like a huge hurdle on paper. Bumgarner's last 5: 3.18 ERA, .237/.284/.412 - .696 OPS. At home, Madison is a beast. Home: 1.59 ERA, .178/.231/.266 - .497 OPS.

Gausman is going to have to be perfect.

Miley vs. Cueto

The Giants have hit lefties +50 OPS points more than righties to the tune of .269/.343/.420 - .763 OPS. Miley has been solid if not unspectacular. The story is going to be Cueto. He's actually been worse at home than he has away. And the O's have had some success off of him (.365 /.389/.808 - 1.197 OPS, not including the playoffs).

The O's and Bundy need to make a statement tomorrow vs. Cain because Bumgarner (a lefty) at home against a struggling O's offense is pretty much a recipe for a big ole L.

The O's are capable of winning 2 out of 3. But that ballpark can be intimidating.

The good? In the last 24 games, the Giants are slashing .240/.316 /.361 - .677 OPS and only scoring 81 runs (3.4 R/G). That's very O's offense like. And it's not like the Giants hit much better home than away.

So, there's that.

How great would it be if Gausman breaks his away non-winning streak against Bumgarner? Make it so, Baseball Gods.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

This is easily the toughest series left on the schedule for the O's. Big park, no DH and we see both of the Giants' aces. Recipe for disaster, honestly.

Bundy needs to stay hot tonight. It's the only game of the series that we have the better pitcher in. A loss tonight sets the table for a sweep in a bad way. Double whammy, too, given that it's not going to be easy for our corner guys to cover ground in that OF. And Pearce is probably going to miss Saturday's game, where we could have used him against Bumgarner.

Bad all around. I'm setting expectations to very low and hoping for the best.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.



  • Posts

    • Could it be that they allowed the Gnats to reside within 30 minutes of their home. Effectively cutting their market in half? 
    • Got my all-time low rarity score on today's game - 6.
    • 41 freaking years and here's this guy with the name pickles telling me I should be happy with 91 wins and getting owned in the playoffs again. 😂 😂 I saw a team that looked terrible the second half and probably didn't even deserve that spot the way they were playing .
    • Lol. Here's the funny they know more then you know. Typical Oriole fan who's happy with getting punched in the mouth. 
    • I don’t like the wall. I think it’s affecting our hitters. I’ve mentioned before that I think it has totally warped Mountcastle into something he was never really meant to be. The guy came up as a pull-heavy HR hitter, and in his first season-plus (725 PAs), he puts up 38 HRs and a 116 wRC+. Since then, the wRC+ is down to 110, and his approach has totally changed, with his pull numbers plummeting (down from 39% in 2021 to less than 28% this year). He still hits the ball hard, but constantly underachieves his batted ball data — probably because he’s trying to avoid the pull field and hitting balls to the deepest parts of pretty much every other park. Will the same thing happen to Mayo? Maybe he has more pure power, but it’s always going to be a challenge for a RH slugger to survive with that wall. So much harder to do damage.   Beyond that, I think it’s also creating a serious risk of changing our LH hitters’ approaches too. These guys (Henderson, Holliday, Cowser, 2/3 of Adley) have come up with a reputation for being able to drive the ball to all fields. But how long does that continue when they just can’t hit it out to the opposite field? Our LH hitters had a combined 44 wRC+ at OPACY, and only one HR. They had the 3rd most balls hit to LF at home by LHHs, but the lowest wRC+ of any team on those balls (for the second straight year). The Royals, ironically enough, were the only team that was lower than a 70 wRC+ — that’s how much worse our lefties fared going oppo (at OPACY) than everyone else’s. By player: Gunnar Henderson: 112 wRC+ / .160 ISO (51 PAs) Adley Rutschman: 10 wRC+ / .026 ISO (38 PAs) Anthony Santander: 14 wRC+ / .095 ISO (43 PAs) Colton Cowser: 58 wRC+ / .057 ISO (36 PAs) Ryan O’Hearn: 47 wRC+ / .091 ISO (55 PAs) Cedric Mullins: 23 wRC+ / .100 ISO (41 PAs) Jackson Holliday: -72 wRC+ / .000 ISO (16 PAs)   On the road, they had a combined 126 wRC+ (with 9 HRs) going to left field, so it’s not like they’re bad at it. It’s just Death Valley out there in LF for them at OPACY.  How long will it be until these LH guys just start going full pull-happy? Essentially, the opposite of what’s happened with Mountcastle. When (a) your team’s philosophy is to focus on doing damage and (b) you can’t DO damage to the opposite field — the rational endpoint is just to try to pull everything. I don’t think that’s a good outcome. I think it makes them much worse hitters in the other 81 games, and I think it’s a terrible waste of a bunch of really talented hitters with all-field abilities.
    • Which core players beside Adley Rutschman struggled?
  • Popular Contributors

×
×
  • Create New...