30 Games In May: Will we win 10 or more?

[mdbdotcom]

What do you think?

[monarchO]

14-16

[allquixotic]

I think 15-15, 14-16, or 16-14 records are all perfectly doable in a month for any major league club, regardless of anything. Doesn't matter if they are besieged with injuries, ownership issues, lack of attendance, bad press, PED suspensions, bad weather, or all of the above. There's no reason to think the O's can't have a .500 month, or that it's somehow extremely improbable. It's at least somewhat likely. 10% on the pessimist end, and optimists might think it's more likely than not.

Will the club be "fine"? Can it contend? Unlikely, and almost certainly not. But they can win as many games as they lose over a moderate stretch of the season, sure.

[Chavez Ravine]

16? They get the Angels in a post euphoria funk, the bull goes on a rampage, Tilly’s reinvention hits a hiccup, Manny gets larger, we ask why is Trumbo here.

[TINSTAAPP]

Historically, May and July have been the two worst months for the Orioles under Buck. The Orioles have only posted a winning record in May twice under Buck and they had 15-13 records in those two winning months. Plus 17 of the 30 games in May will be on the road and the Orioles have been a horror show on the road the last three seasons. So yeah it'll be surprising if the Orioles are better than 10 games under .500 at the end of May.

[OFFNY]

o

 

17 - 13

 

o

[Moose Milligan]

Trumbo is back.

 

27-3.  

[tntoriole]

12-18

[FlipTheBird]

With the Angels, A's, Phillies, White Sox and Rays (twice) in the mix... I think a close to .500 month is in the cards. This team is not going anywhere, but they're not going to play .286 ball all season, either.

[amdcpus]

Almost everyone here  suddenly thinks a sub .300 team is going to be .500+? I say 11-19.

[ChuckS]

13-17 sounds about right.  I think the pitching will carry us.  Bullpen will improve and Cobb will pitch better. 

Offense will still be hot garbage.  The return of Schoop helps, but we still have big black holes at 1B, 3B, RF, DH (Trumbo pushes Alvarez to bench), and approximately 50 percent of our games at catcher.  

[Ripken]

Over 5 hundy.

[swerda]

Pitching and Hitting can't really get much worse. I feel like they hit a stride.

[Spy Fox]

I think they'll have a winning month. 

[foxfield]

I think they will only play 29 games...weather.