It's Official

[Uli2001]

For the first time this year, the Orioles have to go above .500 the rest of the way to avoid losing 100 games.

At 24-61, they need to go at least 39-38 to avoid losing 100 games for the first time since the Reagan administration. 

[Old#5fan]

They need to do something well so  they may as well continue on their path to their first number one pick in the draft since Ben McDonald. 

[atomic]

So they have to go 29-48 to avoid losing 110 games.  I don't think they have a chance to do that. 19-58 is the goal then.  They don't want to lose 120 games. 

[OsFanSinceThe80s]

Not going to happen.  Especially if Manny and others get traded.

[atomic]

5 minutes ago, OsFanSinceThe80s said:

Not going to happen.  Especially if Manny and others get traded.

They have only won 1 of their last 10 games.  Do you think Manny being on the team really makes a difference?  We are 18 1/2 games behind the Rays.  The Marlins have 12 more wins than us.  These are teams that traded away their best players.  

[OsFanSinceThe80s]

3 minutes ago, atomic said:

They have only won 1 of their last 10 games.  Do you think Manny being on the team really makes a difference?  We are 18 1/2 games behind the Rays.  The Marlins have 12 more wins than us.  These are teams that traded away their best players.  

Good point, but this offense might average less than 2 runs a game if Manny, Jones and Valencia are traded.  

[atomic]

2 minutes ago, OsFanSinceThe80s said:

Good point, but this offense might average less than 2 runs a game if Manny, Jones and Valencia are traded.  

Yeah but the defense will improve.  Bring up Mullins and Stewart plus anything we get in trade. I don't see the team being any worse.  

[O's84]

Unbelievable, were almost 40 games under .500 and were not even at the All-Star Break.

[NashLumber]

9 minutes ago, atomic said:

They have only won 1 of their last 10 games.  Do you think Manny being on the team really makes a difference?  We are 18 1/2 games behind the Rays.  The Marlins have 12 more wins than us.  These are teams that traded away their best players.  

Each loss will count for two after Manny leaves. It’s kind of like lapping yourself in a race to the bottom. 

[atomic]

2 minutes ago, O's84 said:

Unbelievable, were almost 40 games under .500 and were not even at the All-Star Break.

But only 33.5 games out of first. 

[TonySoprano]

This would be only the third 100+ loss season since the franchise moved to Baltimore in 1954.  From 2001-2011, the Orioles lost 91+ games 9 times in 11 seasons, including two seasons of 98 losses.  100 losses isn't much of a stretch from those years.

[Uli2001]

2 minutes ago, TonySoprano said:

This would be only the third 100+ loss season since the franchise moved to Baltimore in 1954.  From 2001-2011, the Orioles lost 91+ games 9 times in 11 seasons, including two seasons of 98 losses.  100 losses isn't much of a stretch from those years.

Yes, but when you need to play winning baseball just to avoid 100 losses, and there are 77 games left, you know they are likely to lose way more than 100. That's the point.

[TonySoprano]

4 minutes ago, Uli2001 said:

Yes, but when you need to play winning baseball just to avoid 100 losses, and there are 77 games left, you know they are likely to lose way more than 100. That's the point.

I get that, which is why I said a few weeks ago, if this team doesn't start playing close to .500 baseball, they'll end up with more losses than the 1988 team (107).
 

 

[atomic]

3 minutes ago, TonySoprano said:

I get that, which is why I said a few weeks ago, if this team doesn't start playing close to .500 baseball, they'll end up with more losses than the 1988 team (107).

They are already 2 games behind 1988 teams pace and the 1988 team won their next 3 games.  Amazingly if you even removed Chris Davis stats from the team the position players would still have negative WAR.  

[atomic]

2 minutes ago, Roy Firestone said:

100 losses? Hey, they won't even win 55 games...maybe not even 50..especially with Manny and Britton and Brach likely gone after July....

I think Brach and Britton leaving will be more of a negative than Manny leaving.  You will have lost O'Day, Brach, Britton and Bleier from the bullpen.  That leaves you Castro.  I think if a starter wants to win they have to go a minimum of 8 innings.