Jump to content

Britton on the use of analytics in New York vs. Baltimore


Babkins

Recommended Posts

Britton has one of the best seasons a reliever has ever had his last healthy season in Baltimore. How much more could analytics change that?

Plus it doesn’t seem like other teams’ pitchers are that smart to see how to find Davis’ holes in his swing to to throw low and away breaking balls to Jones, Machado, and Schoop. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Replies 238
  • Created
  • Last Reply
3 hours ago, Frobby said:

This is interesting information.    All I know about Gelles is she went to Amherst, like Duquette.   I’d be interested to know what kind of specific negative things you’ve heard about her.    I could see the old school guys saying negative things just because they don’t like the newfangled analytics.  Or, I could see people who know what they’re talking about saying she’s not as good as her peers in the industry.    In any event I think we are under-resourced in this area.  

From this 2016 article https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/sunday-notes-orioles-analytics-freeland-expos-more

Quote

 

Sarah Gelles was recently given a new title. The Baltimore Orioles’ Director of Analytics since April 2014, she is now the Director of Analytics and Major League Contracts. Based on her career track, don’t be surprised if she one day becomes a general manager.

In 2010, Gelles graduated summa cum laude from Amherst College with a degree in Law, Jurisprudence & Social Thought. Along the way, she interned for the Pirates in their baseball operations department. Upon leaving school, she worked for Major League Baseball’s Labor Relations Department. After that, she served a year-long internship with the Orioles before being hired full time when Dan Duquette became team president in November 2011.

She began making her mark even before Duquette arrived. While still an intern, Gelles “identified an area of need in the organization, and started to build out our first internal database.”

Think about that for a moment. One year out of college, an intern initiated one of the most-meaningful advancements in team history.

 

It sounds as if she was given this role a year out of college with a degree completely unrelated to analytics, because what they had before was stone zero.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, sportsfan8703 said:

Britton has one of the best seasons a reliever has ever had his last healthy season in Baltimore. How much more could analytics change that?

Plus it doesn’t seem like other teams’ pitchers are that smart to see how to find Davis’ holes in his swing to to throw low and away breaking balls to Jones, Machado, and Schoop. 

I think the fact that the Astros can turn Charlie Morton into a lights out pitcher or that the Yankees consistently find gems like Luke Voit speaks to the value of the non-obvious benefits of analytics.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

22 minutes ago, theocean said:

I think the fact that the Astros can turn Charlie Morton into a lights out pitcher or that the Yankees consistently find gems like Luke Voit speaks to the value of the non-obvious benefits of analytics.

Analytics allowed Charlie Morton to all of a sudden throw a high 90s fastball in his mid thirties?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

13 minutes ago, Mendoza Line said:

Analytics allowed Charlie Morton to all of a sudden throw a high 90s fastball in his mid thirties?

That wasn’t analytics that was just pushback against traditional coaching of a low effort delivery and it happened before he joined the Astros.

Now both him and Cole and others have improved with the Astros due to there analytics based philosophy of pitch selection.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

There is an avalanche of potentially helpful data being developed, much of it developed by teams (like the stuff Britton appears to be talking about) and vendors and not publicly available. To use that data effectively, you need two things.

The first is a staff that is sufficient in size and effective at thinking creatively about, developing and presenting that data. I have long had the impression, confirmed by the numbers from the Athletic earlier today, that the Orioles have a smaller and less effective staff than most other teams. I understood, though it was probably just an assumption on my part, that the small staff was the result of the owner's parsimony and lack of interest in analytics, as part of his decision to pour money into the MLB payroll and skimp everywhere else. I heard good things about Gelles a few years ago, but nothing lately -- didn't even know she was still around. Maybe she's part of the problem. But you can't expect the Orioles analytics people to accomplish with a staff of five what the Yankees do with 20. You've got to find good people and pay them enough to retain them.

The second is team leaders, in the front office and the dugout, who are open, even aggressive, about considering new ideas and approaches (and how adept that person at deciding, with input and recommendations from those with expertise) which ones to embrace, which ones to consider skeptically and which ones to reject. I don't know how Duquette was out on that. It's obvious that Buck never was, and almost certainly never will be, open to making extensive use of analytics, especially new, cutting-edge stuff. It's not a matter of age -- that's just Buck.

I hope the Orioles take this opportunity to fix their deficiencies in both areas. But then again, I hope for a lot of things.      

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, Luke-OH said:

That wasn’t analytics that was just pushback against traditional coaching of a low effort delivery and it happened before he joined the Astros.

Now both him and Cole and others have improved with the Astros due to there analytics based philosophy of pitch selection.

They are heavy into spin rate, also Verlander.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 hours ago, Mendoza Line said:

Analytics allowed Charlie Morton to all of a sudden throw a high 90s fastball in his mid thirties?

I don't think that's true. I think working with an outstanding pitching coach who truly understand movement patterns and contraints had more to do with that than analytics.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

9 hours ago, esmd said:

While overall I agree with you, in this case Britton went out of his way to state that he wasn't getting this info in Baltimore.  He could've just said that it's great info and it helps him prepare and be more effective, the standard boilerplate response.  But he didn't do that, he went out of his way to say how much more it was in NY vice here.  That's not overblown, IMO, and it's fair to conclude that we're behind other teams.

I upvoted you. Thank you for a well reasoned and thought out response. Somewhat rare here.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.




  • Posts

    • Let  Westy  play 3B vs right handed pitching and LF vs left-handed pitching.    Urias can play 3B vs lefties.   This is only needed if Cowser can't hit lefties. Mateo and Westy can be platoon in the outfield IMO.
    • O'Neil seems like a perfect fit if he doesn't cost too much in years or dollars.   
    • I don’t think we choked. Stubborn as hell. We literally went down with the same sinking ship philosophy that we had the entire 2nd half of the season.  The young guys just have to adjust. I mean getting completely shut down for 5 post season games has to wear on them. If it doesn’t, then we were never built to win. 
    • Right now the 2025 OF has three LHH OF in Cowser, Mullins, and Kjerstad. I’m not sure what the bench makeup of this team will be, but it looks like we’ll need 1-2 RHH options.  We could bring Slater back on a small “Tony Kemp” like 1 year deal or a milb deal.  With Santander leaving, and Mateo back to being in the CF mix once healthy, do we go with a more COF RHH type? Trades are a possibility as well, but here is a list of upcoming RHH OF Free Agents,    
    • I actually didn't suggest a reliever as the return, that was SG. I was thinking more about trading veterans to acquire pitching prospects, probably lower level lottery tickets. I'd rather pick up ML roster pieces through free agency (assuming of course that Rubenstein will allow a significant payroll boost.).
    • Each player is different. Each player may have a somewhat different hitting philosophy, based on their strengths and weaknesses. Not everyone is a “power hitter.” I would not coach a Tony Santander the same as a Jordan Westburg, or a Jorge Mateo, or a Cedric Mullins. Some should be more selective, while others may need to do more damage and it’s ok for them to K more because the power payoff is worth it. Some should have a more oppo approach, while others may need to try to pull the ball more. The Waltimore certainly has messed with many of our RH bats.  Being a hitting coach is a lot of work, and it is usually not often a position held for many years. They seem to often be a scapegoat when the players do not hit. I wonder what drove the players to swing more at pitches they probably should not have. I seriously doubt it was Ryan Fuller. Hitting coaches have a general philosophical approach, like Fuller would have hitters learn to take pitches they cannot hit well, with less than 2 strikes.. He wanted them to swing only at pitches they can do damage with. They do not dramatically change. For the Orioles to become much more free swinging, that must have driven Fuller to leave. So be it. Going forward, they probably need to be somewhere in between the previous two years. In the playoffs, they get pitched to differently. It’s higher intensity. You have to be proficient in putting the ball in play. You have to be able to take what the game gives you, and execute. There is no excuse for repeatedly having runners in scoring position with less than two outs and repeatedly not being able to get them home. Bases loaded, no outs, hitters 2,3 and 4 coming up…we have to score there. The approach was to hit a grand slam. Awful baseball. A ton of talent on this roster, and something has to change. 
    • I have been pretty happy with Kjerstad's defense in the outfield corners.   Not that I want him in left at home.     I agree with what Elias said about Mayo's body type being more suited for 1B.
  • Popular Contributors

×
×
  • Create New...