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Monday, September 19: Tigers come to town


SteveA

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Just now, SteveA said:

Well, you aren't going to use one of your best that early in the game.

And he IS a high strikeout guy so with the bases loaded and less than two outs you are looking for Ks.

I wonder what the win probably is for teams that are behind by two, have their starter knocked out of the game in the fourth and have allowed the bases to be loaded with 0 outs is?

Sounds pretty low leverage.

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6 minutes ago, Can_of_corn said:

I wonder what the win probably is for teams that are behind by two, have their starter knocked out of the game in the fourth and have allowed the bases to be loaded with 0 outs is?

Sounds pretty low leverage.

Just based on the situation (home team down 2 bases loaded no outs top 4th), it's 13.5%.   That doesn't factor that your starter is out, although I imagine a lot of starters are close to being out at that point anyway.

https://gregstoll.com/~gregstoll/baseball/stats.html#V.-2.4.0.8.0.0

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Just now, SteveA said:

Just based on the situation (home team down 2 bases loaded no outs top 4th), it's 13.5%.   That doesn't factor that your starter is out, although I imagine a lot of starters are close to being out at that point anyway.

https://gregstoll.com/~gregstoll/baseball/stats.html#V.-2.4.0.8.0.0

Sounds like a good time for someone like Hall.

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