Olney, Baltimore Wire, and Augusta Free Press: Chris Davis Should Consider a 1-Year Deal

[FanSince88]

http://espn.go.com/blog/buster-olney/insider/post?id=11965

http://thebaltimorewire.com/2015/12/29/baltimore-orioles-chris-davis-with-a-one-year-contract/

http://augustafreepress.com/has-chris-davis-talked-himself-out-of-big-money/

The former two articles emphasize that this year's stacked FA class is hurting CD's market (and the market for others still unsigned). The latter emphasizes his limited defensive range and strikeouts as strong barriers to a long deal. All suggest that it might be a better idea for CD to actually sign for a one-year deal and try the market next winter where there will be fewer other sluggers for him to compete with.

Olney's words:

"We are deep enough into the offseason that players and their agents are presumably reviewing and reassessing strategy, and if they believe their chances for the whopper long-term deal they envisioned three months ago have dwindled or disappeared, the time for target alteration is nearing."

[El Gordo]

This is what I've been saying. Next year TEX, BOS, MFY, TOR, will all be in the market for a 1B/DH.

[srock]

Sounds risky. Davis repeats 2014 in 2016 or gets hurt and his payday is gone forever.

He wants the long term contract and an opt out.

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[FanSince88]

I wonder what it would take to sign him for a year.

Would you do a one year deal for $35 mil? $30 mil?

I think a $30 mil one year deal would be fair, actually. It's almost double the QO that Wieters took, and surely CD has the potential to greatly outpace Wieters' offensive numbers, and has more defensive versatility than Wieters does (if not defensive excellence).

[El Gordo]

Sounds risky. Davis repeats 2014 in 2016 or gets hurt and his payday is gone forever.

He wants the long term contract and an opt out.

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Boras wants 8/200 M. :rolleyestf:

[FanSince88]

Boras wants 8/200 M. :rolleyestf:

I think most teams are more afraid of the length than the money. Nobody wants to be stuck with a below-replacement position player on their 25 man roster toward the end of his contract.

[mskrulz]

http://espn.go.com/blog/buster-olney/insider/post?id=11965

http://thebaltimorewire.com/2015/12/29/baltimore-orioles-chris-davis-with-a-one-year-contract/

http://augustafreepress.com/has-chris-davis-talked-himself-out-of-big-money/

The former two articles emphasize that this year's stacked FA class is hurting CD's market (and the market for others still unsigned). The latter emphasizes his limited defensive range and strikeouts as strong barriers to a long deal. All suggest that it might be a better idea for CD to actually sign for a one-year deal and try the market next winter where there will be fewer other sluggers for him to compete with.

Olney's words:

"We are deep enough into the offseason that players and their agents are presumably reviewing and reassessing strategy, and if they believe their chances for the whopper long-term deal they envisioned three months ago have dwindled or disappeared, the time for target alteration is nearing."

Nothing hurt his market except his agent. He turned down a 7/150 million deal. A one year deal would be awful for him.

[FanSince88]

Sounds risky. Davis repeats 2014 in 2016 or gets hurt and his payday is gone forever.

He wants the long term contract and an opt out.

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It's also risky to sign a below-market multi year deal when you could have gotten more next offseason. The risk cuts both ways.

[mskrulz]

I wonder what it would take to sign him for a year.

Would you do a one year deal for $35 mil? $30 mil?

I think a $30 mil one year deal would be fair, actually. It's almost double the QO that Wieters took, and surely CD has the potential to greatly outpace Wieters' offensive numbers, and has more defensive versatility than Wieters does (if not defensive excellence).

And no way, that's awful.

[25 Nuggets]

He wants the long term contract and an opt out.

Boras wants 8/200 M. :rolleyestf:

and an opt out.

[clapdiddy]

If Davis takes a 1-year deal after declining a 7/150 deal, I say good riddance.

[srock]

It's also risky to sign a below-market multi year deal when you could have gotten more next offseason. The risk cuts both ways.

But in one case he is guaranteed to make $100+ million. That's one hell of a hedge.

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[FanSince88]

But in one case he is guaranteed to make $100+ million. That's one hell of a hedge.

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Is he though? I'm hearing lots of crickets out there. The O's offer is off the table now. Who else is going to step up? Maybe he gets 4/100 if he's lucky.

[GoldGlove21]

It's also risky to sign a below-market multi year deal when you could have gotten more next offseason. The risk cuts both ways.

The risk is not at the same level in both scenario's. Davis takes a one year deal and things go bad he will lose $50M+. If he matches his 2015 in 2016 is he some how worth more than 6/150? I do not think so. You would be rolling the dice a ton. If a player wants to risk tens of hundreds of millions for a few more I just laugh. It really is silly.

[El Gordo]

We don't know if they have returned to find the offer is now much lower than the original 7/150M. In that case the idea of a bidding frenzy for a one year deal becomes more attractive.