HR total this year for each Oriole in the projected starting lineup

[Frobby]

It sounds great until we project how many homeruns we'll give up.

I'm pretty sure we will outhomer our opponents. Whether we will outscore them is another matter.

For what it's worth, here is our homer tally vs. our oppoents in recent years:

2015: 217 to 174

2014: 211 to 151

2013: 212 to 202

2012: 214 to 184

2011: 191 to 210

I think we certainly have a good shot to top 217 this year. In fact, I'd be pretty bummed out if we didn't.

[jjnono]

How I see the Orioles power turning out. Around 250 HR total give or take a few.

Chris Davis - 48

Manny Machado - 36

Mark Trumbo - 31

Adam Jones - 29

Matt Wieters - 27

Jonathan Schoop - 27

Pedro Alvarez - 23

J.J Hardy - 16

Hyun-Soo Kim - 11

All amounting to about 275 runs based on failure to increase OBP in the offseason... This team may set a record for solo home runs in a season! (Anyone know what that number is???)

[thezeroes]

All amounting to about 275 runs based on failure to increase OBP in the offseason... This team may set a record for solo home runs in a season! (Anyone know what that number is???)

Not what you wanted but numbers just the same:

In 2015 there were 2887 Solo Homeruns

These are the top five teams for hitting Solo HR with total Solo’s

HOU 144

TOR 128

BAL 126

ANA 119

SEA 117

These are the top 7 Batters for hitting Solo Home runs with total Solo’s

Nelson Cruz 31

Mike Trout 31

Josh Donaldson 28

Manny Machado 26

Albert Pujols 25

Bryce Harper 25

Alex Rodriguez 25

These are the top pitchers for giving up the Solo’s

James Shields 26

Hector Santiago 22

Dan Haren 22

Wei-Yin Chen 22

Kyle Kendrick 21

Phil Hughes 20

From 2010 through 2015 there were 16,226 Solo Homeruns Hit

Top Three Teams for Solo Homeruns with total:

TOR 703

BAL 687

NYY 675

Top Batters with 100 Or More Solo Homeruns:

Jose Bautista 134

Albert Pujols 114

Giancarlo Stanton 113

Nelson Cruz 109

Miguel Cabrera 100

David Ortiz 100

Jay Bruce 100

Top Pitchers for giving up the 2010 to 2015 Solo Homeruns:

Dan Haren 109

Jeremy Guthrie 102

James Shields 101

Bronson Arroyo 93

Ervin Santana 89

Ian Kennedy 87

Cole Hamels 85

Max Scherzer 83

[TINSTAAPP]

Chris Davis - 30

Adam Jones - 30

Manny Machado - 25

Jonathan Schoop - 20

Pedro Alvarez - 20

Mark Trumbo - 20

Matt Wieters - 15

J.J Hardy - 10

Hyun-Soo Kim - 10

Rest of the team combines for 25-30 HRs. So I say they'll hit around 205-210 HRs this year.

[jjnono]

Not what you wanted but numbers just the same:

In 2015 there were 2887 Solo Homeruns

These are the top five teams for hitting Solo HR with total Solo’s

HOU 144

TOR 128

BAL 126

ANA 119

SEA 117

These are the top 7 Batters for hitting Solo Home runs with total Solo’s

Nelson Cruz 31

Mike Trout 31

Josh Donaldson 28

Manny Machado 26

Albert Pujols 25

Bryce Harper 25

Alex Rodriguez 25

These are the top pitchers for giving up the Solo’s

James Shields 26

Hector Santiago 22

Dan Haren 22

Wei-Yin Chen 22

Kyle Kendrick 21

Phil Hughes 20

From 2010 through 2015 there were 16,226 Solo Homeruns Hit

Top Three Teams for Solo Homeruns with total:

TOR 703

BAL 687

NYY 675

Top Batters with 100 Or More Solo Homeruns:

Jose Bautista 134

Albert Pujols 114

Giancarlo Stanton 113

Nelson Cruz 109

Miguel Cabrera 100

David Ortiz 100

Jay Bruce 100

Top Pitchers for giving up the 2010 to 2015 Solo Homeruns:

Dan Haren 109

Jeremy Guthrie 102

James Shields 101

Bronson Arroyo 93

Ervin Santana 89

Ian Kennedy 87

Cole Hamels 85

Max Scherzer 83

Damn, that's good research. I made a pathetic little google effort and couldn't track anything down. I bet this team goes 150+ solo shots...

[25 Nuggets]

Damn, that's good research. I made a pathetic little google effort and couldn't track anything down. I bet this team goes 150+ solo shots...

Well Toronto has the most solo HRs from 2010-2015 and they're supposed to be better at getting men on base. The more HRs you hit, the higher potential you have for solo HRs.

greenie for the work zeroes.

[Frobby]

Damn, that's good research. I made a pathetic little google effort and couldn't track anything down. I bet this team goes 150+ solo shots...

I'd probably be happy if they did. The Seattle team that set the all time HR record of 264 hit 152 solo shots (57.5% of their homers). Last year's Orioles hit 217 homers, of which 127 were solos (58.5%). If we hit an extra 23+ solo shots, we're probably also hitting another 16+ extra homers with runners on base.

[25 Nuggets]

Let's check in on our old friend BBR and see their 2016 projections:

37 Chris Davis

25 Adam Jones

24 Pedro Alvarez

23 Manny Machado

21 Mark Trumbo

16 Jonathan Schoop

12 Matt Wieters

12 J.J. Hardy

?? Hyun-Soo Kim (we'll go with 10)

---------

180 HR

That'll take some wind outta your sails huh?

[thezeroes]

Damn, that's good research. I made a pathetic little google effort and couldn't track anything down. I bet this team goes 150+ solo shots...

For the years 2000 through 2015 these are the team leaders in Solo Shots.

2015 144 Houston

2014 119 Baltimore

2013 125 Baltimore

2012 141 NY Yankees

2011 133 Texas

2010 147 Toronto

2009 148 NY Yankees

2008 133 Chicago White Sox

2007 140 Milwaukee

2006 132 Cinncinnatti

2005 142 Texas

2004 143 NY Yankees

2003 154 Boston

2002 139 Texas

2001 161 Texas

2000 152 Houston

[ChuckS]

How I see the Orioles power turning out. Around 250 HR total give or take a few.

Chris Davis - 48 38

Manny Machado - 36 29

Mark Trumbo - 31 26

Adam Jones - 29 26

Matt Wieters - 27 17

Jonathan Schoop - 27 25

Pedro Alvarez - 23 26

J.J Hardy - 16 14

Hyun-Soo Kim - 11 9

I put mine in bold. I have six guys with 25 plus homeruns, still a lot more conservative than the OP's predictions.

[ChuckS]

Let's check in on our old friend BBR and see their 2016 projections:

37 Chris Davis

25 Adam Jones

24 Pedro Alvarez

23 Manny Machado

21 Mark Trumbo

16 Jonathan Schoop

12 Matt Wieters

12 J.J. Hardy

?? Hyun-Soo Kim (we'll go with 10)

---------

180 HR

That'll take some wind outta your sails huh?

Wouldn't be the worst thing. Our bench would get us over 200 pretty easily. Probably in the 210-220 range like we've been. I think we will hit somewhere between 220 and 230 homeruns this year. My predictions for the lineup stipulated in the OP did not account for injuries.

[jjnono]

For the years 2000 through 2015 these are the team leaders in Solo Shots.

2015 144 Houston

2014 119 Baltimore

2013 125 Baltimore

2012 141 NY Yankees

2011 133 Texas

2010 147 Toronto

2009 148 NY Yankees

2008 133 Chicago White Sox

2007 140 Milwaukee

2006 132 Cinncinnatti

2005 142 Texas

2004 143 NY Yankees

2003 154 Boston

2002 139 Texas

2001 161 Texas

2000 152 Houston

We're gunning for 162. One a game. At 58% of all HRs, our season total will need to be around 280. Meaning 118 multi-run homers. If I can find a somewhat credible statistical spread on how many HRs are 2-run, 3-run and 4-run shots, we might be able to crib together some sort of record-breaking offensive devastation figure for Total # of Runs Scored by HR.

Maybe this is the FO plan - hit the snot so totally out of the ball that no one notices our anemic pitching and curious RF defense....:2yay-thumb:

[gmelson26]

How I see the Orioles power turning out. Around 250 HR total give or take a few.

Chris Davis - 48

Manny Machado - 36

Mark Trumbo - 31

Adam Jones - 29

Matt Wieters - 27

Jonathan Schoop - 27

Pedro Alvarez - 23

J.J Hardy - 16

Hyun-Soo Kim - 11

That gives us 248. Add in Joseph, Reimold, and the rest of the bench and it's easy to see the 264 record going. Hey, I'll take; although, I think we will be a bit less overall, but not by much of you're said.

[weams]

Well Toronto has the most solo HRs from 2010-2015 and they're supposed to be better at getting men on base. The more HRs you hit, the higher potential you have for solo HRs.

greenie for the work zeroes.

Very true. On both issues.

[markakis8]

Let's check in on our old friend BBR and see their 2016 projections:

37 Chris Davis

25 Adam Jones

24 Pedro Alvarez

23 Manny Machado

21 Mark Trumbo

16 Jonathan Schoop

12 Matt Wieters

12 J.J. Hardy

?? Hyun-Soo Kim (we'll go with 10)

---------

180 HR

That'll take some wind outta your sails huh?

Do anyone really see Manny only hitting 23 with the progress he made last year? Hard to see Wieters with only 12 if he plays all year. I could see 21 for Trumbo on the Mariners, just hard to imagine that kind of light tower power only hitting 21 in Camden though. Schoop is on the low side, but 16 is possible.

I would put money down that we get at least 225 from our starting 9.