The New High Water Mark Thread

[OFFNY]

o

18 ooo ****************** ooo 18

18 ooo ****************** ooo 18

18 ooo ****************** ooo 18

o

[El Gordo]

Tonight we get :

[Goosgo]

[Frobby]

Most of the high water marks have come in waves:

April 4-12: +1 to +7

May 11-14: +8 to + 11

June 8-9: +12 to +13

June 25-29: +14 to + 17

July 25-??: +18 to +??

[ExileAngelos]

Let's sweep and get to 20!

[allquixotic]

It would give me one heck of a warm fuzzy if we could keep on a roll long enough that we can play .500 in our remaining games and still almost guarantee a playoff berth. The earlier we get that over with the sooner they can start printing World Series tickets.

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[Redskins Rick]

[Frobby]

It would give me one heck of a warm fuzzy if we could keep on a roll long enough that we can play .500 in our remaining games and still almost guarantee a playoff berth. The earlier we get that over with the sooner they can start printing World Series tickets.

I am not exactly sure what total would almost guarantee a playoff berth, but we aren't far away. I'd feel pretty safe at +22 (which is 92 wins if you finish the season there). Here's the cutoff between 2nd wild card and the next team each year since the two wild card system went into effect

2012: BAL 93/TBR 90; STL 88/LAD 86

2013: TBR & CLE 92/TEX 91; CIN 90/WAS 86

2014: OAK 88/SEA 87;PIT & SFG 88/MIL 82

2015: HOU 86/LAA 85;CHC 97/SFG 84

In summary, no team has won more than 91 games and missed the playoffs. The win total of the 2nd wild card team has exceeded 92 only twice in 8 chances. And I think the AL is sufficiently balanced this year where the chances of five other teams exceeding 92 wins if we've won 92 are very small.

With all that said, we have a tough schedule and getting to 92 wins won't be easy even though we are on a pace for 90 even if we just play .500 ball.

[El Gordo]

It would give me one heck of a warm fuzzy if we could keep on a roll long enough that we can play .500 in our remaining games and still almost guarantee a playoff berth. The earlier we get that over with the sooner they can start printing World Series tickets.

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20 over should do it.

[Machado13]

One of my MFY friends texted, discussing chapman deal. He said Orioles need to go for it this year. He thinks they are best team in AL. He also said the Red Sox are overrated.

[Redskins Rick]

One of my MFY friends texted, discussing chapman deal. He said Orioles need to go for it this year. He thinks they are best team in AL. He also said the Red Sox are overrated.

The team went for it, in 2014, and some posters in OH, are still complaining about the cost.

[Bahama O's Fan]

When we hit that 18 over number, we come crashing down.

[Frobby]

When we hit that 18 over number' date=' we come crashing down.[/quote']

I'm blaming Redskins Rick. See post # 162.

Not really, though it did irk me.

[Ripken]

We won't see 18 again.

[Frobby]

We won't see 18 again.

Well I won't, anyway. That was 41 years ago. But I've had a lot of time to watch baseball since then, and I've seen enough to know not to pre-judge what's going to happen.