Jump to content

We are a 10th place team


1968_bills_fan

Recommended Posts

1 hour ago, Tx Oriole said:

I wouldn't trust Gausman at all. I wish there was better pitching in the minors. Someone ready to come up to Baltimore. So they could trade Kevin G. IMO 

Kevin is 4-2 with a 4.02 ERA since the All-Star break.  Next year I think we should begin with the 2nd half first.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Replies 93
  • Created
  • Last Reply

FA this fall: Lance Lynn, Michael Pineda, Andrew Cashner, Alex Cobb, Jaime Garcia, Nathan Eovaldi, Tyler Chatwood, Jhoulys Chacin, Jeremy Hellickson. All of these could help us next season. Any of these cost 5 years 20M AAV? Lynn, Cobb, and Cashner would be top choices.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

10 minutes ago, El Gordo said:

FA this fall: Lance Lynn, Michael Pineda, Andrew Cashner, Alex Cobb, Jaime Garcia, Nathan Eovaldi, Tyler Chatwood, Jhoulys Chacin, Jeremy Hellickson. All of these could help us next season. Any of these cost 5 years 20M AAV? Lynn, Cobb, and Cashner would be top choices.

I don't think FA pitchers want to pitch in Camden Yard unless they have no other choice. ........ Like Ubaldo when his as a FA.

I think the O's are going to have to go to the traded market.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

13 minutes ago, wildcard said:

I don't think FA pitchers want to pitch in Camden Yard unless they have no other choice. ........ Like Ubaldo when his as a FA.

I think the O's are going to have to go to the traded market.

According to b.b.r. OPACY i not a hitter's park. If you pay them they will come.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, El Gordo said:

According to b.b.r. OPACY i not a hitter's park. If you pay them they will come.

Who is kidding who?  In the summer when it is hot, Camden Yards is a hitters park.  And most pitchers would rather pitch in  a less hitter friendly park.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, wildcard said:

Who is kidding who?  In the summer when it is hot, Camden Yards is a hitters park.  And most pitchers would rather pitch in  a less hitter friendly park.

You don't think BBR takes that in account? And you have personally talked to most pitchers about this. It's Baloney. We haven't signed top pitchers because PA doesn't want to pay them.

 

Park Factors: (Over 100 favors batters, under 100 favors pitchers.)
    Multi-year: Batting - 98, Pitching - 98
    One-year: Batting - 93, Pitching - 93

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 minutes ago, El Gordo said:

You don't think BBR takes that in account? And you have personally talked to most pitchers about this. It's Baloney. We haven't signed top pitchers because PA doesn't want to pay them.

 

Park Factors: (Over 100 favors batters, under 100 favors pitchers.)
    Multi-year: Batting - 98, Pitching - 98
    One-year: Batting - 93, Pitching - 93

Well, PA not wanting to pay long term, expensive contracts to FA pitchersis certainly true.   But I don't know how you can watch games at Camden Yard when its hot and not say its not a hitter's park.  We have been watching balls that appear to fly outs go over the field on a pretty regular basis lately.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

25 minutes ago, wildcard said:

Well, PA not wanting to pay long term, expensive contracts to FA pitchersis certainly true.   But I don't know how you can watch games at Camden Yard when its hot and not say its not a hitter's park.  We have been watching balls that appear to fly outs go over the field on a pretty regular basis lately.

OPACY is homer-friendly but not necessarily run-friendly.    As of today, we've played 64 games at home, 63 on the road.    We've hit 26 more homers at home and scored 30 more runs there, while our pitchers have allowed 11 more homers but 36 fewer runs at home.   So net, OPACY is +37 in homers but -6 in runs.  Last year, our hitters hit 9 more homers and scored 8 more runs at home, and O's pitchers allowed 7 fewer homers and 43 fewer runs at home, for a net of +2 homers and -35 runs at home vs. on the road.    

Link to comment
Share on other sites

We probably have a top 5 group of position players.  Above average bullpen.  Worst or near worst rotation.  

Our 2018 outlook involves paying Trumbo and Davis a combined 40ish million.  No extensions for Manny or Schoop.  With a possible rotation of Bundy, Gausman, Castro, Wright, Aquino.  

Talk about needing some resource allocation.  Ideally we could get out from under Castillo, Trumbo and O'day's contracts and put that money into FA SP.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

17 minutes ago, sportsfan8703 said:

We probably have a top 5 group of position players.  Above average bullpen.  Worst or near worst rotation.  

Our 2018 outlook involves paying Trumbo and Davis a combined 40ish million.  No extensions for Manny or Schoop.  With a possible rotation of Bundy, Gausman, Castro, Wright, Aquino.  

Talk about needing some resource allocation.  Ideally we could get out from under Castillo, Trumbo and O'day's contracts and put that money into FA SP.  

If we don't pick up options the 2018 payroll including arbitration would come to about 106 M. That should leave sufficient wiggle room for some FA SP.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Frobby said:

OPACY is homer-friendly but not necessarily run-friendly.    As of today, we've played 64 games at home, 63 on the road.    We've hit 26 more homers at home and scored 30 more runs there, while our pitchers have allowed 11 more homers but 36 fewer runs at home.   So net, OPACY is +37 in homers but -6 in runs.  Last year, our hitters hit 9 more homers and scored 8 more runs at home, and O's pitchers allowed 7 fewer homers and 43 fewer runs at home, for a net of +2 homers and -35 runs at home vs. on the road.    

Very confusing.  37 homers more than what?  More than last year? More than the opposition?  What the heck are you telling us.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, wildcard said:

Very confusing.  37 homers more than what?  More than last year? More than the opposition?  What the heck are you telling us.

Not confusing at all Our pitchers allow fewer runs at home, forget the HR in July and August

Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 minutes ago, wildcard said:

Very confusing.  37 homers more than what?  More than last year? More than the opposition?  What the heck are you telling us.

Adding what our hitters and pitchers did, there have been 37 more homers hit at Camden Yards than on the road, but 6 fewer runs have been scored at Camden Yards than on the road.    

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Frobby said:

Adding what our hitters and pitchers did, there have been 37 more homers hit at Camden Yards than on the road, but 6 fewer runs have been scored at Camden Yards than on the road.    

I am not sure what this means.  Its a well documented fact the the O's are not a good road team.   What does this say about Camden Yard vs other ball park.

It appears you are comparing how the O's do home and away instead on comparing Camden Yards to other ball parks.

Whether Camden Yard is a hitters park is a question of whether there are more runs scored there than other ball park IMO.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, wildcard said:

I am not sure what this means.  Its a well documented fact the the O's are not a good road team.   So to say they score more runs at home than away is a given.  Their record shows that clearly.   I also don't know what that says about Camden Yards vs other ball parks.

It says that while OPACY increases home runs it decreases other types of offense.  For instance OPACY is a terrible park for hitting triples.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.




  • Posts

    • I honestly think there is very little difference in most the teams that made the playoffs.  The most wins was 98 wins and there was 12 teams with 86 wins or more.  It also seems that many of the teams are on the same page with scouting and analytics now hitting wise.  Years back you had moneyball which the A’s used before anyone else.  Then the Astros and few teams started with analytics and seemed to be ahead of the rest of the league but they have caught up now imo.  Now the move seems to be on launch angle and hitting homers by getting the ball in the air but that seems to be across the league.  Obviously some teams have more money and more talented players but the strategy seems about the same.  The main differences I see is in pitching in the playoffs which is bullpen games and using openers rather then a starter to go 7 innings and carry your team to win now a slight sign of trouble they are taking them out.  With all these short inning guys and pitching them in certain pockets we are seeing very little offense and the hitting with runners in scoring position has been awful.  It all comes down to RISP at bats and getting 1 or 2 big base hits in those situations.  We just haven’t been able to get those hits so far in short series.  
    • And we've seen similar with Kjerstad. Kjerstad might be the best pure hitting prospect in the Orioles system of recent years besides Gunnar. I want to see him playing everyday next year is possible none of this sitting him versus LHP more often than not. These prospects need to get their reps and stop treating them like John Lowenstein and Benny Ayala.
    • I don’t see Elias trading off prospects anymore at least top guys.  We have moved a few guys in last year and I expect they try to build that back up.  They should have money to use if they want to add talent.  
    • Blah, well Rob Manfred has to be happy along with Fox network. A Yankees-Mets World Series match up is still on the table and the Dodgers as well if they win tomorrow. I knew the Royals would get jettisoned by the Yankees without too much of a fight.
    • For Mountcastle …Maybe Chase Petty and Tristan Smith?
    • I’m guessing they ask for Mayo or Basallo of Kjerstad. For me …I’d give them Kjerstad since he’s defensively challenged IMO. Maybe Kjerstad, McDermott, Beavers, and O’Ferrall? 
    • 192 wins in two seasons is a pretty strong argument to stay the course.  That said, I wonder if the young players wouldn't be better off long-term if the scientific matchups took a back seat to the raw talent a little more than we've seen.  Overthinking something can be a thing you know.
  • Popular Contributors

×
×
  • Create New...