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Predict the Date of Loss #100


TonySoprano

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Unless the Orioles can go 23-4 (.852) in this month, it will be only the 3rd season of 100+ losses in Baltimore.  15-12 (.555) will put the team 0.5 games ahead of 1988. Even that is too much to ask for as a 9-16 (.360) July is the best month of the season

1988    54    107    0.335
1954    54    100    0.351
2009    64    98    0.395
2001    63    98    0.391
1955    57    97    0.370
2010    66    96    0.407
2018    40    95    0.296

2002    67    95    0.414
1991    67    95    0.414
1987    67    95    0.414
2011    69    93    0.426
2008    68    93    0.422
2007    69    93    0.426
2006    70    92    0.432
2003    71    91    0.438

The remaining games
9/1-2 @ KCR
9/3-5 @ SEA
9/7-9 @ TBR
9/11-13 vs OAK
9/14-16 vs CHW
9/17-19 vs TOR
9/21-23 @ NYY
9/24-26 @ BOS
9/27-30 vs HOU
 

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14 hours ago, Frobby said:

This seems like an exercise in self-flagellation, but why not?   I’ll say Sept. 8.

Have it your way, will the Orioles get to 50 wins?  It would be the first month all season with at least 10 wins, so I say, "no."

Loss #96 - September 1

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29 minutes ago, TonySoprano said:

Have it your way, will the Orioles get to 50 wins?  It would be the first month all season with at least 10 wins, so I say, "no."

Loss #96 - September 1

No, they will not win 50.    47-48 wins at best. 

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1DBp3eg.jpg

1988    54    107    0.335
1954    54    100    0.351
2018    41    99    0.293

2009    64    98    0.395
2001    63    98    0.391
1955    57    97    0.370
2010    66    96    0.407
2002    67    95    0.414
1991    67    95    0.414
1987    67    95    0.414
2011    69    93    0.426
2008    68    93    0.422
2007    69    93    0.426
2006    70    92    0.432
2003    71    91    0.438

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It's really astounding that in the 14 years of losing, not once did they reach 100 losses.  I'm honestly still amazed that the 2001 team didn't do it, because until this season I'd have classified them as the absolute worst team in my lifetime that I can remember (I was three years old in 1988).  Since 100 losses seems to run in 30 year cycles, in 2048 I know what I'll have to look forward to.

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1 hour ago, ShaneDawg85 said:

It's really astounding that in the 14 years of losing, not once did they reach 100 losses.  I'm honestly still amazed that the 2001 team didn't do it, because until this season I'd have classified them as the absolute worst team in my lifetime that I can remember (I was three years old in 1988).  Since 100 losses seems to run in 30 year cycles, in 2048 I know what I'll have to look forward to.

Yeah, let's make it through next year before we start cycle predictions.

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20 hours ago, ShaneDawg85 said:

It's really astounding that in the 14 years of losing, not once did they reach 100 losses.  I'm honestly still amazed that the 2001 team didn't do it, because until this season I'd have classified them as the absolute worst team in my lifetime that I can remember (I was three years old in 1988).  Since 100 losses seems to run in 30 year cycles, in 2048 I know what I'll have to look forward to.

We were terrible at rebuilding. That’s why it took us 14 years. 

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10 hours ago, OriolesMagic83 said:

Probably later today.  Bundy vs. Snell.  Snell looks like an ace and I would think is one of the top choices for Cy Young Award.

Yeah well our O's lit him up on the way to a 17 - 1 pasting earlier during this campaign so I wouldn't count your chickens when facing our current sluggers (we're minus Machado, Schoop, Trumbo, Valencia).  Rickard and Boom Boom went yard that fateful day!

"Believe it or not, Snell’s ugliest loss this year came at the hands of the Baltimore Orioles. The Birds tagged him for five runs on six hits in less than four innings back in May. Baltimore won the game 17-1, and crushed three home runs off of Snell. Snell has only lost two games since, and hasn’t take a loss since July 12."

https://www.camdenchat.com/2018/9/7/17830466/orioles-rays-series-preview-a-trip-to-the-trop

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