Jump to content

Coby Mayo 2024


Tony-OH

Recommended Posts

Coby Mayo look ready for major league pitching, but he's got one concern that major league pitchers will attempt to exploit and that's breaking balls. Here's what Mayo has done this year against them.

image.thumb.png.ffdd09544ab25a2213c7466ff62a85b2.png

Now his wOBA (.283) shows he's not dominated by them although it's below average, but his xwOBA (.223) suggests he gets a lot of flairs and soft contact hits which is pretty common across most hitters on breaking balls when you compare the two.

Now the good news is he absolutely murders fastballs.

image.thumb.png.5e7dcc77b9527a891ed55ef035403e97.png

And he does really well against offspeed (changeups).

image.thumb.png.08f1ba4945ad4d8d88357f8692a81c44.png

 So the challenge he will face at the major league level will be steady diet of breaking balls until he proves to them he can hit them.

Now, Mayo is a smart hitter and if he knows a break ball is coming he can mash it, so if they make a mistake, he's going to make them pay, which might mean they'll try to challenge him at times as well.

Ether way, I think his bat is absolutely ready to be a middle of the order hitter with the Orioles.

As for the glove, he's made 3 errors in his last 29 games at 3B and his rocket arm will make some plays that Urias or Westburg will not.

 

image.png

  • Thanks 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

I don't know if an O's prospect has made me this tingly in quite awhile.

Maybe when Bundy was tearing up the minors. I'm just salivating thinking about a Troy Glaus-esque bat in the middle of this order. 

Well, maybe Mauer with Power.

Edited by Ridgway22
Link to comment
Share on other sites

 

6 hours ago, RZNJ said:

Must be.  He may have hit 3 at Aberdeen on rehab.

He did - and ranks 4th in homers on the Ironbirds after playing 4 games there.

 

Edited by Frobby
  • Upvote 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 hours ago, ShoelesJoe said:

Box score said it was his 15th. Maybe 15th at AAA, not counting his rehab HRs?

@Tony-OH that looked like a pretty good curveball he mashed. Hope he can keep working on hitting that pitch. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 hours ago, Ridgway22 said:

I don't know if an O's prospect has made me this tingly in quite awhile.

Maybe when Bundy was tearing up the minors. I'm just salivating thinking about a Troy Glaus-esque bat in the middle of this order. 

Well, maybe Mauer with Power.

Bundy when he had the hitless streak was amazing 

  • Upvote 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, Jagwar said:

@Tony-OH that looked like a pretty good curveball he mashed. Hope he can keep working on hitting that pitch. 

That was a 1-2, middle-middle curveball that he did absolutely mash. Mayo is one of the smartest hitters, but major league pitchers are typically more unconventional in their pitch selections down in counts and of course make less mistakes.

I have zero doubts that Mayo can hit curveballs if they're mistakes, it just the pitch group that he struggles with more than others, which is not uncommon. Lots of major league hitters have poor stats against breaking balls or offspeed.

I didn't mean to suggest Mayo has a "hole" with off speed, just that it's what major league pitchers will attack him with initially to see how he reacts. 

I do know if they make a mistake with a fastball he's going to do a lot of damage. Either way, he's ready to be playing in the major leagues now. 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 minutes ago, Hazmat said:

At what point can he be brought up and still retain eligibility for Rookie of the Year in 2025?  

Not until late August, assuming he stays up and plays regularly. 

  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 minutes ago, Hazmat said:

At what point can he be brought up and still retain eligibility for Rookie of the Year in 2025?  

You’d have to wait until mid to late August.  Eligibility is lost once you hit 45 days on the active roster.

  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.




  • Posts

    • The Orioles starters absolutely have to do better against the Royals. You can't ask this bullpen to pitch most of the game and expect to win. Right now I probably trust Coulombe the most and Soto (which I never would have guessed a couple weeks back). Perez has been really shaky recently to the point I'm wondering is he nursing a tired arm or minor injuey. Cano hasn't been good as well and O's really need him to get back into a groove. And Akin is usually trustworthy, but only starting the inning clean.
    • I'll be working at Gate F.  If you're getting drunk at Pickles before the game and then walk through the closest gate, you'll walk right past me.
    • What happens if it rains all day?
    • For me, bullpen strategy in a short series is developing a core principle or two and working backwards from that. That’s usually going to involve how we want to pitch to their best guys. In this case, there’s really no way to game Witt. He doesn’t have any discernible platoon splits, and in fact he destroyed RHPs this year. He doesn’t even have any particular pitches he struggles against. If you have to pitch to him, power stuff seems to be the way to go — if he has any weakness, it seems like maybe it’s LHPs who can attack him with high velocity and some sort of off speed weapon (Skubal, Framber, Kikuchi, EdRod, Rodon, Sale, Gore). So maybe you’re looking at Soto and Perez there, although you really just shouldn’t be pitching to him at all if you can avoid it. Beyond him, the other “hero” is Salvador Perez. And that’s from where I’d be building out my strategy. He probably should not see a LHP all series. There’s a fairly meaningful career platoon split there (109 wRC+ to 101), and it’s been more pronounced this year (130 to 110). I would be looking to force feed him ABs against Cano (1/4 with a single), Webb (0/2 with two Ks), and Dominguez. He’s always had trouble with offspeed stuff, which means Webb might be the preferred option. They’ve faced a ton of LH starters in the last week or so, but it seems like their preferred lineup against RHPs stacks LH hitters like Melendez and Gurriel behind Perez. Melendez is awful against LHPs, so ideally Perez might be the last hitter that the starters see. They pinch hit very liberally in platoon fashion in the bottom half of the lineup, so if you brought in someone like Akin behind the starter, they might very well hit for him. Forcing them to do that erases a lot of the platoon stacking in the late innings, so you could subsequently bring in a RHP to pitch to Perez without the same concern that they’d be exposed after him.    In sum, I think the ideal attack plan is for Burnes/Eflin/Kremer to see Perez three times, then bring in Akin or Cionel to pitch to the bottom of what will likely be a lefty-heavy lineup. They’ll potentially PH there, but that’s okay because none of those guys are that good. You then go to one of the RHPs for the top of the lineup, which it seems will consist of Pham, Witt (pitch around), and Perez. Then back to Coulombe or Soto for the bottom of the lineup again.
    • I have two tickets to Game 1 of the WC which I cannot use due to work travel.  Section 352, row 4, seats 9 & 10.  Asking $70 total for the two.  Paid $205 to the Orioles as a season plan member.   PM me if interested.  Paypal preferred.    
    • Can't make game 1. I'll be at game 2...last time I was at a playoff game at Camden, we beat Scherzer and the Tigers.
    • He should be taking fly balls all winter.
  • Popular Contributors

×
×
  • Create New...