Tavian Josenberger 2024

[LookinUp]

On 8/7/2024 at 10:48 AM, Frobby said:

2024 vs. 2023:

International: 5.21 vs. 5.50 

Eastern: 4.41 vs. 4.66

Sally: 4.75 vs. 4.90

Carolina: 4.45 vs. 4.68

FCL: 4.90 vs. 5.64

DSL: 5.22 vs. 5.45

So, offense is down across the board (and also in the majors).   

In OPS terms, the Sally League has a .699 OPS this year vs. .721 last year.  Even accounting for that, Beavers and Fabian hit much better in Aberdeen than Josenberger has.  
 

This is why I prefer + statistics, like OPS+, wRC+, etc. Where do they stand compared to their peers seems more relevant than their pure rate/counting stats when the run environment seems to change so often.

[Frobby]

4 hours ago, sportsfan8703 said:

I just have my own admittedly skewed perceptions of Aberdeen because of the way Cowser struggled there. Even the whole top prospect group to a certain degree except for Gunnar.
 

I think OPS is inflated in Norfolk and “deflated” in Bowie and Aberdeen. Also, Slugging makes up half of OPS so it penalizes non HR hitters. Like, even a guy like Bencosme in AA with a .650 OPS isn’t dead. And he’s only 21. The .700-.725 OPS don’t bother me when weighing the factors. Of course, I wish those were .800. Niko Goodrum and Nick Maton have .800+ OPS in Norfolk if you’re into that number. Haha.

We literally picked up a AAA OF of the streets last year around this time, stuck in Norfolk, and he had an .800 OPS last year. 

All you have to do to address all these factors is look at wRC+, which is adjusted for ballpark and league and weights OBP more heavily than SLG.

Josenberger is at 107 wRC+, Bradfield 104 presently.  The “struggling” Cowser was at 123 there, Westburg 133, Ortiz 123, Beavers 125, Fabian 139.  The two players who did struggle a bit there were Norby (99) and Kjerstsd (86).

As to Norfolk this year, you’ve got Kjerstad 150, Holliday 141, Mayo 142.

[Frobby]

2 for 3 with a walk and a run scored in his Bowie debut, playling 2B.

[sportsfan8703]

It’s hard to see him playing a lot of OF with Fabian, EBJ, and Beavers in AA with him. Rhodes as well. 

Also, If I throw out a “Jahmai Jones” comp, nobody can be mad at me, including myself.