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Smells to me like Connolly thinks Reynolds goes...

markdublya

By markdublya
in Orioles Talk

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Hooded Viper Major Leaguer

Hooded Viper

Posted
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Well, Reynolds & Davis are similar players (sort of) and Davis isn't even arb eligible until 2013... so I would imagine of the two, Davis is more likely to stick around.

Plus Davis figures to be a better defender. Your assertion makes sense to me.

I guess it depends on how Reynolds is perceived by others' scouts.

Agreed. I think trading Reynolds is a no brainer if you could get a young 1B/3B or a staring pitcher. I would love to trade him, Guts+ to the Angels for Morales and Cowart.

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murph Hangout Grand Counsel

murph

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You just made me puke all over my monitor. :(

At least your keyboard seems to be clean. :)

Do we get anything of value for Reynolds? A David Hernandez reliever or could he bring better from a team desperately in need of some power? I don't want to see him go unless the return is probably more significant than Reynolds could bring. So I guess I don't want to see him go...

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jabba72 Veteran All-Star

jabba72

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Compare him to first basemen on winning baseball teams and get back to me.

Our team doesn't shell out $100M for 1B or 3B like winning teams do. So in that sense Reynolds offense plenty of value for Baltimore. He hits a ton, regardless of how bad his defense is.

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Fan4Life Hangout Veteran Council

Fan4Life

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If Reynolds is going to hit, like, .240/.320/.460 at 1B, I would give him away rather than pay his 2012 salary.

I think Reynolds run creation is under-valued in his stats. Is there a way to compare Reynolds run creation to other players with similar SLG% to see if my feeling have merit?

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atomic Hangout Grand Counsel

atomic

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With the way you talk about players on this team you would think we would have a winning record or something. And not a last place team. The team finished one run from being the worst in the division in runs scored last year. Over 150 runs behind the yankees and red sox. There is a reason for it. I would say shortstop and catcher were probably above average. Where we are lacking is the power spots. 1B, 3B, RF, LF. Usually your first baseman is the most productive hitter after that corner outfielders.

Reynolds is incapible of playing third base. That was proven last year. His stats at the plate might be Ok at third base. But he doesn't get it done for a first baseman. Most players shorten their swing when they get two strikes. I am sure Pujlos would have a lot more home runs if he didn't care about things like batting average, obp, strike outs, and helping the team win games.

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Fan4Life Hangout Veteran Council

Fan4Life

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That is not how run creation is measured. At least, not weighted runs created. Here's a primer:

http://www.fangraphs.com/library/index.php/offense/wrc/

Based on that Reynolds was 16% above league average for runs created. Smoak was league average in 32 less games. I see it is supposed to adjust for leagues, how about divisions? Shouldn't the fact that Reynolds plays in a pitching rich division help his numbers?

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RVAbird All-Star

RVAbird

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I think Reynolds run creation is under-valued in his stats. Is there a way to compare Reynolds run creation to other players with similar SLG% to see if my feeling have merit?

Reynolds posted a wRC+ of 116, 16 percentage points above the mean.

Here he is on the second page of the AL list, just above the middle of the pack:

http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=al&qual=y&type=8&season=2011&month=0&season1=2011&ind=0&team=&players=

He's grouped with players like Asdrubal Cabrera, Jeff Francoeur, Nelson Cruz, Edwin Encarnacion, BJ Upton, and JJ Hardy, all of whom posted strong SLG% but mediocre OBP%.

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