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HR total this year for each Oriole in the projected starting lineup


markakis8

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How I see the Orioles power turning out. Around 250 HR total give or take a few.

Chris Davis - 48

Manny Machado - 36

Mark Trumbo - 31

Adam Jones - 29

Matt Wieters - 27

Jonathan Schoop - 27

Pedro Alvarez - 23

J.J Hardy - 16

Hyun-Soo Kim - 11

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Significant? Boo..Where's the ST optimism?

There is a line between spring training optimism and predicting 248 HR among nine players. Last year their top 9 hit 177 homers. The year the Mariners hit the all time team high of 264 homers, their top 9 hit 236.

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If those predictions are correct, we're probably a contender. But I'll take the under, by a significant margin.

I think I'm only a little overly optimistic with Wieters and Hardy. I just want to believe they both healthy and ready to drive the ball.

I do think those #'s are their ceiling.

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I think I'm only a little overly optimistic with Wieters and Hardy. I just want to believe they both healthy and ready to drive the ball.

I do think those #'s are their ceiling.

There is no single prediction you made that is outlandish. But experience teaches that 1-3 guys will end up missing some appreciable time with an injury, and another 1-3 guys will be disappointing. Your predictions would require all 9 guys to be healthy and have average or above average seasons compared to their past performance. I just don't expect that to happen.

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Then subtract the number of runs NOT scored on routine singles due to the lack of even average speed on this team.

Here is the list of players on the team with average to above average speed relative to their position:

Chris Davis

Manny Machado

It's definitely a slow team, but I care very little about that.

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Here is the list of players on the team with average to above average speed relative to their position:

Chris Davis

Manny Machado

It's definitely a slow team, but I care very little about that.

You don't think that Adam Jones has even average speed?

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Power is certainly not going to be an issue, but they still won't get on base much and the starting rotation which was already likely to be bad will look worse with what will almost definitely be poor outfield defense. Poor outfield defense coupled with starters who don't miss bats with fly ball tendencies don't mix well.

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