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PECOTA 2018


weams

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On 2/7/2018 at 3:32 PM, Frobby said:

Individual OPS projections:

Joseph .637 .529

Sisco .732 .625

Davis .806 .482

Schoop .751 .623

Beckham .719 .551

Machado .814 .942

Mancini .808 .672

Jones .757 .741

Rickard .706 .642

Hays .784 —

Trumbo .742 .794

Santander .742 .547

Projections vs. actual through July 6.    Unbelievable.    

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1 minute ago, Frobby said:

Projections vs. actual through July 6.    Unbelievable.    

I just find it hard to be it is coincidental. Especially Schoop and Mancini. I know this is offensive players but I also feel same about Givens. 

I just wonder in a different environment how these guys would be playing.  

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20 minutes ago, Frobby said:

Projections vs. actual through July 6.    Unbelievable.    

In addition to Trumbo, I would guess Valencia might be outperforming his PECOTA projection. But that's it. 

I'm not sure which is harder to believe: the breadth and depth of the Orioles' offensive underperformance relative to expectations, or the fact that after most of a season of this, crap, we've got the same manager, the same hitting coaches and pretty much the same lineup day after day after day.  

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On 2/7/2018 at 12:52 PM, weams said:

https://legacy.baseballprospectus.com/fantasy/dc/

 

 

East Updated W L RS RA AVG OBP SLG TAv FRAA
nya.gif New York Yankees Hitters: Jan 26
Pitchers: Dec 16
96 66 823 671 .251 .323 .438 .265 15.9
bos.gif Boston Red Sox Hitters: Jan 30
Pitchers: Jan 30
87 75 746 685 .262 .325 .411 .258 22.8
tba.gif Tampa Bay Rays Hitters: Feb 4
Pitchers: Feb 4
84 78 724 696 .250 .309 .397 .255 18.5
tor.gif Toronto Blue Jays Hitters: Feb 5
Pitchers: Feb 4
78 84 767 796 .252 .324 .425 .261 1.6
bal.gif Baltimore Orioles Hitters: Feb 6
Pitchers: Jan 30
69 93 744 875 .257 .312 .438 .258 -14.6

The Orioles lost their 94th game tonight.

For the first time since 2011, the Orioles have underperformed their initial PECOTA projection.

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