Jump to content

Boras Speak


weams

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 113
  • Created
  • Last Reply
20 minutes ago, atomic said:

Charlotte,  Nashville,  Vegas,  Portland,  New Orleans, Mexico City,  Montreal,  San Antonio,  Oklahoma City

I am not at all certain they can break 1.2 Million without all the Yankee and Red Sox fans we have down here.

First couple of years?  Sure, until the bloom comes off the rose.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

11 minutes ago, 25 Nuggets said:

There are 210 designated market areas (DMAs) in the US.  How.... business like.  But anyway, Tampa/St Pete is #11 by population.  Doesn't seem to make sense that they can't support a ballclub.  The top ten markets that don't have a major league team are:

  1. Orlando-Daytona Beach-Melbourne
  2. Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto
  3. Charlotte
  4. Raleigh-Durham (Fayetteville)
  5. Portland, OR
  6. Indianapolis
  7. Nashville
  8. Hartford & New Haven
  9. San Antonio
  10. Columbus, OH

Smaller markets than Columbus (#32 overall) include Kansas City, Milwaukee, and Cincinnati.  And not by much.

Per capita income in Tampa St Pete is less than half of what it is Baltimore DC. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

13 hours ago, weams said:

In either case the chances for any one individual to have the freakish tools to become a MLB baseball player even with an extraordinary amount of work and coaching is very. very. very small. 

Much less of a chance than winning the Powerball. Not a career choice. Not a job. A freakish opportunity for only the smallest subset of humans. 

I agree, the probability (and/or) odds of becoming a major league baseball player is very low. It is not a career choice, more of a career that chooses you, based on unique and rare abilities needed to play the game at the highest level. That is one reason I refrain from using the term "stinks" when describing a player. BTW the probability of winning the Powerball is much less than the probability of becoming a MLB, about 1/175,000,000. To put it another way, with that probability, there would be less than two Americans (for every man, woman. child) playing MLB.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

9 minutes ago, UpstateNYfan said:

I agree, the probability (and/or) odds of becoming a major league baseball player is very low. It is not a career choice, more of a career that chooses you, based on unique and rare abilities needed to play the game at the highest level. That is one reason I refrain from using the term "stinks" when describing a player. BTW the probability of winning the Powerball is much less than the probability of becoming a MLB, about 1/175,000,000. To put it another way, with that probability, there would be less than two Americans (for every man, woman. child) playing MLB.

I was doing the world on the MLB odds bit. I do agree and that is why I always go off on that jag. You can't just train someone to play.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

14 hours ago, atomic said:

I think probably over 98 percent of us can play a baseball game.   Not much skill required.   There are only so few positions be because MLB has a monopoly and purposely limits the teams and number of players to such a tiny amount.   They could double the teams tomorrow if they wanted to and would have no problem filling them with players. 

On the other hand I doubt very many of us could design a rocket capable of escaping earth's orbit. Or design a nuclear bomb.   Baseball is a kids game.   

I’m not sure I understand the point of your post.     Sure, lots of people can play baseball.    But it’s a competitive sport, and the ones who play Major League Baseball are the best in the world at it out of everyone in the world who have played it.     

I have no idea how many people can design a rocket capable of escaping the earth’s orbit.   I’m pretty sure my neighbor across the street can (he’s chief engineer of the Pegasus rocket program).    He’s very talented at what he does.    

I don’t see “playing baseball” and “designing a rocket that can escape the earth’s orbit” as analogous.    Perhaps “being able to hit a 98 mph fastball 400 feet” would be the right analogy to building a rocket that can escape the earth’s orbit.    

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 hours ago, webbrick2010 said:

Cost of Living / Taxes are probably less than 1/2 of Baltimore/DC also

Really need to compare per capita disposable income, but that's a tricky stat to come by

I think the poster that cited the number of transplants hit it right on the head. When I retire, If I move to FLA, I won't instantly become a Ray or Fish fan. I'll still be on O's fan, who might occasionally watch the local teams play. 

It will truly take generation before those teams have enough loyal die-hard fans. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, osfan83 said:

I think the poster that cited the number of transplants hit it right on the head. When I retire, If I move to FLA, I won't instantly become a Ray or Fish fan. I'll still be on O's fan, who might occasionally watch the local teams play. 

I will truly take generation before those teams have enough loyal die-hard fans. 

Plus they play in a dome.  I truly enjoy sitting outside having a beer while watching the game.   Even during the early April night games where it dips down into the low 40's is more pleasurable that watching a game inside. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.




  • Posts

    • I agree, McCann C is decision number one. After that, against a reverse split guy I think you just start your best overall players. However, O'Hearn has such poor splits vs LHP and so little experience I can't imagine they start him. Adley DH would allow Hyde to avoid the O'Hearn vs LHP decision. Kjerstad had hit lefties well but they gave him only 18 AB. That is a big ask of a rookie. Might be Adley if they think McCann makes Burnes better. Definite starters: Gunnar, Westburg, Santander, Mountcastle, Urias, Cowser Probable: Mullins Pick two: Adley, McCann, O'Hearn, Kjerstad  
    • What you said here is what I’ve been trying to convey.  OAA and dWAR aren’t intended to measure the same thing.   They shouldn’t be mentioned together.  If Fangraphs took its FRV and Positional stats and added them together, then divided that number by 10ish to convert it from runs to wins, you’d have a stat to compare to dWAR.
    • I think Adley is the DH tomorrow. 
    • Nice job pointing out Ragans pitches better against righties than lefties: The Orioles put a heavy emphasis on the pitcher's splits over the hitter's split, so Mullins could very well start. Interestingly though, lefties BABIP was a unsustainable .345. Here's his pitch% and results against lefties this year. With this info, I think the Orioles very well may start Mullins instead of Slater. Now, will they start O'Hearn over Rivera at DH?
    • Nope I wanna see the guy with the better defense. Just pointing out that Slater’s only “advantage” is another liability. Plus, Reagan’s is a reverse splits guy. 
    • The late season partial revival was enough for BAL to finish 3rd MLB-wide to the Judge/Soto team and the Shohei/Mookie/Freddie one. Split up those first two and put another year on everybody else, and I like our shot to go 1st some season soon. Park effects, it is notable the FG readout gives the Orioles with a 250/315/435 line a fraction of a point edge in the 115 wRC+ tie for 3rd and 4th with the Diamondbacks, who posted a 263/337/440 line. Don't be dull, October Orange Machine.
    • Mullins has slashed .196/.228/.278/.506 against lefties this year. Slater has not had a great year overall and his September was terrible, but the Orioles really like platoon matchups. Plus, having Mullins speed and pop on the bench gives them options late in games.
  • Popular Contributors

×
×
  • Create New...