2019 Draft Order Tracker

[Frobby]

1 minute ago, Bradysburns said:

I heard the only reason they don't know how far Rutschman can kick a ball is because they never come back. 

SIGN HIM and start cashing those World Series checks, Dan!

What’s Dan got to do with it?

[cnmilton]

A quick question about the draft....

 

How big is the difference between having the 1st overall pick and the 5th overall pick?  Is the success rate thatuch higher at number one over, say, the number 3? Is it like the NFL or NBA, where picking higher gives you a higher success rate with the pick?

[SteveA]

1 minute ago, cnmilton said:

A quick question about the draft....

 

How big is the difference between having the 1st overall pick and the 5th overall pick?  Is the success rate thatuch higher at number one over, say, the number 3? Is it like the NFL or NBA, where picking higher gives you a higher success rate with the pick?

Most years, not that big a difference.

In one of those occasional years where there is an obvious, surefire #1 like McDonald, Harper, Strasburg -- it can make a bigger difference.

[Hallas]

1 minute ago, SteveA said:

Most years, not that big a difference.

In one of those occasional years where there is an obvious, surefire #1 like McDonald, Harper, Strasburg -- it can make a bigger difference.

This is not really true. This article and this one seem to indicate that there is a pretty large difference between picks 1 and 2, and pick 5.  A top 2 pick is probably worth double.

[Tony-OH]

On 7/12/2018 at 11:47 AM, ISU94 said:

If I'm honest I think this team actually improves after a firesale and we get some young guys in there. 

It hard to be worse than historically bad.

[Frobby]

1 hour ago, cnmilton said:

A quick question about the draft....

 

How big is the difference between having the 1st overall pick and the 5th overall pick?  Is the success rate thatuch higher at number one over, say, the number 3? Is it like the NFL or NBA, where picking higher gives you a higher success rate with the pick?

I posted some stats yesterday.   The 5 pick has been kind of an oddity, as it’s done worse than the 6 pick.    But even if you smooth it out, the total WAR from the no. 1 spot is about double that from the 3-6 spots.   

[ISU94]

1 hour ago, Tony-OH said:

It hard to be worse than historically bad.

Exactly. I just expect strong second halfs from a lot of guys underperforming and I think the tram just rallies more.

[TonySoprano]

"Refuse to Win" should be the Royals 2018 slogan
Orioles 26-69
Royals 26-67 - 1.0 GB

[UpstateNYfan]

The AL Central, as a whole, are -83 games below .500, at least the O's are in a division that is 17 games above .500. It would seem that it must be really difficult to be 41 games under .500 in that division, seeing that over 40% of there schedule is within the division.

 

[TonySoprano]

11 minutes ago, UpstateNYfan said:

The AL Central, as a whole, are -83 games below .500, at least the O's are in a division that is 17 games above .500. It would seem that it must be really difficult to be 41 games under .500 in that division, seeing that over 40% of there schedule is within the division.

 

And yet we're 8-16 vs that division which still beats the 1-16 mark against the A.L. West but is only slightly better than the 11-25 mark in the East.

[UpstateNYfan]

Just saying...division play ends up being .500, one wins, one loses...Cleveland is only 9 games above .500, not running away with it. 83 games below .500, a little over the halfway point is just weird because for 40+ % of games end up at .500 within the division. I am not trying to say the O's would be any better in that division.

[Greg Pappas]

The draft standings update after Saturday night-- 7/14/18: The O's and Royals won (it's true!), while the White Sox lost.  

1. Orioles 27-69 (.281)

2. Royals 27-67 (.287)  --1.0 GB

3. White Sox 32-62 (.340)  --6.0 GB

[atomic]

Once Britton is traded we can make Tillman our closer and we will be able to wrap up first draft pick. 

[eddie83]

https://twitter.com/jaysonst/status/1018518512506204167?s=21

[Greg Pappas]

1 minute ago, eddie83 said:

https://twitter.com/jaysonst/status/1018518512506204167?s=21

For some reason eddie83's post didn't show the tweet, so I re-posted it.