Has anyone been able to get a read on Mullins’ defense?

[Hallas]

The two plays that stood out were the two triples where he whiffed on the catch but Jones wouldn’t have even come close to getting to.  I think he should have caught both those balls though to be honest.

 

Were there any other notable plays from CF this series?  I’m talking major leagues only - I know about his rep from the minors.

[Frobby]

He made a poor throw home on Saturday night that allowed a runner to score, though in fairness I have no idea if a good throw would have gotten the runner.   I just know his throw was very weak.  

[ChuckS]

He ran one down in the right center gap today making a catch near the wall.  He was shading left center on that play.  Adam wouldn't have come close.  

[Can_of_corn]

15 minutes ago, Hallas said:

The two plays that stood out were the two triples where he whiffed on the catch but Jones wouldn’t have even come close to getting to.  I think he should have caught both those balls though to be honest.

 

Were there any other notable plays from CF this series?  I’m talking major leagues only - I know about his rep from the minors.

That first triple had a catch probability of zero.

Since the Statcast era started no one has made that catch.

[connja]

it's just nice to have speed in the lineup.  he scored from second on a soft single to left the other day, no other Oriole for like 5 years would have done that.

[joelala]

3 minutes ago, connja said:

it's just nice to have speed in the lineup.  he scored from second on a soft single to left the other day, no other Oriole for like 5 years would have done that.

Gentry or Rickard probably could have. But I hear you. 

[bobmc]

He had an OF assist credited at second on Saturday night, throwing out Brock Holt.  I watched the replay and in actuality he had made the weak throw home when Betts scored but Wynns threw out Holt at second trying to advance.  Mullins was part of the PO but Wynns earned it.

[Chavez Ravine]

If the question is whether Mullins is a good MLB center fielder, take the average opinion of this thread this time next year. Perhaps subtracting out the posts that include and emoticons.

[murph]

33 minutes ago, Can_of_corn said:

That first triple had a catch probability of zero.

Since the Statcast era started no one has made that catch.

Didn’t see it, so does that mean he made a mistake going for it in the first place or amazing he almost got to it?

[Chavez Ravine]

Just now, murph said:

Didn’t see it, so does that mean he made a mistake going for it in the first place or amazing he almost got to it?

Trey, thinking Jones was still out there, wandered in front of him making Mullins flinch in fear of his life.

[Hallas]

34 minutes ago, Can_of_corn said:

That first triple had a catch probability of zero.

Since the Statcast era started no one has made that catch.

The one by Bradley?  It had a hit probability of 39%.

But I don't entirely trust Statcast hit probability.  It's listed some 420+ shots in LCF/RCF as having a hit probability less than 100%.  No major league stadium has power alleys that deep.

[Il BuonO]

2 minutes ago, murph said:

Didn’t see it, so does that mean he made a mistake going for it in the first place or amazing he almost got to it?

Amazing that he even got there. But he looked tentative on the ball to the RCF gap. However, there’s a bit of a learning curve knowing who you’re playing alongside. I think it’s very clear he’s going to get to many more balls than Jones.

[Can_of_corn]

2 minutes ago, Hallas said:

The one by Bradley?  It had a hit probability of 39%.

But I don't entirely trust Statcast hit probability.  It's listed some 420+ shots in LCF/RCF as having a hit probability less than 100%.  No major league stadium has power alleys that deep.

That differs from the initial reports.

[Frobby]

On 8/12/2018 at 8:59 PM, Can_of_corn said:

That first triple had a catch probability of zero.

Since the Statcast era started no one has made that catch.

 

On 8/12/2018 at 9:38 PM, Hallas said:

The one by Bradley?  It had a hit probability of 39%.

But I don't entirely trust Statcast hit probability.  It's listed some 420+ shots in LCF/RCF as having a hit probability less than 100%.  No major league stadium has power alleys that deep.

I don’t think catch probability and hit probability are the same thing.   Catch probability is specific to one fielder and takes into account where that fielder was positioned.   Hit probability just looks at exit velocity and launch angle, without regard to the direction in which the ball is hit or the positioning of the various fielders.  

[Frobby]

Bump...the defensive metrics on Mullins have been awful so far: -6 Rdrs, -6 Rtot, -4.6 UZR.   I haven’t been watching the games — has he really been that bad?