Rendon to the Angels, 7/245

[Hallas]

https://www.yahoo.com/sports/anthony-rendon-agrees-to-sevenyear-245-million-deal-with-angels-034047632.html

This is a nuts offseason isn't it.

My analysis:

I'm going to start with his Steamer 2020 predictions, which are 5.5 WAR.  I figure he's good for:

2020: 5.5

2021: 5.5

2022: 5

2023: 4.5

2024: 4

2025: 3.5

2026: 2.5

That's an estimated 30.5 WAR.  Assuming FA rates are at around 8mm/WAR, that's an expected return of about 244m.  Not too bad.

cost per WAR has stayed stagnant/regressed slightly in the past couple years, so there's no guarantee that the future will see more expensive prices.  This seems like fair market value for a good player that's been moderately durable for his career.  Hopefully he doesn't fall off a cliff like Pujols did.

[Il BuonO]

My dad likes this signing. He was no fan of Cozart’s.