Jump to content

Is this team bad enough for the number 1 pick?


Greenpastures23

Recommended Posts

6 hours ago, OsFanSinceThe80s said:

The Diamondbacks are 6 and 36 since May 1st. You’d think they have to start playing a little better soon, but it’s not going to be easy for the O’s to get the #1 pick. 

And 2-27 since May 15. They will be hard to catch.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, LocoChris said:

And 2-27 since May 15. They will be hard to catch.  

You just never know when a team might turn around for a period.   Look at the 2010 Orioles - they were 32-73 on August 1, on pace for a 49-win season.   They had the worst record in baseball by four games worse than the second-worst team and seven games worse than  the third-worst.   Then Buck became the manager and they went 34-23 the rest of the season.   There’s no way you could have seen that coming.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 hours ago, Moose Milligan said:

Think about how terrible we are. And then think that there’s another team out there more pathetic than us. 
 

Imagine having to watch Arizona each night. I don’t think we are gonna get the #1 pick next year. 

Texas and Pitt are right there with us too.

We are this bad and may not pick until 4 or 5 again.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Since the no hitter, the Os are 7-29.  That’s not even the worst 36 game stretch I can think of off the top of my head.  We ended the year 4-32 in the early 2000s under Hargrove.  
 

Just amazing how futile this organization has been.  What an embarrassment.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Sports Guy said:

Texas and Pitt are right there with us too.

We are this bad and may not pick until 4 or 5 again.

I know, that's kind of my fear.  If we're this bad, we should be picking #1 or #2.  I don't want to be 4 or 5.

The only way I'd be happy with 4th or 5th is if it meant that AR and some other prospects are up later this summer and are contributing and the team is looking better.  If we're 4th or 5th with the current cast that we have, that's terrible.

1 hour ago, Sports Guy said:

Since the no hitter, the Os are 7-29.  That’s not even the worst 36 game stretch I can think of off the top of my head.  We ended the year 4-32 in the early 2000s under Hargrove.  
 

Just amazing how futile this organization has been.  What an embarrassment.

Yes, I remember the 4-32 sleepwalk, it was bad.

I think the Diamondbacks are something like 2-27 over their last stretch.  That's not a 36 game stretch but they're going to give that 4-32 a run for the money.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

https://www.baseball-reference.com/teams/ARI/2021.shtml
 

It’s a shame when you are looking at another team’s roster to see if they are going to trade away more at the deadline. This race for the #1 pick is all that matters. 

It pains me to say this, but unless we trade Means, it’s looking like Arizona will have a worse 25 man roster the rest of the way. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

12 hours ago, NelsonCruuuuuz said:

Having looked at a lot of mock's, it seems Mayer goes 1 and Leiter won't last beyond 4. Watson has shot up boards in the last week or so which makes me wonder if he's willing to go slightly underslot and that's why he's jumped up.

But if Mayer goes 1 and Leiter goes either 3 or 4, that would leave some combo of:

Jordan Lawlar (a more polished bat than Bobby Witt) but will turn 19 a week after the draft

Kahlil Watson who has shot up boards but is a 5'9" probable second baseman

Henry Davis, the best college position player in the draft 

Brady House who is comped as a more athletic Joey Gallo or Nolan Gorman

If Elias goes underslot, I think it will be Colton Cowser or Sam Bachman. Sure hope we wind up with Lawlar.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

31 minutes ago, 7Mo said:

Having looked at a lot of mock's, it seems Mayer goes 1 and Leiter won't last beyond 4. Watson has shot up boards in the last week or so which makes me wonder if he's willing to go slightly underslot and that's why he's jumped up.

But if Mayer goes 1 and Leiter goes either 3 or 4, that would leave some combo of:

Jordan Lawlar (a more polished bat than Bobby Witt) but will turn 19 a week after the draft

Kahlil Watson who has shot up boards but is a 5'9" probable second baseman

Henry Davis, the best college position player in the draft 

Brady House who is comped as a more athletic Joey Gallo or Nolan Gorman

If Elias goes underslot, I think it will be Colton Cowser or Sam Bachman. Sure hope we wind up with Lawlar.

I like Lawlar for the Os

The Os are 4 games back with 92 games to play vs AZ who has 90.  AZ has the toughest remaining schedule in baseball and the Os have the 4th toughest.  They cant trade Mancini and Means soon enough for me.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

On 6/17/2021 at 10:41 AM, Moose Milligan said:

Yes, I remember the 4-32 sleepwalk, it was bad.

I think the Diamondbacks are something like 2-27 over their last stretch.  That's not a 36 game stretch but they're going to give that 4-32 a run for the money.

They're now 2-30 in their last 32 and just lost arguably their best player this year to a broken wrist.

And they have to face the Dodgers, Padres, and Giants (who somehow have the best record in MLB?) about 40 more times. 

It will be tough to "catch" them for #1. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

53 minutes ago, Spy Fox said:

They're now 2-30 in their last 32 and just lost arguably their best player this year to a broken wrist.

And they have to face the Dodgers, Padres, and Giants (who somehow have the best record in MLB?) about 40 more times. 

It will be tough to "catch" them for #1. 

And watch out for the Rangers they are 3-18 in their last 21 games and only two games ahead of the Orioles in the standings. There are some spectacularly bad baseball teams this season. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.




  • Posts

    • Good point, no other metropolitan area has more than one team.
    • Could it be that they allowed the Gnats to reside within 30 minutes of their home. Effectively cutting their market in half? 
    • Got my all-time low rarity score on today's game - 6.
    • 41 freaking years and here's this guy with the name pickles telling me I should be happy with 91 wins and getting owned in the playoffs again. 😂 😂 I saw a team that looked terrible the second half and probably didn't even deserve that spot the way they were playing .
    • Lol. Here's the funny they know more then you know. Typical Oriole fan who's happy with getting punched in the mouth. 
    • I don’t like the wall. I think it’s affecting our hitters. I’ve mentioned before that I think it has totally warped Mountcastle into something he was never really meant to be. The guy came up as a pull-heavy HR hitter, and in his first season-plus (725 PAs), he puts up 38 HRs and a 116 wRC+. Since then, the wRC+ is down to 110, and his approach has totally changed, with his pull numbers plummeting (down from 39% in 2021 to less than 28% this year). He still hits the ball hard, but constantly underachieves his batted ball data — probably because he’s trying to avoid the pull field and hitting balls to the deepest parts of pretty much every other park. Will the same thing happen to Mayo? Maybe he has more pure power, but it’s always going to be a challenge for a RH slugger to survive with that wall. So much harder to do damage.   Beyond that, I think it’s also creating a serious risk of changing our LH hitters’ approaches too. These guys (Henderson, Holliday, Cowser, 2/3 of Adley) have come up with a reputation for being able to drive the ball to all fields. But how long does that continue when they just can’t hit it out to the opposite field? Our LH hitters had a combined 44 wRC+ at OPACY, and only one HR. They had the 3rd most balls hit to LF at home by LHHs, but the lowest wRC+ of any team on those balls (for the second straight year). The Royals, ironically enough, were the only team that was lower than a 70 wRC+ — that’s how much worse our lefties fared going oppo (at OPACY) than everyone else’s. By player: Gunnar Henderson: 112 wRC+ / .160 ISO (51 PAs) Adley Rutschman: 10 wRC+ / .026 ISO (38 PAs) Anthony Santander: 14 wRC+ / .095 ISO (43 PAs) Colton Cowser: 58 wRC+ / .057 ISO (36 PAs) Ryan O’Hearn: 47 wRC+ / .091 ISO (55 PAs) Cedric Mullins: 23 wRC+ / .100 ISO (41 PAs) Jackson Holliday: -72 wRC+ / .000 ISO (16 PAs)   On the road, they had a combined 126 wRC+ (with 9 HRs) going to left field, so it’s not like they’re bad at it. It’s just Death Valley out there in LF for them at OPACY.  How long will it be until these LH guys just start going full pull-happy? Essentially, the opposite of what’s happened with Mountcastle. When (a) your team’s philosophy is to focus on doing damage and (b) you can’t DO damage to the opposite field — the rational endpoint is just to try to pull everything. I don’t think that’s a good outcome. I think it makes them much worse hitters in the other 81 games, and I think it’s a terrible waste of a bunch of really talented hitters with all-field abilities.
  • Popular Contributors

×
×
  • Create New...