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Tomorrow may be different but tonight the Orioles have the number one draft pick for next year. Yes we caught the Diamondbacks.

Gurgi

By Gurgi
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jabba72 Hangout Veteran Council

jabba72

Posted
Posted
2 hours ago, Aglets said:

Another Outfielder?!?!

Great, just what this team needs.  How will we make room for him over Mullins, Kjerstad, Cowser, and Diaz??!?!

Agree thats one strike against Green. We already have a crowded OF.  It would be nice to see a consensus ace pop into the picture. 

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O's84
O's84
Legend_Of_Joey
Legend_Of_Joey

Yeah, can’t wait for Elias to pick underslot on 1-1.

Aglets
Aglets

Pretty happy with how it worked out in 2019.

NelsonCruuuuuz Major Leaguer Rising Star

NelsonCruuuuuz

Posted
Posted
3 hours ago, Frobby said:

I don’t know any scouts.   And I don’t doubt at all that right now this guy is looking like the consensus no. 1 pick.   I just feel that a year is a long time and things can change.   We’ve seen that happen numerous times.   

It’s interesting that, as clear a no. 1 as Harper was, he only ranks 4th in that draft in rWAR right now.   Sale, Machado and deGrom are all ahead of him by 5+ rWAR.    It still wouid not be surprising if Harper overtook them, especially the two pitchers, who are older.   So I don’t think anyone would complain that the Harper pick wasn’t a good one.   But I’m rooting for Manny to stay on top of him.  

 

Same! Still love Manny! Agreed, scouts aren’t always right, clearly. Just heard a friend in the scouting biz refer to Green as Harper-esque which means to me the scouting community loves his potential. But you are right, a lot can happen.

I also think, as another poster mentioned, if we are allowed to trade picks, Elias will def do that, no doubt about it lol. TBD with CBA. 

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sevastras All-Star

sevastras

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56 minutes ago, Big Mac said:

I am concerned about a HS bat that only hit .321 as a junior and struck out 34 times in 98 PAs...

 

https://www.maxpreps.com/athlete/elijah-green/ClihPamrH0qYVEcOrMuKSA/baseball/stats.htm

And his OPS was only 1.116.  And he is only an elite runner, and he is only a plus plus arm, and he is only a plus plus power, and is only a plus defender and is only a plus hit.  

Watch him play a little and tell me you dont get a little excited about the possibility he could be an Oriole.  

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Frobby Hangout Grand Counsel

Frobby

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18 minutes ago, sevastras said:

And his OPS was only 1.116.  And he is only an elite runner, and he is only a plus plus arm, and he is only a plus plus power, and is only a plus defender and is only a plus hit.  

Watch him play a little and tell me you dont get a little excited about the possibility he could be an Oriole.  

High school stats are pretty funky.   From the link in Big Mac’s post, Green has more runs than hits, how often do you see that, even with a guy who has a high OBP.   Also, he has ten stolen bases in zero attempts!    I guess they just say, “go ahead, take 2B, we know we can’t throw you out anyway!”   Finally, he has a fielding percentage of .875 (3 errors in 24 chances).   That’s uh, low for an outfielder.   

Bottom line, you’d have to see him play, as you said.
 

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Big Mac Veteran All-Star

Big Mac

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1 minute ago, Frobby said:

High school stats are pretty funky.   From the link in Big Mac’s post, Green has more runs than hits, how often do you see that, even with a guy who has a high OBP.   Also, he has ten stolen bases in zero attempts!    I guess they just say, “go ahead, take 2B, we know we can’t throw you out anyway!”   Finally, he has a fielding percentage of .875 (3 errors in 24 chances).   That’s uh, low for an outfielder.   

Bottom line, you’d have to see him play, as you said.
 

I agree, as a general matter HS stats are funky.  That being said as a general matter elite talent does not strike out a high rate in HS competition.  I'm sure all the tools are there, but I have a hard time believing the plus hit tool if you struggle to put the ball in play in HS.  It's a red flag for sure. 

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Frobby Hangout Grand Counsel

Frobby

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4 minutes ago, Big Mac said:

I agree, as a general matter HS stats are funky.  That being said as a general matter elite talent does not strike out a high rate in HS competition.  I'm sure all the tools are there, but I have a hard time believing the plus hit tool if you struggle to put the ball in play in HS.  It's a red flag for sure. 

I do agree that a 34% K rate in high school seems like something you wouldn’t see in a consensus no. 1 pick.  

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sevastras All-Star

sevastras

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PG Events: 40

Key Stats: 133 games, .362-9-67 with a 1.097 OPS

 

Short Story: Has a blend of size, speed and power that few prospects in recent memory possess. This goes on both sides of the ball. Everything seems to take steps forward every time we see him, from the usable in-game power to his arm strength. This helps to bet on Green reaching his mountainous ceiling as the development process just keeps trending up to the sky.

 

Big Moment: Green gave us a glimpse of what he is really capable of at the 16U WWBA World Championship when he hit .583-2-11. He combined to produce 20 runs, hit another seven doubles, and even chipped in three stolen bases for good measure. The home runs hit were some of the highlights of the summer regardless of class.

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