Jump to content

Elias expects hitting to be good and pitching to struggle


Sports Guy

Recommended Posts

3 minutes ago, Sports Guy said:

Ehh, none of this matters.  All that matters is Elias knows more than you and we should just be good with everything he does.

No, we should call every sliver of a different opinion, "moronic," "stupid," and "idiotic."

That's how we show our intellectual superiority.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, Pickles said:

The "opinion" of having Hall throw 12 innings at AA?  Instead of going..... where was it again.... straight to AAA or MLB?

I don’t really care what they are doing w/r/t that.  I happen to think it makes no sense as well but it should be a short stint.  
 

I just tend to prefer them to use proper logic in their decision making, especially if they don’t even care about winning games up here.  
 

But yea, hopefully it won’t take long to get him to AAA and Baltimore. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, Pickles said:

I mean... you're talking about probably a handful of appearances at most.

He's going to pitch again for the first time in a year.  That's what he's going to "learn."

And he can learn that at Norfolk, while using the ML ball and facing more advanced competition.

It's not a big deal I just don't agree it's a benefit.  Particularly with pitching I think he's overly conservative and I've yet to see the advantages of his system on the field.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, Can_of_corn said:

And he can learn that at Norfolk, while using the ML ball and facing more advanced competition.

It's not a big deal I just don't agree it's a benefit.  Particularly with pitching I think he's overly conservative and I've yet to see the advantages of his system on the field.

And he doesn’t have a track record of being that good at developing pitching either. It’s not like the Astros were the Rays or Indians and just kept churning out pitching left and right.

So, I think it’s fair to question some of his decisions until he shows he can develop pitching at some kind of a consistent rate (well, consistent by developing pitcher standards).

  • Upvote 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

8 minutes ago, OriolesMagic83 said:

Bullpen looks improved so far.  Starting pitching will probably be a problem all season.

Hitting looks terrible right now, but the O's have faced 2 of the best pitching teams in baseball so far.  Looking forward to Adley and maybe Stowers being called up and Odor getting the boot. 

Yeah, I just feel that judging just about anything based on four games is a waste of time, either for a player or a team.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

56 minutes ago, OriolesMagic83 said:

Bullpen looks improved so far.  Starting pitching will probably be a problem all season.

Hitting looks terrible right now, but the O's have faced 2 of the best pitching teams in baseball so far.  Looking forward to Adley and maybe Stowers being called up and Odor getting the boot. 

I expect the offense to improve as the season progresses because of the players you mentioned and other younger players as they gain more experience.

The pitching though is going to be quite the roller coaster ride. Might see some possible ups with Means, Grayson Rodriguez and DL Hall, but mixed in with plenty of downs, especially when we get to summertime and the weather gets hot. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

On 4/10/2022 at 10:35 PM, Can_of_corn said:

And he can learn that at Norfolk, while using the ML ball and facing more advanced competition.

It's not a big deal I just don't agree it's a benefit.  Particularly with pitching I think he's overly conservative and I've yet to see the advantages of his system on the field.

I heard Sig on one of the local radio shows talking about how they went through some crazy amount of data and felt like they saw some patterns/trends to prevent injuries.  What types of trends those were he obviously did not say, and of course we have no idea if their reasoning is sound.  As frustrated as I have been with the slow-playing of prospects I do at least believe they have some reason for doing so, whether I would agree with that reason or not.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, glenn__davis said:

I heard Sig on one of the local radio shows talking about how they went through some crazy amount of data and felt like they saw some patterns/trends to prevent injuries.  What types of trends those were he obviously did not say, and of course we have no idea if their reasoning is sound.  As frustrated as I have been with the slow-playing of prospects I do at least believe they have some reason for doing so, whether I would agree with that reason or not.

Lets see if it results in a lower injury rate.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

26 minutes ago, Can_of_corn said:

Lets see if it results in a lower injury rate.

 

Yep, that will be the ticket.

I will say that so far, arm injuries seem to be pretty rare the past few years.  Hall obviously being the main exception, but we haven't seen too many guys going under the knife lately from an arm standpoint.  Regardless of the reason why let's just hope that continues.  If Grayson and Hall both go down it's tough to envision success.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

30 minutes ago, Can_of_corn said:

Lets see if it results in a lower injury rate.

 

I think it’s always going to be hard to tell.  You need a long time horizon and a lot of players to differentiate correlation from coincidence.   

Link to comment
Share on other sites

On 4/10/2022 at 10:22 PM, Can_of_corn said:

I do think it's stupid to start him at Bowie.

Why not give him innings with the ML ball and against a higher level of competition?

What's he going to learn in a return to AA?

The different ball is the biggest reason for me to see him start at AAA vs AA. Elias seems to want guys to get some success at lower levels and then move them. I just think when you have a lefty throwing near 100 with three plus breaking pitches that you probably want to look at him at AAA with the major league ball. But Elias has an aversion to pitching his prospects much or challenging them.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.




  • Posts

    • A RH power bat to stick somewhere in the 3-4-5 slots. I would see what the Giants might want in a trade for Heliot Ramos. He hit .370 / .439 / .750 against LH pitchers this year, and would look awesome in the middle of all our lefty batters.  
    • Early in the offseason and my opinions may change, but here are my thoughts at this time. 1st - I'm ready to move on from Mountcastle.  And O'Hearn should only be a platoon option.  I hope we sign someone like a Alonso or Walker who doesn't have massive L/R splits and who can play on a daily basis, regardless of who is on the mound, and make both Ryans expendable, and we trade them for whatever we can get.  Otherwise we probably keep the platoon going, with the Ryan's splitting based on the SP.  Unfortunately Mayo hasn't show anything in the majors to make me think he's ready to be a regular in the lineup yet.  That could change in the spring, but right now we can't plan on him. 2nd - This is Holidays spot to start the season.  We won't be bringing in any competition for this spot.  Holiday didn't earn it by his play, but his pedigree and the money/time invested into him will give him a pretty long leash, for good or bad.  If he falters Westburg may be moved off of 3rd to play here instead. SS - Gunnar is here.  We won't be bringing in any competition for this spot. 3rd - Westburg.  He should hold this spot down unless Holiday struggles, and then he might be moved over the 2nd.  We don't bring in any real competition for this spot. Util - I don't like it, but I expect us to keep both Mateo and Urias, though I'm not 100% sure if we think Mateo will be ready for OD.  If Mateo isn't expected to be ready then I can see us bringing in someone for this role, though I'm not sure who off the top of my head. C - Adley has this spot, though if we are going to continue to keep his load light, we need a GOOD backup.  And after Adleys struggles the 2nd half of the season, I'm even more concerned about the quality of the backup than I was before this year started.  I'm just not sure how many GOOD backups exist, and any of the really good catchers are going to want to start more than they would here.  I'm not sure Basallo is ready for MLB time, and after the struggles with Mayo and Holiday, we surely can't count on him even if he is on the mlb roster.  McCann could come back...I don't love that idea, but I could see it happening. OF - We start with Mullins, Cowser and Kjerstad, don't try to resign Santander unless he take the QO.  I'd LOVE to see us bring in someone good here (Soto would rock, but clearly isn't going to happen) maybe Pederson or Hernandez or something.  Spend a bit of money here and get someone who has a decent bat. So upgrade 1st base with a non-platoon player and bring in a good vet in the OF.  Say goodbye to the Ryans and Santander. Pitching - I'd love to sign a #1 like Burnes or Snell, but I think they get more years and money than we are willing to go.  I can see us being in on a Max Fried or Jack Flahertyt.  Also possible to see some of the lesser guys, the Andrew Heaneys of the world. Bullpen - I expect to see a few journeyman/low level signings.  With the controllable players we traded for this year and what is returning I don't see us signing anyone big for the bullpen.  
    • I think it’s pretty natural for kids to take special notice of the guys with speed who make exciting plays like steals and triples and defensive “web gems.” Seems like the kids now are higher on guys like Mateo and Mullins than the grownups, and I think that was the case with Brian Roberts back in the day too. As for clutch, in going through some of the clutch numbers, one guy who stood out as a possible fit for us is Alex Bregman. He has a career 144 wRC+ with runners on base and a .294 BA with RISP — I tend to care a little more about BA when a hit scores a run. His postseason heroics are also pretty well-known. Not sure what you’d have to pay him, and I’m pretty sure signing him would necessitate the Holliday-to-CF move. But if they’re not willing to play in the Soto sandbox financially, Bregman would be a veteran guy with championship pedigree and (importantly) ties to Mike/Sig that could put him near the top of their list. 
    • Just to be as clear as possible, when they were doing better early in the season, they were swinging more, not less. 4/1 - 6/30: 7.2 BB%, 49.3% swing rate, 29.8% out of zone swing rate, 22.2% whiff rate, .316 OBP 7/1 - 9/30: 8.7 BB%, 47.8% swing rate, 29.0% out of zone swing rate, 22.4% whiff rate, .315 OBP 2023: 8.4 BB%, 47.8% swing rate, 29.9% out of zone swing rate, 23.0% whiff rate, .321 OBP They took less walks early in the year, they swung more often at both balls and strikes early in the year, and their OBP/whiff rates were essentially identical in both halves.  The notion that they turned into free-swinging hackers in the second half — and that’s why they failed — seems to be pretty commonly held here, but it’s not backed by any data. They were actually more patient at the plate in this season’s second half than they’ve ever been during the Adley era.
    • Meant to say I wouldn't mind him managing the Orioles. I always liked him as a manager. 
    • It is a foolish hope to expect a full season out of Rodriguez. Kremer is fine, and I’m glad to have him. Suarez was better in most meaningful stats, but we don’t know what Suarez is going to do. He could possibly be just a flash in the pan. Povich is trade or depth. We need depth. Our 2025 -ready pitchers all have potential problems. but now we also need outfielders and infielders
    • A very good move as long as he is healthy. Surprised he wanted to come back. I would had mind here. A HOF manager
  • Popular Contributors

×
×
  • Create New...