Tracking the Orioles' position players by 27-game segments

[Frobby]

24 minutes ago, Spy Fox said:

So the second-segment-only WAR totals were the following, in order of +rWAR. 

• Henderson 1.9 rWAR/1.4 fWAR
• Mateo 1.0/0.7
• Westburg 0.9/0.9
• Rutschman 0.8/0.8
• Urias 0.4/0.3
• O'Hearn 0.4/0.2
• Santander 0.3/0.1
• Mountcastle 0.2/0.2
• Stowers 0.1/0.1
• Kjerstad 0.1/0
• Cowser -0.1/+0.3
• Hays -0.1/0
• McCann -0.3/-0.4
• Mullins -0.6/-0.8

So who had Urias as our fifth most valuable player over the last 27 games?  

[Malike]

2 hours ago, Frobby said:

So who had Urias as our fifth most valuable player over the last 27 games?  

Man, Cowser is sinking like a rock.

[Frobby]

The end of the first half of the season also marks the end of the third 27-game segment.   Here's how our players have done in each segment: 

Name		PA	rWAR	Rdrs	OPS	fWAR	OAA	wOBA	xwOBA
Rutschman 	119	1.2	2	0.816	0.9	1.2	0.361	0.383
		226	2.0	2	0.815	1.7	1.2	0.353	0.343
		348	3.4	5	0.830	2.9	6	0.359	0.346
Mountcastle	103	1.1	1	0.906	0.6	-3	0.393	0.395
		205	1.3	3	0.788	0.8	-2	0.342	0.342
		319	1.9	4	0.786	1.1	-5	0.339	0.351
Henderson	124	1.8	0	0.959	1.9	2	0.408	0.389
		243	3.7	5	0.938	3.3	3	0.399	0.390
		367	6.0	5	1.002	6.0	7	0.428	0.398
Westburg 	101	1.4	1	0.903	1.3	1	0.394	0.422
		209	2.3	2	0.859	2.2	4	0.373	0.374
		312	3.0	4	0.853	2.6	5	0.364	0.362
Cowser		80	1.0	0	1.037	1.4	3	0.439	0.390
		177	0.9	1	0.772	1.7	6	0.337	0.365
		253	1.3	1	0.768	2.2	6	0.332	0.362
Mullins		100	0.7	1	0.717	0.7	2	0.311	0.304
		173	0.1	-1	0.564	-0.1	1	0.249	0.244
		250	1.1	1	0.664	0.8	3	0.288	0.269
Santander 	113	0.3	0	0.728	0.3	1	0.319	0.302
		209	0.6	1	0.706	0.4	0	0.311	0.293
		322	1.4	-2	0.796	1.4	-2	0.341	0.322
O'Hearn 	71	0.7	0	0.929	0.7	0	0.403	0.502
		154	1.1	1	0.802	0.9	2	0.347	0.398
		240	1.7	1	0.807	1.4	1	0.349	0.382
 Hays		50	-0.8	-1	0.311	-0.7	-1	0.149	0.286
		80	-0.9	-3	0.430	-0.7	-1	0.194	0.266
		132	0.0	-2	0.686	0.1	-2	0.300	0.312
Urias		44	-0.1	0	0.484	-0.3	-1	0.215	0.214
		68	0.3	1	0.608	0.0	-1	0.272	0.295
		131	0.3	1	0.649	0.9	-3	0.286	0.297
McCann		43	0.0	-1	0.651	0.0	-0.3	0.284	0.323
		83	-0.3	-2	0.501	-0.4	-0.9	0.217	0.289
		119	-0.3	-2	0.551	-0.3	0.3	0.240	0.301
Mateo		39	0.3	0	0.733	0.3	-1	0.328	0.292
		119	1.3	5	0.734	1.0	1	0.317	0.305
		169	1.3	2	0.729	1.0	0	0.311	0.286
Holliday	36	-0.5	-1	0.170	-0.3	3	0.089	0.155
		36	-0.5	-1	0.170	-0.3	3	0.089	0.155
		36	-0.5	-1	0.170	-0.3	3	0.089	0.155
Kjerstad	5	-0.1	0	0.000	-0.1	0	0.000	0.057
		17	0.0	1	0.437	-0.1	0	0.143	0.229
		29	0.3	1	0.745	0.1	0	0.334	0.269
Stowers (2)	19	0.1	-1	0.924	0.1	0	0.388	0.448
		36	0.1	0	0.763	0.1	1	0.321	0.370

 

Edited Saturday at 21:30 by Frobby

[SteveA]

32 minutes ago, Frobby said:

The end of the first half of the season also marks the end of the third 27-game segment.   Here's how our players have done in each segment: 

Name		PA	rWAR	Rdrs	OPS	fWAR	OAA	wOBA	xwOBA
Rutschman 	119	1.2	2	0.816	0.9	1.2	0.361	0.383
		226	2.0	2	0.815	1.7	1.2	0.353	0.343
		348	3.4	5	0.830	2.9	6	0.359	0.346
Mountcastle	103	1.1	1	0.906	0.6	-3	0.393	0.395
		205	1.3	3	0.788	0.8	-2	0.342	0.342
		319	1.9	4	0.786	1.1	-5	0.339	0.351
Henderson	124	1.8	0	0.959	1.9	2	0.408	0.389
		243	3.7	5	0.938	3.3	3	0.399	0.390
		367	6.0	5	1.002	6.0	7	0.428	0.398
Westburg 	101	1.4	1	0.903	1.3	1	0.394	0.422
		209	2.3	2	0.859	2.2	4	0.373	0.374
		312	3.0	4	0.853	2.6	5	0.364	0.362
Cowser		80	1.0	0	1.037	1.4	3	0.439	0.390
		177	0.9	1	0.772	1.7	6	0.337	0.365
		253	1.3	1	0.768	2.2	6	0.332	0.362
Mullins		100	0.7	1	0.717	0.7	2	0.311	0.304
		173	0.1	-1	0.564	-0.1	1	0.249	0.244
		250	1.1	1	0.664	0.8	3	0.288	0.269
Santander 	113	0.3	0	0.728	0.3	1	0.319	0.302
		209	0.6	1	0.706	0.4	0	0.311	0.293
		322	1.4	-2	0.796	1.4	-2	0.341	0.322
O'Hearn 	71	0.7	0	0.929	0.7	0	0.403	0.502
		154	1.1	1	0.802	0.9	2	0.347	0.398
		240	1.7	1	0.807	1.4	1	0.349	0.382
 Hays		50	-0.8	-1	0.311	-0.7	-1	0.149	0.286
		80	-0.9	-3	0.430	-0.7	-1	0.194	0.266
		132	0.0	-2	0.686	0.1	-2	0.300	0.312
Urias		44	-0.1	0	0.484	-0.3	-1	0.215	0.214
		68	0.3	1	0.608	0.0	-1	0.272	0.295
		131	0.3	1	0.649	0.9	-3	0.286	0.297
McCann		43	0.0	-1	0.651	0.0	-0.3	0.284	0.323
		83	-0.3	-2	0.501	-0.4	-0.9	0.217	0.289
		119	-0.3	-2	0.551	-0.3	0.3	0.240	0.301
Mateo		39	0.3	0	0.733	0.3	-1	0.328	0.292
		119	1.3	5	0.734	1.0	1	0.317	0.305
		169	1.3	2	0.729	1.0	0	0.311	0.286
Holliday	36	-0.5	-1	0.170	-0.3	3	0.089	0.155
		36	-0.5	-1	0.170	-0.3	3	0.089	0.155
		36	-0.5	-1	0.170	-0.3	3	0.089	0.155
Kjerstad	5	-0.1	0	0.000	-0.1	0	0.000	0.057
		17	0.0	1	0.437	-0.1	0	0.143	0.229
		29	0.3	1	0.745	0.1	0	0.334	0.269
Stowers (2)	19	0.1	-1	0.924	0.1	0	0.388	0.448
		36	0.1	0	0.763	0.1	1	0.321	0.370

 

Just to be clear... each line isn't how they did in that 27 game period, is it?   Looks like it is actually their overall line at the end of that period.

[Frobby]

5 hours ago, SteveA said:

Just to be clear... each line isn't how they did in that 27 game period, is it?   Looks like it is actually their overall line at the end of that period.

Yes.  I think I said that when I posted the results though segment 2.  I can't do the math on wOBA, xwOBA to separate one segment from the next.   I could do a good estimate, but it would be very time consuming.

[sportsfan8703]

11 hours ago, Frobby said:

The end of the first half of the season also marks the end of the third 27-game segment.   Here's how our players have done in each segment: 

Name		PA	rWAR	Rdrs	OPS	fWAR	OAA	wOBA	xwOBA
Rutschman 	119	1.2	2	0.816	0.9	1.2	0.361	0.383
		226	2.0	2	0.815	1.7	1.2	0.353	0.343
		348	3.4	5	0.830	2.9	6	0.359	0.346
Mountcastle	103	1.1	1	0.906	0.6	-3	0.393	0.395
		205	1.3	3	0.788	0.8	-2	0.342	0.342
		319	1.9	4	0.786	1.1	-5	0.339	0.351
Henderson	124	1.8	0	0.959	1.9	2	0.408	0.389
		243	3.7	5	0.938	3.3	3	0.399	0.390
		367	6.0	5	1.002	6.0	7	0.428	0.398
Westburg 	101	1.4	1	0.903	1.3	1	0.394	0.422
		209	2.3	2	0.859	2.2	4	0.373	0.374
		312	3.0	4	0.853	2.6	5	0.364	0.362
Cowser		80	1.0	0	1.037	1.4	3	0.439	0.390
		177	0.9	1	0.772	1.7	6	0.337	0.365
		253	1.3	1	0.768	2.2	6	0.332	0.362
Mullins		100	0.7	1	0.717	0.7	2	0.311	0.304
		173	0.1	-1	0.564	-0.1	1	0.249	0.244
		250	1.1	1	0.664	0.8	3	0.288	0.269
Santander 	113	0.3	0	0.728	0.3	1	0.319	0.302
		209	0.6	1	0.706	0.4	0	0.311	0.293
		322	1.4	-2	0.796	1.4	-2	0.341	0.322
O'Hearn 	71	0.7	0	0.929	0.7	0	0.403	0.502
		154	1.1	1	0.802	0.9	2	0.347	0.398
		240	1.7	1	0.807	1.4	1	0.349	0.382
 Hays		50	-0.8	-1	0.311	-0.7	-1	0.149	0.286
		80	-0.9	-3	0.430	-0.7	-1	0.194	0.266
		132	0.0	-2	0.686	0.1	-2	0.300	0.312
Urias		44	-0.1	0	0.484	-0.3	-1	0.215	0.214
		68	0.3	1	0.608	0.0	-1	0.272	0.295
		131	0.3	1	0.649	0.9	-3	0.286	0.297
McCann		43	0.0	-1	0.651	0.0	-0.3	0.284	0.323
		83	-0.3	-2	0.501	-0.4	-0.9	0.217	0.289
		119	-0.3	-2	0.551	-0.3	0.3	0.240	0.301
Mateo		39	0.3	0	0.733	0.3	-1	0.328	0.292
		119	1.3	5	0.734	1.0	1	0.317	0.305
		169	1.3	2	0.729	1.0	0	0.311	0.286
Holliday	36	-0.5	-1	0.170	-0.3	3	0.089	0.155
		36	-0.5	-1	0.170	-0.3	3	0.089	0.155
		36	-0.5	-1	0.170	-0.3	3	0.089	0.155
Kjerstad	5	-0.1	0	0.000	-0.1	0	0.000	0.057
		17	0.0	1	0.437	-0.1	0	0.143	0.229
		29	0.3	1	0.745	0.1	0	0.334	0.269
Stowers (2)	19	0.1	-1	0.924	0.1	0	0.388	0.448
		36	0.1	0	0.763	0.1	1	0.321	0.370

 

That’s a pretty consistent year for Mateo so far. Do you know how many contenders would love to have him?  Especially the older, plodding, teams. 

[Frobby]

rWAR/fWAR in this 27-game segment:

Henderson 2.3/2.7

Rutschman 1.4/1.2

Mullins 1.0/0.9

Hays 0.9/0.8

Santander 0.8/1.0

Westburg 0.7/0.4

O'Hearn 0.6/0.5

Mountcastle 0.6/0.3

Cowser 0.4/0.5

Kjerstad 0.3/0.2

Urias 0.0/0.1

McCann 0.0/0.1

Mateo 0.0/0.0

Stowers 0.0/0.0

Not a negative number anywhere on the board.

 

 

 

[Fiver6565]

1 hour ago, Frobby said:

rWAR/fWAR in this 27-game segment:

Henderson 2.3/2.7

Rutschman 1.4/1.2

Mullins 1.0/0.9

Hays 0.9/0.8

Santander 0.8/1.0

Westburg 0.7/0.4

O'Hearn 0.6/0.5

Mountcastle 0.6/0.3

Cowser 0.4/0.5

Kjerstad 0.3/0.2

Urias 0.0/0.1

McCann 0.0/0.1

Mateo 0.0/0.0

Stowers 0.0/0.0

Not a negative number anywhere on the board.

 

 

 

I guess I don’t understand WAR very well. How is Hays right with Santander for basically the month of June?  Santa has what 13HR this month?  And has played decent defense. What has Hays done?  Is there anyone here who would rather see Hays in the lineup than Santander?  It just doesn’t make sense to me. 

[Fiver6565]

Kjerstad has played in three games and has more than 1/3 or 1/5 of Santander’s WAR?  What the heck?

[Frobby]

2 hours ago, Fiver6565 said:

I guess I don’t understand WAR very well. How is Hays right with Santander for basically the month of June?  Santa has what 13HR this month?  And has played decent defense. What has Hays done?  Is there anyone here who would rather see Hays in the lineup than Santander?  It just doesn’t make sense to me. 

It’s a good question.   Here’s a breakdown of the two in the 27-game stretch in question (which does not include the last two games):

Hays: 52 PA, .362/.423/.660, 3 HR, 7 RBI

Santander: 113 PA, .272/.319/.641, 12 HR, 24 RBI

Obviously, the slash line favors Hays, but in less than half the playing time.  Defensively Hays was +1 DRS this segment while Santander was -3.   That’s a swing of 0.4 rWAR in Hays’ favor.   OAA had Hays at -1 and Santander at -2, which favors Hays by a bit less than 0.1 fWAR.

The main lesson here is that homers are great, but not making outs and playing good D have a lot of value.  I’m still kind of surprised Hays edged out Santander in rWAR and was close in fWAR, playing a part-time role.