Jump to content

AL playoff picture


eddie83

Recommended Posts

7 hours ago, Spy Fox said:

It's crazy how static the division standings have been. Since July 1:

  • Yankees 25-26
  • Orioles 26-28
  • Sox 26-27
  • Rays 25-27
  • Jays 28-27

Red Sox gaining fast.  They gained 1/2 game in 2 months.  At this rate, they should catch us by Easter.

  • Haha 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

If Orioles go 12-12 in their final 24 games (which feels like an enormous ask right now), the records required for each team to finish ahead (incl tiebreakers) are:

TBR: 25-1

Sea: 23-2

Det: 22-2

Bos: 22-3

KC: 17-7

Min: 18-8

Hou: 16-9

Cle: 13-12

NYY: 12-13 or 13-12 (Orioles need 1 win in final 3 vs NYY to clinch tiebreaker)

The same tiebreakers (assuming any are 2-way TBs) apply to division championships, seeding among division champions, and wild card seeding.

The minimum I'd like to see from the Orioles is a #4 seed where at least they would get to play 3 games at home.  I believe 12-12 is about 75-85% likely to get that done. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 hours ago, Filmstudy said:

If Orioles go 12-12 in their final 24 games (which feels like an enormous ask right now), the records required for each team to finish ahead (incl tiebreakers) are:

TBR: 25-1

Sea: 23-2

Det: 22-2

Bos: 22-3

KC: 17-7

Min: 18-8

Hou: 16-9

Cle: 13-12

NYY: 12-13 or 13-12 (Orioles need 1 win in final 3 vs NYY to clinch tiebreaker)

The same tiebreakers (assuming any are 2-way TBs) apply to division championships, seeding among division champions, and wild card seeding.

The minimum I'd like to see from the Orioles is a #4 seed where at least they would get to play 3 games at home.  I believe 12-12 is about 75-85% likely to get that done. 

Win 5 of the next 6.

Go 4-2 vs Det and 2-1 vs SF.

That’s 11 wins.

Leaves you with NY, Boston and Minnesota. 9 games. Can you win 3 of those? Can you get to the point where the final series means nothing?

To me, these next 6 games are crucial vs CWS and TB. You need to clean up against those teams. Anything less than 5 wins has to be seen as a failure if you want to win this division.

  • Upvote 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

12 minutes ago, Sports Guy said:

Win 5 of the next 6.

Go 4-2 vs Det and 2-1 vs SF.

That’s 11 wins.

Leaves you with NY, Boston and Minnesota. 9 games. Can you win 3 of those? Can you get to the point where the final series means nothing?

To me, these next 6 games are crucial vs CWS and TB. You need to clean up against those teams. Anything less than 5 wins has to be seen as a failure if you want to win this division.

I would agree with you but let’s be honest the Yankees are not doing anything to show they are gonna get hot.  Before the Rockies all I read was we have to sweep or the Yankees will start to pull away.  We took just 2 of 3 and gained a game in the standings.  Just keep winning the series and make the Yankees do the same or we win the division.    

Link to comment
Share on other sites

40 minutes ago, xmichaelx said:

I would rather us not win the division. I think this team, especially our offense will struggle in the ALDS with a week off. 

I’ll take the extra days off every time, especially with the way this team is banged up.   

  • Upvote 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 hours ago, xmichaelx said:

I would rather us not win the division. I think this team, especially our offense will struggle in the ALDS with a week off. 

I feel the same way. All the 100-win teams last year who had the bye (O's, Braves, Dodgers) didn't last long in the playoffs.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 hours ago, xmichaelx said:

I would rather us not win the division. I think this team, especially our offense will struggle in the ALDS with a week off. 

Valid point, but I prefer to think of it like consistent play without a break is a consolation for losing the division. They may not even make the ALDS if they don’t win the division…and that’s just not cool man, not at all.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.




  • Posts

    • I'd give it to Burnes.  Great performance after the rough patch he went through.    
    • How can you even type the letters that spell that name?  If he were to become the coach, the entire team would participate in mandatory satanic rituals that include sacrificing children and the mutilation of newborn puppies. I heard from a reliable source that him, who we should not name, once bit the head off a baby kitten nun before going to bat and then mouth kissed the umpire who gave him an automatic home run. 
    • That's not true in the case of Chourio whatsoever, and using him as an example actually supports the point that those of us are making that are advocating for Mayo to get more playing time - that elite prospects need to play every day to get comfortable, and their teams need to let them struggle if need be. Chourio had a .558 OPS in April in 85 at bats, and he had .542 OPS in May in 65 at bats. He struggled mightily, but the Brewers gave him regular playing time and let him play through it. The precise thing the Orioles have failed to do with Mayo, Kjerstad, Norby, Cowser, Westburg, Ortiz, and Stowers. 
    • By the time Rutschman had 180 PA, his   OPS was well over .700.   Ditto Cowser.   Holliday at .524 is struggling way more than those two did.  He’s also several years younger, so maybe a longer adjustment period is to be expected.   But it’s still pretty disappointing that he’s not making much progress right now, after looking a little better when his second call-up started.   I don’t consider Mayo comparable.  He hasn’t even had 40 PA yet, and his playing time has been way more sporadic than Holliday’s.  He’s had a bad start but not enough PT to wonder why he hasn’t shown improvement yet.     
    • Mid 80s.   The problem was that I had no idea where it was going.
    • You said it many more words, but yea, baseball managers have less impact on the game than any other major sport. Baseball is a culmination of individual performances, which are largely out of a manager’s control. 
  • Popular Contributors

×
×
  • Create New...